Who Should I Draft?

Doug Martin or Arian Foster (2015)

Doug Martin
Doug Martin (TB - RB)
 
Arian Foster
Arian Foster (HOU - RB)
67%
Expert Pick %
33%
27
ECR
30
15
Best Rank
13
35
Worst Rank
51
117
Ave Projection
154
0
Best
0
0
Worst
0
67%
Expert Pick %
33%
27
ECR
30
15
Best Rank
13
35
Worst Rank
51
117
Ave Projection (?)
154
0
Best
0
0
Worst
0
195
Rush Attempts
193
767
Rush Yards
874
4
Rush TDs
5
23
Receptions
33
152
Rec Yards
271
0
Rec TDs
2
80.8
Total Points
273.5
7.3
Ave Points
21.0
2.6
Week 1
12.0
Week 2
23.0
Week 3
13.6
Week 4
13.1
10.4
Week 5
31.2
5.8
Week 6
29.1
Week 7
19.5
4.6
Week 8
39.3
Week 9
19.9
Week 10
Week 11
4.1
Week 12
13.1
Week 13
21.5
3.2
Week 14
22.8
10.9
Week 15
14.7
1.7
Week 16
17.1
10.8
Week 17
10.3
1.8
Ave Targets / Game
4.5
20.0
Total Targets
59.0
2.0
Week 1
2.0
Week 2
3.0
Week 3
2.0
Week 4
10.0
5.0
Week 5
5.0
2.0
Week 6
4.0
Week 7
6.0
2.0
Week 8
6.0
Week 9
3.0
Week 10
Week 11
3.0
Week 12
1.0
Week 13
7.0
1.0
Week 14
4.0
1.0
Week 15
4.0
1.0
Week 16
4.0
0.0
Week 17
1.0
Projected RB1 but hard to like with a 3.6 YPC average and just 3 TDs over the last two years.

- Sablich Brothers, The NY Times

Expectations are for him to return to football by Week 2-4.

- Sablich Brothers, The NY Times

Doug Martin is so unloved that he could be one of the later steals of the draft. His current ADP is 71.2 which is late 6th/early 7th round pick. At the 2012 combine, Martin weighed 223 pounds. At the end of last season, he weighed 225 pounds. Conditioning has never been on of Martin's strong suits, but Martin got into shape during this off season and he is down to 210 points. Martin knows that it is a make or break season for him and maybe this re-dedication could lead to great things for fantasy owners this season. With the addition of QB Jameis Winston, and WRs Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson, defenses may be keying on the pass, which increases Martin's chances at a productive season.

- Jeff Boggis, Fantasy Football Empire

Groin injury. Will miss at least the first 8 games of the regular season. In the 13 games that he played in 2014, Arian Foster averaged 18.1 fantasy points per game, 2nd only to DeMarco Murray at 18.4. In 2014 the Houston Texans led the league in rushing attempts (34.5) per game. New Offensive Coordinator George Godsey takes over for Offensive Coordinator Rick Dennison who departs for Denver. Godsey is also the QB coach, so don't expect a drop-off in run/pass percentages. I like Foster as a solid mid to late round 1 draft pick, but due to missing 11 games over the past 2 seasons, I don't have him ranked in the elite RBs.

- Jeff Boggis, Fantasy Football Empire

I haven't given up on ol' Muscle Hamster quite yet. The news that he has slimmed down to help gain speed may be off season drivel, but it has worked for running backs in the past and I've always like Martins' ability and so far he has looked faster this preseason.

- Chet Gresham, WalterFootball

Foster managed nagging injuries all last year well enough to finish with 298 touches, 1,573 total yards, 13 touchdowns and his best rushing average since 2010 with 4.8 yards per carry. He could return from his preseason injury by Week 4, which would be big for his outlook this season.

- Chet Gresham, WalterFootball

This is a make or break year for Martin, as the Buccaneers declined to pick up his 2016 option. I think he will be the lead back in Tampa Bay, but it is going to be a frustrating committee there this season.

- Derek Lofland, Fantasy Football Maniax

Foster is going to require groin surgery and will probably not be available for the Texans first 8 games of the season, which means he could return in Week 10. It's a devastating blow for Foster, Texans fans and fantasy owners. The best he is going to be is a RB4 and should probably not go until very late in the draft or be a waiver wire claim when more is known.

- Derek Lofland, Fantasy Football Maniax

Look for Doug Martin to lead the backfield in 2015 and he has potential to be a very nice value pick. He has amazing upside, but my expectations are 750 combined yards and 6 TDs.

- James Hatfield, Hatty Waiver Wire Guru

His injury changes everything and could come back around Week 10 so he can help with the play-off run but will hog valuable bench space throughout the season. If you have an injured reserve spot then that could be the strategy to take with him.

- James Hatfield, Hatty Waiver Wire Guru