Who Should I Draft?

Alex Smith or Andrew Luck (2014)

Expert Pick %
100%
0%
ECR
# 5
# 20
Best
# 1
# 15
Worst
# 15
# 28
Ave Projection (?)
20.0
15.6
Best
25.4
19.1
Worst
17.9
14.0
Expert Pick %
100%
0%
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy

No experts recommend
Alex Smith

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ESPN
 
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Beast Dome
 
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ESPN
 
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ESPN
 
ECR
# 5
# 20
Best
# 1
# 15
Worst
# 15
# 28
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
5
18
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
5
15
Bill Enright
FFChamps
5
15
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
4
16
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
7
16
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
5
19
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
7
17
Mike Krueger
FFToday
5
17
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
4
17
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
1
18
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
6
18
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
5
18
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
4
18
Jason Smith
NFL.com
4
18
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
6
18
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
4
18
John Paulsen
4for4.com
6
18
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
5
18
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
4
18
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
9
18
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
5
18
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
6
19
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
4
19
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
6
19
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
8
19
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
11
19
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
12
19
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
5
19
Matt Smith
NFL.com
5
19
Christopher Harris
ESPN
4
19
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
4
19
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
4
19
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
5
19
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
11
19
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
6
19
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
5
19
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
6
19
Dave Major
XN Sports
6
19
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
5
19
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
7
19
Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
5
19
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
9
19
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
5
19
Sean Koerner
STATS
4
19
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
4
20
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
5
20
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
5
20
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
6
20
Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
5
20
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
6
20
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
5
20
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
7
20
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
9
20
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
4
20
Adam Rank
NFL.com
5
20
Staff Composite
NFL.com
4
20
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
5
20
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
4
20
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
4
20
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
4
20
David Dodds
FootballGuys
4
20
Seth Klein
Razzball
4
20
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
5
20
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
5
20
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
8
20
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
4
20
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
4
20
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
4
20
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
4
20
Doug Orth
FFToday
4
20
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
5
20
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
5
20
Jim McCormick
ESPN
5
20
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
5
20
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
5
20
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
6
20
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
5
20
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
7
20
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
5
20
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
5
20
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
3
20
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
5
20
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
5
20
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
5
20
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
9
21
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
4
21
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
4
21

2
21
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
4
21
John Halpin
Fox Sports
11
21
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
5
21
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
4
21
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
7
21
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
5
21
Site Projections
scoutPRO
7
21
Staff
Roto Analysis
4
21
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
5
22
Micah James
FFMagicMan
7
22
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
4
22
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
4
22
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
5
22
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
5
22
Justin Boone
The Score
5
22
Chris Heil
Sportable
6
22
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
4
22
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
4
22
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
5
22
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
5
22
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
15
22
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
5
22
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
7
22
Cory Bonini
USA Today
2
22
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
6
23
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
6
23
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
6
23
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
9
23
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
6
23
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
5
23
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
4
23
Staff Rankings
ESPN
5
23
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
6
23
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
6
23
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
7
23
Jeff Paur
RTSports
7
23
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
6
23
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
6
24
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
8
24
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
7
24
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
5
24
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
5
24
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
6
24
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
4
24
Steve Olson
StatSims
15
24
Scott Cullen
TSN
8
24
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
7
24
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
7
25
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
4
25
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
8
25
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
6
25
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
9
25
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
7
25
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
8
25
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
5
25
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
6
26
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
7
27
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
7
27
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
5
28
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
4
N/A
Eric Karabell
ESPN
4
N/A
Matthew Berry
ESPN
5
N/A
Ave Projection (?)
20.0
15.6
Best
25.4
19.1
Worst
17.9
14.0
Pass Yards
292.0
224.5
Pass TDs
1.7
1.0
Ints
0.8
0.3
Rush Yards
20.3
20.8
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
I think the perception around fantasy circles was that Andrew Luck had a disappointing season, he actually finished fourth among fantasy quarterbacks and I think he could have a breakout season in his third year against the easiest schedule in the NFL based on last year's record. The biggest concern is whether offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton will do a better job of calling the game to allow Luck to have monster games more consistently.
Alex Smith had a nice season for the Kansas City Chiefs and his production was off the charts the last five weeks of the season. He's a great sleeper QB2 who may carry that end of season production into 2014. The Chiefs failed to add an impact wide receiver in the draft though, which was disappointing. They also suffered a ton of free agency losses on the offensive line.
  
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
O.C Pep Hamilton's obsession with his much weaker ground attack is a little concerning.
Will remain a solid QB2 choice in Andy Reid's West Coast scheme.
  
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
Bumped ahead of Foles. Passing volume on a weekly basis will be there to propel him ahead.
 
  
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
We have to see over 30+ TDs to consider Luck elite. Reggie Wayne returns and we should finally see Luck break over 30 TDs.
 
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
This is the next tier according to fantasy football standards and one where you lose the monstrous numbers of the “Big 4?. With another year of development under his belt, Luck continues to grow as an offensive mastermind. OC Pep “Stubborn” Hamilton and his run-first attack kept Luck from over-performing last season. Enter Rob Chudzinski “personal assistant to the Head Coach.” Pagano hired Chud in hopes to influence less of a run game in the Indi offense, as well as his outstanding QB production. Lets not forget Chud is an aggressive aerial attack type of commander who groomed a Pro Bowl berth out of Derek Anderson in Cleveland and a massive record setting rookie year with Cam Newton in Carolina. With the addition of Hackeem Nicks and a healthy Dwayne Allen, Luck’s 2014 Fantasy Potential is mammoth. Luck has averaged 598 Passing Attempts per season and is a generational talent, just not quite in the Tier 1 category on a fantasy football perspective, yet. We said YET!
Smith was a model of consistency in 2013 as he propelled a lackluster Chiefs Offense back to dominance. We do not think that Smith will replicate the same head turning numbers due to the lack of offensive receiving weapons on the current roster. KC was stung hard as Emmanuel Sanders had all but signed on the dotted line before pulling out and heading to divisional foe – Denver. Until KC can land a Top WR option, we would let other owners trot down that road called Danger!
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
The ascent continues. It won't be long before he's on the top tier.
Unwillingness to throw anything but short passes over the middle is maddening
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Luck was awesome last year, even without Reggie Wayne and despite bad play-calling. Imagine what he can do with Wayne and more passes.
Smith is better than he's given credit for and his offense can set him up for more success in 2014. He just needs more weapons.
  
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
If Luck could partner up with a head coach like Sean Peyton, he would be a top 3 fantasy QB. As it is, the Colts love to run the ball, and don't look to put up big numbers, meaning you shouldn't reach too early for Luck on draft day
Ah, the old game manager Alex Smith. Unspectacular yes, but in the final rounds on draft day if you want a steady bye week option, Smith is your guy. Heck, he even averaged 28.7 YPG last year!
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Pep Hamilton doesn't like your fake football team and would rather run the ball than let his top QB throw it, but the Colts defense might not be on board with that plan. I think Luck will have to air it out more than Pep would like.
 
  
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
Hakeem Nicks was added to an already solid receiving group giving the young quarterback a full-stable of capable hands. While Luck didn't have the greatest of statistical seasons last year, putting up a total of 4,300+ yards and 27 touchdowns, he did cut his interceptions in half and will be leaned on heavier this season to carry the Colts' offense. He did end up with a negative -0.125 FFLockerRoom True Proficiency Game Average last year, but his consistency should continue to head north. http://fflockerroom.com/2014/07/25/2014-fantasy-football-draft-preparation-quarterback-proficiency/