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DraftKings NFL Value Plays: Week 4

DraftKings NFL Value Plays: Week 4
Cecil Shorts' high volume of targets makes him a nice sleeper play on DraftKings

Cecil Shorts’ high volume of targets makes him a nice value play on DraftKings

Here are some players that can outperform their affordable Week 4 salary.

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Tyrod Taylor (QB – BUF) – vs. NYG – $5,900

Taylor’s price has to skyrocket at some point this season, but until it does, I’ll lock him into my lineups. The New York Giants have given up the 28th most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season thus far, so Taylor won’t face much resistance at home in Orchard Park. In addition to all those fantasy points, they are also the second worst pass defense in terms of yards allowed. At his very affordable price, Taylor won’t have to light the scoreboard up to make value, especially with his ability to add points in the run game. A true pocket passer may not meet value with 200 yards and two touchdowns, but Taylor can add 40+ yards rushing and a possible rushing touchdown to that total every week. This makes his fantasy point floor very enticing in cash games. Taylor should be highly owned due to his price not matching his recent production, which makes him better for cash games than tournament play in my opinion.

Karlos Williams (RB – BUF) – vs. NYG – $3,400

Karlos Williams will step into the lead back role as LeSean McCoy has been ruled out for the Bills’ Week 4 game against the Giants. Williams punishes defenders with a physical, contact-seeking running style. In the first three weeks of the season, Williams averaged 14.4 DraftKings fantasy points while splitting carries with McCoy. With a full complement of carries this week, Williams will have no trouble producing more than his price tag requires. The Giants’ run defense has not allowed a lot of production to running backs, but that will change this week. Though Williams hasn’t been asked to be a receiver often this year, he can be a solid receiver and may see more targets without McCoy active. Williams will probably be the most owned player in Week 4, which means he’s a lock for your head-to-head, 50/50 and double up games. There is merit to fading him in tournaments if you’re building multiple lineups.

Marvin Jones (WR – CIN) – vs. KC – $3,800

Many may forget that Jones is only a season removed from a double-digit touchdown year in this Bengals’ offense. His stock is currently on the rise again as the Bengals face off against the Chiefs, the worst team in the league at stopping wide receivers. The Chiefs are struggling mightily in the secondary, paving the way for a big day for Dalton and his receivers again this week. Making Jones a standout value play for me is the fact his involvement in the offense increases each week. His targets and snaps have increased exponentially from Week 1 to Week 3. It’s obvious he has climbed ahead of Sanu on the depth chart and is second in the wide receiver pecking order. A 12-point fantasy output will be enough for Jones to be considered a worthwhile play and that is well within his range of outcomes.

Cecil Shorts (WR – HOU) – vs. Atl – $3,500

Shorts is averaging just shy of 10 targets per game through three weeks. You aren’t going to find a player as cheap as Shorts with that many targets per game. We do have to temper our expectations with regards to what Shorts can go with those targets, however. He probably isn’t going to turn 10 targets into 150 yards and two touchdowns like Julio Jones, but that’s why he comes in at $3,500. Shorts remains a possession receiver that will rack up catches. He’ll occasionally run past a defender for a touchdown, but we don’t necessarily need a touchdown at his price. A pedestrian day of six receptions for 50 yards will be plenty for Shorts to be a solid cheap flier.

Owen Daniels (TE – DEN) – vs. MIN – $2,700

Daniels entered the season as a highly-touted sleeper but didn’t do much in the first two weeks. Last week he turned it on and logged five receptions and a touchdown. Manning targeted Daniels nine times in Week 3 which is an increase from the first two weeks combined. Against the Vikings in Week 4, I expect his targets to be closer to the nine he received in Week 3 than the two he had in Week 1. For me, there are chalkier plays on the slate at tight end for your cash games, but Daniels makes a great tournament play possibly paired up with Manning as that combo should be very under-owned. Just make sure that Daniels is active for the game as he was added to the injury report late in the week.

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Pat James is correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Pat, you can check out his archive or follow him @TFC_PatJames.

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