Who Should I Draft?

Montee Ball or Giovani Bernard (2014)

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Expert Pick %
88%
12%
ECR
# 7
# 10
Best
# 3
# 6
Worst
# 22
# 26
Ave Projection (?)
12.0
15.9
Best
15.1
19.4
Worst
10.5
11.9
Expert Pick %
88%
12%
 Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
Jeff Paur
RTSports
 Chris Heil
ProjectRoto
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
 Muntradamus
Beast Dome
Staff Composite
NFL.com
 Cory Bonini
USA Today
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 David Dodds
FootballGuys
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
 Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
 Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
 Staff Rankings
KFFL
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
 Mike Krueger
FFToday
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
 Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
Adam Rank
NFL.com
 Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
 James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
Jason Smith
NFL.com
 Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
 Bryan Fontaine
Pro Football Focus
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Micah James
FFMagicMan
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
 
 Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
 
 Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
 
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
 
 Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
 
 Bob Henry
FootballGuys
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Ken Zalis
Fans Fantasy Football
 
 Doug Orth
FFToday
 
 Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
 
 C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 
 Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
 
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
 
 Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
 
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
 
 Jim McCormick
ESPN
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
 
 Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
 
 Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
 
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
 
 Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
 
 Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
 
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
 
 Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 
 Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
 
 Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
 
 Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
 
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
 
 Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
 
 Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 
 Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
 
 Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 
 Justin Boone
The Score
 
 Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
 
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
 
 Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 
 Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 
 John Halpin
Fox Sports
 
 Dave Major
XN Sports
 
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
 
 Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
 
 Des Bieler
The Washington Post
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Paul Greco
FantasyPros911
 
 Steve Olson
StatSims
 
 Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
 
 Site Rankings
Bloomberg Sports
 
 Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
 
 Adam Pfeifer
Rant Sports
 
 Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
 
 Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
 
 KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 
 Seth Klein
Fake Pigskin
 
 Joel Beall
Fox Sports
 
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
 
 Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 
 Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 
 Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 
 Staff
Roto Analysis
 
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
 
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
 
 Christopher Harris
ESPN
 
 Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
 
 Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 
 Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
 
 Eric Karabell
ESPN
 
 Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 
 Gene Wang
The Washington Post
 
 Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
 
 Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
 
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
 
 Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
 
 Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
 
 Scott Cullen
TSN
 
 Matt Smith
NFL.com
 
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
 
 Site Projections
scoutPRO
 
 Staff Rankings
ESPN
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
 
ECR
# 7
# 10
Best
# 3
# 6
Worst
# 22
# 26
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
3
11
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
4
12
Chris Heil
ProjectRoto
6
9
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
4
26
Cory Bonini
USA Today
4
11
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
5
8
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
5
14
David Dodds
FootballGuys
5
10
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
5
11
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
5
13
Staff Rankings
KFFL
5
14
Mike Krueger
FFToday
5
13
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
5
12
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
5
11
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
5
11
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
6
10
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
6
10
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
6
9
Bryan Fontaine
Pro Football Focus
6
10
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
6
14
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
6
11
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
6
10
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
6
10
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
6
9
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
6
13
Micah James
FFMagicMan
6
16
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
6
11
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
6
7
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
6
11
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
6
11
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
6
12
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
6
12
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
6
13
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
6
9
John Paulsen
4for4.com
6
12
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
6
10
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
6
10
Ken Zalis
Fans Fantasy Football
6
8
Doug Orth
FFToday
6
12
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
6
12
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
6
12
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
6
14
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
6
13
Bill Enright
FFChamps
6
7
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
6
10
Matthew Berry
ESPN
6
11
Jim McCormick
ESPN
6
13
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
6
7
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
6
11
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
6
8
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
6
13
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
6
11
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
6
15
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
6
13
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
6
9
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
6
7
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
6
7
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
6
9
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
7
9
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
7
9
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
7
9
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
7
16
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
7
8
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
7
9
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
7
9
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
7
11
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
7
10
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
7
9
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
7
11
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
7
10
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
7
10
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
7
12
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
7
6
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
7
8
Justin Boone
The Score
7
11
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
7
10
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
7
13
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
7
10
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
7
10
John Halpin
Fox Sports
7
12
Dave Major
XN Sports
7
14
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
7
12
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
7
8
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
7
11
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
7
9
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
10
12
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
7
12
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
7
9
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
7
15
Paul Greco
FantasyPros911
7
16
Steve Olson
StatSims
7
13
Jeff Paur
RTSports
7
6
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
7
14
Site Rankings
Bloomberg Sports
7
9
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
8
11
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
8
14
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
8
13
Adam Pfeifer
Rant Sports
8
11
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
8
12
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
8
10
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
8
11
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
8
10
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
8
12
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
8
9
Seth Klein
Fake Pigskin
8
11
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
8
15
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
8
9
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
8
11
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
8
12
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
8
10
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
8
11
Staff
Roto Analysis
8
12
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
9
11
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
9
13
Christopher Harris
ESPN
9
14
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
9
14
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
9
14
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
9
11
Eric Karabell
ESPN
9
13
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
9
15
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
9
11
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
9
13
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
9
11
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
10
11
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
10
8
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
10
11
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
10
14
Scott Cullen
TSN
10
15
Matt Smith
NFL.com
11
17
Staff Composite
NFL.com
11
10
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
11
15
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
11
10
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
11
7
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
11
9
Site Projections
scoutPRO
11
12
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
12
10
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
12
11
Staff Rankings
ESPN
13
14
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
13
15
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
13
10
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
14
8
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
14
6
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
14
19
Adam Rank
NFL.com
15
6
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
15
10
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
15
10
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
16
13
Jason Smith
NFL.com
19
10
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
22
16
Ave Projection (?)
12.0
15.9
Best
15.1
19.4
Worst
10.5
11.9
Rush Yards
68.7
68.1
Rush TDs
0.1
0.4
Receptions
3.4
4.5
Rec Yards
29.8
42.1
Rec TDs
0.2
0.5
Ave Targets / Game
1.8
4.4
Total Targets
27.0
71.0
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
Being on a top offense is a great place to be for RB's and he will always get the garbage time bump for yards. WIth Moreno being gone there are not many RB's behind him that will steal his carries.
I love watching Gio run on the field. He is an outstanding RB talent and his PPR upside is amazing. He will be given more workload in 2014 and will see double-digit TDs.
  
