Who Should I Draft?

Alex Smith or Cam Newton (2014)

Expert Pick %
99%
1%
ECR
# 9
# 20
Best
# 2
# 15
Worst
# 31
# 28
Ave Projection (?)
17.3
15.6
Best
19.4
19.1
Worst
15.4
14.0
Expert Pick %
99%
1%
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
Steve Olson
StatSims
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
 
 Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Mike Krueger
FFToday
 
 Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 
 Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
 
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
 
 Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
 
 Jason Smith
NFL.com
 
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
 
 Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
 
 C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
 
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
 
 Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
 
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
 
 Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
 
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
 
 Matt Smith
NFL.com
 
 Christopher Harris
ESPN
 
 Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
 
 Bob Henry
FootballGuys
 
 Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
 
 Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
 
 Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
 
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
 
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 
 Dave Major
XN Sports
 
 Des Bieler
The Washington Post
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
 
 Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 
 Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 
 Sean Koerner
STATS
 
 James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
 
 Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 
 Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
 
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
 
 Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
 
 Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
 
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 
 Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Adam Rank
NFL.com
 
 Staff Composite
NFL.com
 
 Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
 
 Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
 
 Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
 
 Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 
 David Dodds
FootballGuys
 
 Seth Klein
Razzball
 
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
 
 Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
 
 Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
 
 Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
 
 Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 
 Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 
 Doug Orth
FFToday
 
 Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
 
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
 
 Jim McCormick
ESPN
 
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
 
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
 
 The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 
 Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
 
 Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
 
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
 
 Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
 
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
 
 Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
 
 Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
 
 
 
 Joel Beall
Fox Sports
 
 John Halpin
Fox Sports
 
 Ken Zalis
Pressbox
 
 Jason Longfellow
Razzball
 
 Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
 
 Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
 
 Site Projections
scoutPRO
 
 Staff
Roto Analysis
 
 Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Micah James
FFMagicMan
 
 KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
 
 Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 
 Justin Boone
The Score
 
 Chris Heil
Sportable
 
 Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
 
 Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 
 Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
 
 Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
 
 Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
 
 Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Cory Bonini
USA Today
 
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
 
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
 
 Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
 
 Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
 
 Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 
 Staff Rankings
ESPN
 
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 Gene Wang
The Washington Post
 
 Jeff Paur
RTSports
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
 
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 
 Scott Cullen
TSN
 
 Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 
 Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Marcus Grant
NFL.com
 
 Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 
 Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
 
 Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
 
 Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
 
 Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
 
 Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
 
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
 
 Muntradamus
Beast Dome
 
 Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Eric Karabell
ESPN
 
 Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
 
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
 
ECR
# 9
# 20
Best
# 2
# 15
Worst
# 31
# 28
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
12
18
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
10
15
Bill Enright
FFChamps
14
15
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
8
16
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
11
16
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
8
19
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
5
17
Mike Krueger
FFToday
9
17
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
9
17
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
10
18
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
8
18
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
14
18
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
10
18
Jason Smith
NFL.com
10
18
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
11
18
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
10
18
John Paulsen
4for4.com
11
18
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
6
18
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
9
18
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
10
18
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
16
18
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
17
19
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
7
19
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
12
19
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
13
19
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
13
19
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
13
19
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
15
19
Matt Smith
NFL.com
4
19
Christopher Harris
ESPN
6
19
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
9
19
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
10
19
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
9
19
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
10
19
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
7
19
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
9
19
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
4
19
Dave Major
XN Sports
4
19
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
10
19
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
11
19
Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
7
19
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
5
19
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
10
19
Sean Koerner
STATS
12
19
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
8
20
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
8
20
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
6
20
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
9
20
Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
10
20
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
8
20
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
11
20
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
10
20
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
5
20
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
11
20
Adam Rank
NFL.com
13
20
Staff Composite
NFL.com
9
20
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
8
20
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
7
20
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
11
20
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
7
20
David Dodds
FootballGuys
11
20
Seth Klein
Razzball
6
20
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
11
20
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
9
20
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
6
20
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
16
20
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
11
20
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
14
20
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
5
20
Doug Orth
FFToday
13
20
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
11
20
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
11
20
Jim McCormick
ESPN
12
20
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
6
20
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
8
20
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
8
20
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
7
20
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
8
20
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
N/A
20
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
13
20
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
5
20
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
15
20
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
9
20
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
9
20
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
16
21
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
9
21
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
14
21

