Who Should I Draft?

Montee Ball or Giovani Bernard (2014)

Revise
Expert Pick %
86%
14%
ECR
# 6
# 9
Best
# 5
# 6
Worst
# 14
# 15
Ave Projection (?)
207.7
199.6
Best
235.8
231.7
Worst
187.6
182.5
Expert Pick %
86%
14%
 Tom Poisal
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Yahoo! Sports
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Fox Sports
 
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Fox Sports
 
ECR
# 6
# 9
Best
# 5
# 6
Worst
# 14
# 15
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
4
12
Chris Heil
ProjectRoto
6
9
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
5
8
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
5
14
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
5
9
David Dodds
FootballGuys
5
10
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
5
11
Staff Rankings
KFFL
5
14
Mike Krueger
FFToday
5
13
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
5
11
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
5
12
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
6
10
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
6
10
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
6
12
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
6
9
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
6
14
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
6
8
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
6
10
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
6
10
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
6
9
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
6
14
Micah James
FFMagicMan
6
14
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
6
11
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
6
7
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
6
11
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
6
11
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
6
10
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
6
12
John Paulsen
4for4.com
6
12
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
6
11
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
6
10
Ken Zalis
Fans Fantasy Football
6
8
Doug Orth
FFToday
6
12
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
6
12
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
6
14
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
6
9
Bill Enright
FFChamps
6
7
Matthew Berry
ESPN
6
11
Jim McCormick
ESPN
6
13
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
6
7
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
6
11
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
6
8
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
6
15
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
6
11
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
6
15
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
6
13
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
6
7
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
6
7
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
7
9
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
7
9
Bryan Fontaine
Pro Football Focus
7
11
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
7
15
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
7
9
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
7
9
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
7
11
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
7
10
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
7
9
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
7
11
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
7
10
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
7
10
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
7
12
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
7
6
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
7
8
Justin Boone
The Score
7
12
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
7
10
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
7
13
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
7
10
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
7
14
John Halpin
Fox Sports
7
12
Dave Major
XN Sports
7
14
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
7
11
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
7
8
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
7
11
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
7
9
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
10
12
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
7
12
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
7
11
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
7
9
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
7
15
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
7
14
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
8
11
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
8
14
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
8
13
Adam Pfeifer
Rant Sports
8
10
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
8
13
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
8
10
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
8
11
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
8
9
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
8
12
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
8
12
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
8
9
Seth Klein
Fake Pigskin
8
11
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
8
12
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
8
15
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
8
9
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
8
10
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
8
11
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
8
11
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
8
9
Paul Greco
FantasyPros911
8
14
Jeff Paur
RTSports
8
6
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
8
10
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
9
10
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
9
10
Christopher Harris
ESPN
9
14
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
9
14
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
9
14
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
9
11
Eric Karabell
ESPN
9
13
Steve Olson
StatSims
9
20
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
9
11
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
9
10
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
10
11
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
10
8
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
10
8
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
10
9
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
10
14
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
10
12
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
10
11
Matt Smith
NFL.com
11
17
Staff Composite
NFL.com
11
10
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
11
15
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
11
7
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
11
9
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
12
10
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
12
11
Scott Cullen
TSN
12
15
Staff Rankings
ESPN
13
14
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
13
15
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
13
12
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
13
10
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
14
8
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
14
6
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
14
19
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
15
10
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
15
10
Adam Rank
NFL.com
17
6
Jason Smith
NFL.com
19
10
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
22
16
Ave Projection (?)
207.7
199.6
Best
235.8
231.7
Worst
187.6
182.5
Rush Yards
1124.1
1070.9
Rush TDs
9.8
5.4
Receptions
45.2
57.3
Rec Yards
325
495.2
Rec TDs
1.5
2.6
Ave Targets / Game
1.8
4.4
Total Targets
27.0
71.0
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
Being on a top offense is a great place to be for RB's and he will always get the garbage time bump for yards. WIth Moreno being gone there are not many RB's behind him that will steal his carries.
I love watching Gio run on the field. He is an outstanding RB talent and his PPR upside is amazing. He will be given more workload in 2014 and will see double-digit TDs.
  
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
Moreno thrived with all the Nickel/Dime looks that DEN sees, now it's Ball's turn in the catbird seat
No. 16 fantasy RB as a rookie, and now looking at an expected 50+ extra touches
  
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
Moreno finished 5th in RB points in 2013. The more talented Ball ready to replace him.
Will handle featured run/pass duties in new OC Jackson's run first scheme.
  