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
Like Moreno so often in '13, had one of those games that looked better in fantasy than it did in reality - 83 YFS, TD
10 targets (6/62) tops among RBs in W1; Rookie Hill no threat to workload in opener (20 touches for Gio, 4 for Hill)
  
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
Moreno finished 5th in RB points in 2013. The more talented Ball ready to replace him.
Will handle featured run/pass duties in new OC Jackson's run first scheme.
  
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
Ball as a top-10 RB is easy: the Manning effect. LY: Moreno is top 5 RB after never finishing inside top 17 in fantasy. TY: Ball is Moreno in that offense (assuming no camp surprises). Last seven games of '13: >12 FPPG average with only 12 touches per game. With that said, his in-camp appendectomy allows rook for Hillman/Anderson to make some impressions and nab some carries.
 
  
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
Ball averaged 4.7 yards per carry in his rookie season, but averaged 7.6 YPC in his final 2 games. Ball's key to success (and playing time) lie in his ability to execute on Peyton Manning's pre-snap audibles and picking up the blitz when Manning audibles to a pass play. With Knowshon Moreno now with Miami, Ball is in line to be a top RB1 this season.
Bernard had 3 receiving TDs and 5 rushing TDs in 2013, resulting in over 1,200 all purpose yards. Better in PPR formats, Bernard could be good for 4-5 receptions per game this season. I see Bernard with at least 300 touches this season. He is a low RB1.
  
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
Knowshon Moreno was a top 3-5RB in most leagues last year. Shocking to hear, I know, but that's how good this offense is in DEN. Ball better than Moreno at everything, so a top 2-5RB season isn't crazy!!! Don't draft him that high, as you don't have to! The upside is in getting Ball in that 12-15 range, and lately he has been falling more toward that 15 side of that range.
I rank Gio Bernard higher than most, and I think he actually has top 5RB upside (with 60-70 reception capability). At No. 14 overall value here, but even later in many recent drafts (I've seen him go as late as 18-20 overall), that's value!
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Ball had an emergency appendectomy, but should be back in tome for week one. I love Ball's upside in the Manning run offense, so hopefully this drops his ADP enough for us to really get a deal on him now.
Bernard is one of my favorite players this season. He gets Hue Jackson to help make the run game better and bigger and he's still a great 3rd down/receiving back. We may see Jeremy Hill near the goal line, but i don't believe it will be 100% of the time and Jackson will give enough looks to Gio for it not to be a huge detriment.
  
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
We expect Ball to take over this season but that being said, Moreno will still have value if the Broncos decide to keep him around.
With the system in place from Hue Jackson, Bernard has the most to gain. Expect big things from Gio this season.
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
The Denver RB is in store for a huge season as he is slotted as the sure-fire starting RB behind a Peyton Manning led offense that ranked 1st in plays per game (72.1) in 2013. Ball should see exposure in both the running and receiving game in 2014. With Knowshon Moreno gone, Ball will get the opportunity many thought he would run with in 2013. We see boom potential here and recommend him as he is complemented by one of the top offenses in the NFL. Keep in mind that Denver takes on 5 teams that ranked inside the Top 8 (9 within the Top 15) against the run last year. Their schedule isnít nearly as easy as it was in 2013 as itís one of the toughest in 2014.
Out with the old and in with the new in Cincy! Many people may not recognize that Bernard didnít start a single game in 2013, but Marvin Lewis and the Gang expect big things as Bernard is expected to be used heavily in the Cinci Offense. Previous OC Jay Gruden allowed Andy Dalton to toss 586 passes last season (The Red Rifle averaged 543 Passing Attempts over the past 3 Seasons). New OC Hue Jackson is dedicated to the ground game and the philosophy will be adapted in 2014. Expect Bernard to be heavily utilized (touching the ball around 300 times) as a dual-threat this season with huge break-out potential. (BTW Ė Bernard had 56 Receptions in 2013, which was 8th amongst RBís)
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
RBs who play with Peyton have traditionally thrived, and I believe in Ball's talent.
He'll be worth a first-round pick even if touch volume increases only slightly.
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Ball steps into Moreno's old role, but does it automatically mean the same stats? I still need to see more...
Gio is very much on the rise. There is tons to love about his game and role for 2014.
  
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Montee Ball looks primed for a top ten season as the only above good running back on the Broncos roster
Giovani Bernard will approach RB1 numbers this year especially in PPR formats but lost a bit of his appeal when the Bengals drafted the talented Jeremy Hill to replace BenJarvus Green-Ellis.
  
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
I think Ball is going to emerge as the lead back in Denver in 2014, especially with Knowshon Moreno now in Miami. Ball showed enough in the second half of the season to make me think the Broncos have faith in him to handle the starting job next year. My concern is his pass blocking and how that could limit his time on the field or create a timeshare situation.
Bernard finished his rookie season as the 16th ranked fantasy back, despite tallying only 170 rushing attempts and 56 receptions. He should have a bigger role in the Bengals offense this year and be a Top 10 running back. Think Baltimore Ravens RB Ray Rice in his second year with the Ravens.