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Revisiting the 2018 Rookie Class for Dynasty Value (Fantasy Football)

Revisiting the 2018 Rookie Class for Dynasty Value (Fantasy Football)

Each and every year, dynasty owners get excited about the incoming class despite the low hit-rate on many prospects. It’s just like a child who gets a brand-new toy. They like it for a bit, but when it doesn’t completely fill a void, they move on to a different toy.

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Outside of running backs, it’s quite odd for a player to perform in year one, which means a lot of those shiny new toys (prospects) can be had for much cheaper the following offseason. Well, here we are. Everyone is drooling over the 2019 draft class, though, truth be told, it’s a rather weak class for fantasy purposes. Because of that, we’re going to revisit the 2018 draft class to find the some of those highly-valued players who present buy-low potential.

Ronald Jones (RB – TB) Value last year: 1.05 Rookie Pick
When you can land someone who was valued as a top-five rookie pick at this point last year in exchange for a high second-round pick this year, it’s definitely something you should consider doing. Jones totaled just 30 touches his rookie season, which is not nearly enough to rule him a bust, as evidenced by the Bucs not drafting a single running back or signing anyone of significance in free agency. It’s very possible Bruce Arians changes your opinion on Jones.

Michael Gallup (WR – DAL) Value last year: 2.01 Rookie Pick
Some have lowered their expectations for Gallup after the signing of Amari Cooper, but why? Unless you were hoping for true WR1 status out of the third-rounder, you should’ve expected this. The best news is that his role grew with Cooper on the team, rising up to 5.1 targets per game from the 3.1 targets he received pre-Cooper. With Scott Linehan out as the offensive coordinator, it’s possible the Cowboys get a bit more creative, which definitely wouldn’t hurt the value of the skill-position players.

Hayden Hurst (TE – BAL) Value last year: 3.06 Rookie Pick
It seems everyone has forgotten who the Ravens selected first last year, as Mark Andrews is currently being drafted as the TE19 in startup drafts, while Hurst is falling down boards and being taken as the 38th tight end. Hurst suffered a broken foot that required surgery before the start of the season, so are we surprised that he struggled a bit his rookie season? I’m not. It’s very possible that we see their ADP’s flip-flopped at this time next year.

J’Mon Moore (WR – GB) Value last year: 3.12 Rookie Pick
When Moore was drafted in the fourth-round by the Packers, he was considered a developmental receiver, but one who flashed great potential. He dealt with some injuries and was seemingly passed on the depth chart by Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Equanimeous St. Brown. Let’s not pretend that those guys are irreplaceable, and the Packers let Randall Cobb walk, while not drafting any more receivers. Is it possible they still have hope for Moore? I was able to land him for a fifth-round rookie pick the other day, which is well worth the upside you’re getting with him.

Auden Tate (WR – CIN) Value last year: 4.03 Rookie Pick
After running a 4.7-second 40-yard dash, many dropped Tate down their draft boards, though he landed in a pretty good spot with the Bengals, who lack depth at the receiver position. The offense wasn’t great, but that may change under new head coach Zac Taylor, who’ll be implementing the Rams playbook. A.J. Green has dealt with injuries his whole career, Tyler Boyd has one year of production, and the Bengals reportedly tried to shop John Ross this offseason. It’s not crazy that Tate gets a shot to show what he can do this year.


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Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeTagliereNFL.

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