Who Should I Start? - Week 1

Alex Smith or Andrew Luck

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Expert Pick %
99%
1%
ECR
# 6
# 21
Best
# 1
# 13
Worst
# 18
# 28
Ave Projection (?)
19.7
14.5
Best
21.8
17.8
Worst
16.2
13.3
Ave Points / Game
18.3
16.9
Total Fantasy Points
292.9
253.2
Expert Pick %
99%
1%
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
 
 Eric Yeomans
Mr. 52 Pick-Up
 
 C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 
 Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
 
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
 
 Neil Parker
The Fake Football
 
 Matt Smith
NFL.com
 
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Dave Major
XN Sports
 
 Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Site Projections
NumberFire
 
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
 
 Site Rankings
Fantasy Football Nerd
 
 Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
 
 Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
 
 R.C. Fischer
Fantasy Football Metrics
 
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
 
 Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
 
 Patrick Daugherty
Rotoworld
 
 Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Keet Bailey
Breaking Football
 
 Site Projections
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
 
 Ryan Hester
footballandbrackets
 
 Adam Rank
NFL.com
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Christopher Harris
ESPN
 
 David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
 
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
 
 Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Ken Zalis
Fans Fantasy Football
 
 Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
 
 Justin Boone
The Score
 
 Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 
 Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
 
 Jason Smith
NFL.com
 
 KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Staff Composite
ESPN
 
 Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
 
 Muntradamus
Beast Dome
 
 Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 
 Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 
 Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 
 Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
 
 David Dodds
FootballGuys
 
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
 
 Staff Composite
NFL.com
 
 Mike Krueger
FFToday
 
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
 
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
 
 Bryan Fontaine
Pro Football Focus
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 
 Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 
 Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
 
 Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
 
 Staff Rankings
RotoBaller
 
 Eric Karabell
ESPN
 
 Tristan Cockcroft
ESPN
 
 Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
 
 Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
 
 Scott Cullen
TSN
 
 Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 
 Walter Cherepinsky
WalterFootball
 
 Jeff Paur
RTSports
 
 Ernie Estrella
Bruno Boys
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
 
 Micah James
FFMagicMan
 
 Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 
 Paul Greco
FantasyPros911
 
 Tony Mauriello
DraftLegends
 
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
 
 Site Projections
scoutPRO
 
 Rich Arleo
Bruno Boys
 
 Nathan Zegura
CBS Sports
 
 Dave Dameshek
NFL.com
 
 Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 
 Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
 
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
 
 Taylor Smith
NFL Soup
 
 Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Sky Sperling
Razzball
 
 Scott Engel
RotoExperts
 
 Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
 
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 
 Staff
Roto Analysis
 
 Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
 
 Adam Pfeifer
Rant Sports
 
 Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
 
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
 
 Brian Dezelske
Pro Football Central
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
 
 Joel Beall
Fox Sports
 
 John Halpin
Fox Sports
 
 Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
 
 The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 
 Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 
 Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Football Freaks
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Steve Wyremski
Dynasty League Football
 