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
Ball as a top-10 RB is easy: the Manning effect. LY: Moreno is top 5 RB after never finishing inside top 17 in fantasy. TY: Ball is Moreno in that offense (assuming no camp surprises). Last seven games of '13: >12 FPPG average with only 12 touches per game. With that said, his in-camp appendectomy allows rook for Hillman/Anderson to make some impressions and nab some carries.
 
  
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
Ball averaged 4.7 yards per carry in his rookie season, but averaged 7.6 YPC in his final 2 games. Ball's key to success (and playing time) lie in his ability to execute on Peyton Manning's pre-snap audibles and picking up the blitz when Manning audibles to a pass play. With Knowshon Moreno now with Miami, Ball is in line to be a top RB1 this season.
Bernard had 3 receiving TDs and 5 rushing TDs in 2013, resulting in over 1,200 all purpose yards. Better in PPR formats, Bernard could be good for 4-5 receptions per game this season. I see Bernard with at least 300 touches this season. He is a low RB1.
  
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
Knowshon Moreno was a top 3-5RB in most leagues last year. Shocking to hear, I know, but that's how good this offense is in DEN. Ball better than Moreno at everything, so a top 2-5RB season isn't crazy!!! Don't draft him that high, as you don't have to! The upside is in getting Ball in that 12-15 range, and lately he has been falling more toward that 15 side of that range.
I rank Gio Bernard higher than most, and I think he actually has top 5RB upside (with 60-70 reception capability). At No. 14 overall value here, but even later in many recent drafts (I've seen him go as late as 18-20 overall), that's value!
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Ball had an emergency appendectomy, but should be back in tome for week one. I love Ball's upside in the Manning run offense, so hopefully this drops his ADP enough for us to really get a deal on him now.
Bernard is one of my favorite players this season. He gets Hue Jackson to help make the run game better and bigger and he's still a great 3rd down/receiving back. We may see Jeremy Hill near the goal line, but i don't believe it will be 100% of the time and Jackson will give enough looks to Gio for it not to be a huge detriment.
  
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
We expect Ball to take over this season but that being said, Moreno will still have value if the Broncos decide to keep him around.
With the system in place from Hue Jackson, Bernard has the most to gain. Expect big things from Gio this season.
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
RBs who play with Peyton have traditionally thrived, and I believe in Ball's talent.
He'll be worth a first-round pick even if touch volume increases only slightly.
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Ball steps into Moreno's old role, but does it automatically mean the same stats? I still need to see more...
Gio is very much on the rise. There is tons to love about his game and role for 2014.
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
The Denver RB is in store for a huge season as he is slotted as the sure-fire starting RB behind a Peyton Manning led offense that ranked 1st in plays per game (72.1) in 2013. Ball should see exposure in both the running and receiving game in 2014. With Knowshon Moreno gone, Ball will get the opportunity many thought he would run with in 2013. We see boom potential here and recommend him as he is complemented by one of the top offenses in the NFL. Keep in mind that Denver takes on 5 teams that ranked inside the Top 8 (9 within the Top 15) against the run last year. Their schedule isnít nearly as easy as it was in 2013 as itís one of the toughest in 2014.
Out with the old and in with the new in Cincy! Many people may not recognize that Bernard didnít start a single game in 2013, but Marvin Lewis and the Gang expect big things as Bernard is expected to be used heavily in the Cinci Offense. Previous OC Jay Gruden allowed Andy Dalton to toss 586 passes last season (The Red Rifle averaged 543 Passing Attempts over the past 3 Seasons). New OC Hue Jackson is dedicated to the ground game and the philosophy will be adapted in 2014. Expect Bernard to be heavily utilized (touching the ball around 300 times) as a dual-threat this season with huge break-out potential. (BTW Ė Bernard had 56 Receptions in 2013, which was 8th amongst RBís)
  
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Montee Ball looks primed for a top ten season as the only above good running back on the Broncos roster
Giovani Bernard will approach RB1 numbers this year especially in PPR formats but lost a bit of his appeal when the Bengals drafted the talented Jeremy Hill to replace BenJarvus Green-Ellis.
  
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
I think Ball is going to emerge as the lead back in Denver in 2014, especially with Knowshon Moreno now in Miami. Ball showed enough in the second half of the season to make me think the Broncos have faith in him to handle the starting job next year. My concern is his pass blocking and how that could limit his time on the field or create a timeshare situation.
Bernard finished his rookie season as the 16th ranked fantasy back, despite tallying only 170 rushing attempts and 56 receptions. He should have a bigger role in the Bengals offense this year and be a Top 10 running back. Think Baltimore Ravens RB Ray Rice in his second year with the Ravens.