16
21
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
8
21
John Halpin
Fox Sports
7
21
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
7
21
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
5
21
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
6
21
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
9
21
Site Projections
scoutPRO
2
21
Staff
Roto Analysis
8
21
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
9
22
Micah James
FFMagicMan
12
22
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
18
22
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
9
22
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
12
22
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
14
22
Justin Boone
The Score
11
22
Chris Heil
Sportable
7
22
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
5
22
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
12
22
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
7
22
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
13
22
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
8
22
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
13
22
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
11
22
Cory Bonini
USA Today
19
22
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
7
23
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
5
23
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
13
23
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
12
23
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
12
23
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
10
23
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
10
23
Staff Rankings
ESPN
6
23
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
5
23
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
13
23
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
9
23
Jeff Paur
RTSports
13
23
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
13
23
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
11
24
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
11
24
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
11
24
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
15
24
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
13
24
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
4
24
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
9
24
Steve Olson
StatSims
31
24
Scott Cullen
TSN
7
24
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
15
24
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
9
25
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
10
25
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
9
25
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
14
25
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
8
25
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
9
25
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
10
25
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
6
25
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
5
26
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
4
27
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
22
27
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
17
28
Eric Karabell
ESPN
6
N/A
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
9
N/A
Matthew Berry
ESPN
10
N/A
Ave Projection (?)
17.3
15.6
Best
19.4
19.1
Worst
15.4
14.0
Pass Yards
219.2
224.5
Pass TDs
1.5
1.0
Ints
1.0
0.3
Rush Yards
33.3
20.8
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
I'm as troubled by his lack of weapons as anyone, but Newton's work as a rusher gives a very high weekly floor. If the o-line holds, its possible that the current receiving corps is as productive as a Smith/Ginn/LaFell trio anyhow.
 
  
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Newton was the third ranked fantasy quarterback in 2013, despite not having any dominant skill position players to help his numbers. The only saving grace for Newton is the Panthers added WR Kelvin Benjamin in the draft and he has been as good as advertised in training camp. If Benjamin can produce and stay healthy, the Panthers may have enough weapons to move the ball through the air.
Alex Smith had a nice season for the Kansas City Chiefs and his production was off the charts the last five weeks of the season. He's a great sleeper QB2 who may carry that end of season production into 2014. The Chiefs failed to add an impact wide receiver in the draft though, which was disappointing. They also suffered a ton of free agency losses on the offensive line.
  
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
Back and ankle injuries could lead to less rushing attempts. O-line is shaky at best.
Will remain a solid QB2 choice in Andy Reid's West Coast scheme.
  
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
The rib injury could cut back on him running the ball at the goal line.
 
  
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
Cam is a solid QB, but from Fantasy perspectives he is not quite top 5.
 
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
The Carolina Panthers have one of the worst, if not worst, Offensive Lines in the NFL this season. Coupled with this, the Panthers have a completely new WR Corps in Rookie WR1 Kelvin Benjamin, Free Agent WR2 Jerricho Cotchery and Free Agent WR3 Tiquan Underwood. To top things off, Newton has had very little work with his brand new WRs due to recovery from ankle surgery. The ankle surgery was to tighten the ligaments in his foot that has been an issue since his days at Auburn, which is very concerning for the 2014 season.
Smith was a model of consistency in 2013 as he propelled a lackluster Chiefs Offense back to dominance. We do not think that Smith will replicate the same head turning numbers due to the lack of offensive receiving weapons on the current roster. KC was stung hard as Emmanuel Sanders had all but signed on the dotted line before pulling out and heading to divisional foe Denver. Until KC can land a Top WR option, we would let other owners trot down that road called Danger!
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
His subpar WR corps is less of a concern than his deteriorating O-line.
Unwillingness to throw anything but short passes over the middle is maddening
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
The "downgrade" in Newton's supporting cast is insanely overhyped. He's still a top-5 threat.
Smith is better than he's given credit for and his offense can set him up for more success in 2014. He just needs more weapons.
  
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
On my 2014 all bust team.
 
  
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
avoid Cam
 
  
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 
Ah, the old game manager Alex Smith. Unspectacular yes, but in the final rounds on draft day if you want a steady bye week option, Smith is your guy. Heck, he even averaged 28.7 YPG last year!
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
It's difficult for Newton to be a bad fantasy quarterback, even without a ton of receiving options, because of his ability to run. He makes for a safe pick after the top three options this season.
 
  
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
Offseason ankle surgery, cracked ribs and no-name cast of WRs have his stock plummeting, and I'd be more than happy to take advantage of the discount
 
  
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
***Newton has suffered a hairline fracture to the ribs and is questionable for Week 1 of the NFL season.***If I were needing to pick a quarterback to start up an actual NFL franchise, Newton would be a top-5 choice of mine, possibly even top-3. Unfortunately this is not the NFL, this is fantasy football. His overall offensive statistics have gone down each and every year since he has been a rookie, but you can't blame it only on injuries; the surrounding offensive cast is sub-par. Once again there has been a major turnover with the receiving group and to make matters worse, this new group actually is inferior to last years laughing stock of a squad. If he were on the Detroit Lions Newton would be a sure-fire top-5 pick. On the Panthers he is where he is, a QB2 with the potential for a very nice week from time-to-time.