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
 
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
 
 Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
 
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
 
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
 
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
 
ECR
# 6
# 21
Best
# 1
# 13
Worst
# 18
# 28
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
18
13
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
4
14
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
9
15
Matthew Berry
ESPN
8
15
Eric Yeomans
Mr. 52 Pick-Up
12
16
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
9
16
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
2
16
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
6
16
Neil Parker
The Fake Football
5
16
Matt Smith
NFL.com
2
16
Bill Enright
FFChamps
11
16
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
10
17
Dave Major
XN Sports
8
17
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
8
17
Site Projections
NumberFire
5
17
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
8
17
Site Rankings
Fantasy Football Nerd
9
17
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
12
17
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
9
17
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
10
17
R.C. Fischer
Fantasy Football Metrics
1
17
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
8
17
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
5
17
Patrick Daugherty
Rotoworld
5
17
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
8
18
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
8
18
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
8
18
Keet Bailey
Breaking Football
6
18
Site Projections
Fantasy Football Starters
4
18
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
8
18
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
8
18
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
8
18
Ryan Hester
footballandbrackets
4
18
Adam Rank
NFL.com
5
18
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
14
18
Christopher Harris
ESPN
6
18
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
9
18
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
10
19
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
9
19
Ken Zalis
Fans Fantasy Football
6
19
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
7
19
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
10
19
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
9
19
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
8
19
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
13
19
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
5
19
Justin Boone
The Score
8
19
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
6
19
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
7
19
Jason Smith
NFL.com
2
19
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
6
19
Staff Composite
ESPN
6
19
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
7
19
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
1
19
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
6
20
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
7
20
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
4
20
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
7
20
David Dodds
FootballGuys
6
20
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
5
20
Staff Composite
NFL.com
3
20
Mike Krueger
FFToday
8
20
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
7
21
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
8
21
Bryan Fontaine
Pro Football Focus
10
21
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
10
21
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
5
21
John Paulsen
4for4.com
8
21
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
8
21
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
11
21
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
5
21
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
5
21
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
5
21
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
8
21
Staff Rankings
RotoBaller
5
21
Eric Karabell
ESPN
6
21
Tristan Cockcroft
ESPN
7
21
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
1
21
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
5
21
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
6
21
Scott Cullen
TSN
4
22
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
7
22
Walter Cherepinsky
WalterFootball
5
22
Jeff Paur
RTSports
7
22
Ernie Estrella
Bruno Boys
6
22
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
4
22
Micah James
FFMagicMan
7
22
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
3
22
Paul Greco
FantasyPros911
7
22
Tony Mauriello
DraftLegends
3
23
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
3
23
Site Projections
scoutPRO
9
23
Rich Arleo
Bruno Boys
7
23
Nathan Zegura
CBS Sports
9
23
Dave Dameshek
NFL.com
6
23
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
8
23
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
10
24
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
7
24
Taylor Smith
NFL Soup
5
24
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
8
24
Sky Sperling
Razzball
7
24
Scott Engel
RotoExperts
6
24
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
11
24
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
5
24
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
9
24
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
12
24
Staff
Roto Analysis
8
24
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
6
25
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
3
25
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
8
25
Adam Pfeifer
Rant Sports
8
25
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
4
25
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
6
25
Brian Dezelske
Pro Football Central
8
25
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
10
25
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
2
26
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
9
26
John Halpin
Fox Sports
7
26
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
9
26
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
10
26
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
7
26
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
4
27
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
5
27
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Football Freaks
11
27
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
7
27
Steve Wyremski
Dynasty League Football
4
28
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
5
28
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
3
N/A
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
5
N/A
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
7
N/A
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
8
N/A
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
9
N/A
Ave Projection (?)
19.7
14.5
Best
21.8
17.8
Worst
16.2
13.3
Pass Yards
252.5
241
Pass TDs
2.1
1.2
Ints
0.2
0.6
Rush Yards
14
11.5
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
The Raiders ranked just 23rd against fantasy quarterbacks last year and Luck is leading one of the most exciting offenses in the NFL.
 
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Luck missed much of his rookie year's off season work due to school and quickly had to learn a high risk/reward offense and it showed in his numbers, especially interceptions and completion percentage. Now with his old Stanford offense in place and a season under his belt we will see an even better, more efficient player. The Raiders have little in the way of defense and Luck will pick them apart. My only concern is him sitting in the 4th quarter.
Smith is who he is, but Andy Reid can make that work, especially with Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe. Gus Bradley is going to help the Jaguars get better on defense, but the lack of playmakers is going to make his job tough. The Jaguars were dead last in sacks with 20 last season and there's not much hope of that number dramatically increasing. Add that to the fact that the Chiefs have a strong offensive line and Smith should have plenty of time to execute Reid's West Coast offense, which fi...
  
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
The Colts are heading towards running a 2 TE offense with a west coast scheme. At least those 2 TEs would be Top 15 options if they were on separate teams, but West Coast in todays NFL does not work in Fantasy. Rich Gannon/Donovan McNabb/Brad Johnson were probably the best West Coast QBs of the early 2000s. Those 3400 Yards 27 TDs is not good anymore in todays down field bomb offenses.
Smith has a lot to prove in 2013. After losing his starting job to Kaepernick he has reunited with Andy Reid who are both in the middle of the Broken Dreams path. These two are good for eachother, but the Chiefs really only have Dwayne Bowe in the passing game. While Bowe should have a good bounce back year, he cannot support a QBs numbers like Megatron/Marshall.
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Raiders are awful so it'd be a shock if Luck was anything short of amazing at home in week 1.
It's a good matchup but I'll need to see Smith put up numbers before I believe in him too much.
  
Staff Rankings
RotoBaller
Oakland could be the worst team in the league.
 
  
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Should be a QB1 for the next decade
Smith is a good fit for Andy Reid's offense
  
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
Oakland gave up the 7th most fantasy points to Quarterbacks last season with 19.5.
Jacksonville gave up the 16th most fantasy points to Quarterbacks last season with 17.2.
  
Taylor Smith
NFL Soup
The Colts look to have more of a West Coast offense type thing going on here with Luck's college coordinator now in the mix, which should help to limit his interception totals.
Smith is nothing more than a game manager, and his "improved" numbers over the last few years still reflect that. Pretty ordinary guy.
  
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
Luck vs. the Raiders at home, yes please.
 
  
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Football Freaks
Luck looks to have a pretty tough schedule as of now with Oakland being the only opponent ranking in the bottom 10 against QB's.
 
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
With Bruce Arians gone, its unlikely that Luck will lead the league in passing attempts when throwing past the 20 yard mark. After having a year under his belt, Luck will be a more polished and efficient passer.