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MLB: 7 Players to Avoid

MLB: 7 Players to Avoid
Corey Dickerson's move away from the friendly Coor's Field inevitably will have an impact

Corey Dickerson’s move away from the hitter-friendly Coor’s Field will likely show up in his production

The offseason moves by some teams have raised eyebrows, but ultimately, we as fantasy players just want to know what kind of impact the move will have on the player’s stats. Whether it’s a pitcher moving to a hitter-friendly park or a hitter moving away from Coors Field, these events will surely have an impact.

Last week, we asked the experts who they felt would see a bump in production thanks to their move. We’ve done the opposite this week and our featured experts have answered that pressing question of who will disappoint due to their new digs.

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Q1. What hitter that has changed teams will disappoint owners this upcoming season?

Corey Dickerson (LF – TB)
“The obvious answer is Dickerson on the heels of his trade to the Rays. But there’s nothing wrong with pointing out the obvious. Dickerson broke through with a quality 2014 campaign, and though he didn’t see a full season’s worth of at-bats last year, he still managed to hit .304 with solid power. But last year’s numbers also came with an ugly K/BB ratio and a fortuitous BABIP for the second year in a row. Considering Dickerson has hit just .249/.286/.410 away from Coors Field in his career, he’s not worth more than a late-round pick and will disappoint anyone taking him earlier than that.”
R.J. White (CBS Sports)

“Corey Dickerson’s move from Coors Field to Tropicana Field will almost certainly show up in his numbers. Dickerson’s slash line at Coors over his career looks like this; .355/.410/675 compared to .249/.286/.410 on the road. His .286 on-base percentage jumps out the most and he also dealt with plantar fasciitis last season, which worries me.”
Chris Meaney (Fantasy Sports LR)

Jason Heyward (CF, RF – CHC)
“There was a lot of hype this offseason around Heyward. Many thought he would resign with the St. Louis Cardinals, however, Heyward dogged the Cardinals and signed with their heated rival, the Chicago Cubs. That said, Heyward is a player that means more to his MLB team than he does his fantasy baseball team. He’s well respected as an all around player, but he’s only hit over .275 twice in six seasons and his power totals have regressed over the years. Fantasy owners can expect around 15 homers and 60-65 RBI to go along with 20-25 stolen bases in 2016, but that’s not enough to consider him a top-tier option in the OF. Instead, let someone in your league be disappointed when they draft Heyward.”
Marc Caviglia (Bruno Boys)

Todd Frazier (1B, 3B – CWS)
“Frazier in a White Sox uniform will be interesting to say the least. The White Sox lineup may not be any worse, or even better than the Reds were in 2015, but I am curious to see how Frazier does away from his original team, and in a new ballpark. There not be many numbers to back this up, but I am avoiding Frazier so far since the scenery change.”
Chris Meyers (SoCalledFanEx)

Q2. What pitcher that has changed teams will disappoint owners this upcoming season?

Zack Greinke (SP – ARI)
“Greinke is coming off an absolutely spectacular season in which he led the majors in ERA and WHIP while going 19-3. It would be surprising to see him collapse, but the move to Arizona, a much tougher park for pitchers, has to raise some concern. His three-year run of dominance coincides perfectly with his time with the Dodgers. On the heels of a monster contract and with a BABIP that must regress, Greinke will likely fall well short of his 2015 excellence.”
R.J. White (CBS Sports)

Aroldis Chapman (RP – NYY)
“Chapman may seem like the easiest choice with the looming suspension, as well as the possibility of rotating closing duties with very capable relievers in Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller. Loads of K’s remain, but saves and innings won’t be there. Chapman when playing, will be the primary closer, he just won’t be the focal point as he was in Cincy.”
Chris Meyers (SoCalledFanEx)

Shelby Miller (SP – ARI)
“There was a lot of movement among pitchers during the offseason, however, the guy that continues to strike me as a potential disappointment is Shelby Miller. Outside of wins (he only had 6 in 2015), Miller had his best season in the MLB. Pitching for the lowly Atlanta Braves, Miller posted a career-high in innings and strikeouts while his WHIP and ERA were the best of his career. Now with the Arizona Diamondbacks, Miller should win more than 6 games, however, his other totals will suffer in a hitter friendly park. Fantasy owners shouldn’t draft Miller expecting anything more than mediocrity.”
Marc Caviglia (Bruno Boys)

Jeff Samardzija (SP – SF)
“Samardzija has allowed 20 plus home runs in four straight seasons and has seen his K/9 drop in each and every one of those years. The move to the National League should help things and AT&T Park has given up the fewest home runs over the last four seasons, but his groundball rate sat at 39 percent last year and his ERA has been north of four in two of his last three seasons.”
Chris Meaney (Fantasy Sports LR)

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Thank you to the experts for giving their picks to disappoint. Got thoughts? Leave your comments below.

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