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Examining RB Snap Counts: Week 12

Examining RB Snap Counts: Week 12
Jeremy Hill continues to be out-snapped by Giovani Bernard

Jeremy Hill continues to be out-snapped by Giovani Bernard

Below we will examine some already-established RBBC situations along with some trending ones through the use of snap counts and number of touches. In Week 11, we saw injuries to Justin Forsett, Charcandrick West and Devonta Freeman, making way for Javorius Allen, Spencer Ware and Tevin Coleman to take the majority of snaps and touches. We also saw the second week without Dion Lewis in New England, and a late scratch up in Seattle that saw Thomas Rawls take the ball and run with it, literally. Let’s take a look below.

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Cincinnati

Player Snaps Carries Targets Receptions TD
Giovani Bernard 52 6 10 8 0
Jeremy Hill 24 13 0 0 2

Reaction: Bernard led in snaps and touches with 138 yards, but it was Hill who scored the two touchdowns. Hill continues to be very productive inside the red zone, but he is not doing anything remotely to what people thought they’d be getting out him after he burst onto the scene last season. Bernard has been an extension of the passing game and has been consistent between the 20s, while Hill has salvaged his fantasy season with short yardage touchdown runs.

Denver

Player Snaps Carries Targets Receptions TD
Ronnie Hillman 38 21 1 1 0
C.J. Anderson 30 12 2 2 0

Reaction: Hillman led in snaps and touches and broke 100 yards. Anderson did get 14 touches and 72 total yards but is clearly playing second fiddle to Hillman. Frustrating for fantasy owners because neither is doing enough consistently to merit a safe start. Anderson, like Hill in Cincinnati, has to be considered one of the biggest busts of 2015. Next up is a tilt with New England, where the Broncos may use clock control to neutralize the Patriots, and will most likely go with the hot hand, which won’t answer any questions.

Green Bay

Player Snaps Carries Targets Receptions TD
Eddie Lacy 41 22 2 1 0
James Starks 33 8 1 1 0

Reaction: Lacy overtook Starks again in snaps for Week 11 and looked good for the first time since before the bye. If healthy, he’s still the better back and if he can hold onto the ball and stay in shape he should be primed for a late season surge. Last season, Lacy scored eight of his 13 total touchdowns from Week 11 on, meaning Lacy’s production might be getting started which would reward any fantasy owners that stood with him through a very disappointing 2015. Starks will continue to be a very productive handcuff and would step in if anything happened to the running back out of Alabama.

Indianapolis

Player Snaps Carries Targets Receptions TD
Frank Gore 32 14 5 5 0
Ahmad Bradshaw 32 9 4 4 2

Reaction: An early Gore fumble may have stunted his touches and usage, but nevertheless, Bradshaw has become more and more a part of the offense since he was resigned earlier this season. The Colts erased a 21-7 deficit and turned it into a 24-21 win, largely in part to Bradshaw’s two touchdown catches. While Gore has been productive this season, he has lost three fumbles at very crucial times in games, putting the Colts in low-leverage positions, taking points off the board. Bradshaw won’t take carries away from him, but his three receiving touchdowns in the last two games may mean they will look to use the former Super Bowl Champion running back in the red zone more than Gore. For what it’s worth, the Colts brought back another back from last season. This time it was Dan Herron, who never got off the ground in Buffalo.

New England

Player Snaps Carries Targets Receptions TD
LeGarrette Blount 37 16 2 1 0
James White 18 2 3 2 1
Brandon Bolden 12 4 0 0 0

Reaction: Blount led the team in snaps, and ran more passing routes than White did, but it was the Wisconsin product that scored both times for the Patriots; one before the half, and one on a hurry up snap while the Patriots were pushing the ball down the field. While Blount is out there churning for yards and eating up clock, he is still going to be more productive if there is the threat of a dangerous pass game. With the injuries to Julian Edelman, Danny Amendola and Dion Lewis, Tom Brady’s options are dwindling. Blount’s use as a battering ram to soften up defenses and set up play-action will garner enough volume for for low-end RB1 status, but if White starts to be more productive as a pass catcher out of the backfield, it will cut into Blount’s usage. Bolden only tends to get touches on third-and-long draws to give the punter more room.

Philadelphia

Player Snaps Carries Targets Receptions TD
DeMarco Murray 30 13 5 4 0
Darren Sproles 29 6 7 3 1
Kenjon Barner 12 7 0 0 0

Reaction: Not much to write home about for the Eagles this season. Murray is being misused in Chip Kelly’s running scheme. He’s also not being used enough. One would figure if you’re quarterback cannot protect the football, you would put the ball in the hands in your prized free-agent acquisition. Instead, Murray is just one of three running backs in a system that is predicated on the run. Murray can’t get anything going because he continues to split time with Sproles and Ryan Mathews (Barner for Week 11-12). 17 touches for your best player is stupid. 13 carries for your best player is stupid. Sproles did break free for a touchdown, but he is a complimentary player, not someone who should be cutting into Murray’s workload. Last season, Murray was on the field for 782 snaps, or 73.8 percent of the Cowboys offensive snaps, third in the NFL. This season, 359 snaps, or just 48 percent. Ludicrous.

Seattle

Player Snaps Carries Targets Receptions TD
Thomas Rawls 50 30 3 3 2
Fred Jackson 23 4 2 2 0

Reaction: Rawls looks to make the transition from Marshawn Lynch an easy one. The veteran back was out Sunday and is set to miss time recovering from sports hernia surgery. In relief, Rawls dominated touches over Jackson 33-6, and dominated in production. Rawls will step in as the focal point of the offense, which was what a healthy Lynch should have done. This may free things up for Russell Wilson to put up better numbers and in turn make the passing game more successful. Next up for Seattle is Pittsburgh at home which will showcase two largely productive handcuffs this season, as DeAngelo Williams will be going head-to-head with Rawls, in what should have been the Lynch-Le’Veon Bell showdown.

Washington

Player Snaps Carries Targets Receptions TD
Chris Thompson 27 4 3 3 0
Matt Jones 18 5 2 2 0
Alfred Morris 3 2 0 0 0

Reaction: Unable to replicate their production from the week prior against New Orleans, Washington’s running backs were stifled, stonewalled and largely non-factors in their loss to Carolina in Week 11. Morris left the game with a rib injury, Jones fumbled, again, and Thompson, while leading in snaps touched the ball only seven times. There is too much randomness in this backfield, and not enough of a prolific offense to take a flier on any of them without setting yourself up for disappointment. Next up are the New York Giants at home, a team that has their own muddled backfield situation to worry about.

In Week 12, we will see how the new depth charts in Baltimore, Atlanta, and Kansas City work themselves out as injuries continue to mount around the NFL. We will also see the return of Matt Forte in Chicago and see how that situation will be managed with Jeremy Langford, who has emerged as a legitimate threat out of the backfield for the Bears. Hillman/Anderson, Hill/Bernard and Lacy/Starks will most likely be showcased again. The Patriots, Redskins, Lions, Giants and Saints will probably featured as well.

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Michael Vincent is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Michael, check out his archive and follow him @MVtweetshere.

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