Who Should I Draft?

Alex Smith or Matt Ryan (2014)

Expert Pick %
99%
1%
ECR
# 7
# 20
Best
# 2
# 15
Worst
# 26
# 28
Ave Projection (?)
17.2
15.6
Best
19.9
19.1
Worst
11.8
14.0
Expert Pick %
99%
1%
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
 
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
 
 Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Mike Krueger
FFToday
 
 Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 
 Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
 
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
 
 Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
 
 Jason Smith
NFL.com
 
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
 
 Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
 
 C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
 
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
 
 Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
 
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
 
 Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
 
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
 
 Matt Smith
NFL.com
 
 Christopher Harris
ESPN
 
 Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
 
 Bob Henry
FootballGuys
 
 Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
 
 Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
 
 Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
 
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
 
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 
 Dave Major
XN Sports
 
 Des Bieler
The Washington Post
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
 
 Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 
 Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 
 Sean Koerner
STATS
 
 James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
 
 Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 
 Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
 
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
 
 Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
 
 Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
 
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 
 Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Adam Rank
NFL.com
 
 Staff Composite
NFL.com
 
 Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
 
 Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
 
 Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
 
 Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 
 David Dodds
FootballGuys
 
 Seth Klein
Razzball
 
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
 
 Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
 
 Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
 
 Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
 
 Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 
 Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 
 Doug Orth
FFToday
 
 Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
 
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
 
 Jim McCormick
ESPN
 
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
 
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
 
 The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 
 Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
 
 Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
 
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
 
 Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
 
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
 
 Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
 
 Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
 
 
 
 Joel Beall
Fox Sports
 
 John Halpin
Fox Sports
 
 Ken Zalis
Pressbox
 
 Jason Longfellow
Razzball
 
 Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
 
 Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
 
 Site Projections
scoutPRO
 
 Staff
Roto Analysis
 
 Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Micah James
FFMagicMan
 
 KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
 
 Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 
 Justin Boone
The Score
 
 Chris Heil
Sportable
 
 Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
 
 Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 
 Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
 
 Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
 
 Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
 
 Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Cory Bonini
USA Today
 
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
 
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
 
 Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
 
 Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
 
 Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 
 Staff Rankings
ESPN
 
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 Gene Wang
The Washington Post
 
 Jeff Paur
RTSports
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
 
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 
 Steve Olson
StatSims
 
 Scott Cullen
TSN
 
 Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 
 Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Marcus Grant
NFL.com
 
 Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 
 Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
 
 Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
 
 Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
 
 Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
 
 Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
 
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
 
 Muntradamus
Beast Dome
 
 Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
 
 Eric Karabell
ESPN
 
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
 
ECR
# 7
# 20
Best
# 2
# 15
Worst
# 26
# 28
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
10
18
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
13
15
Bill Enright
FFChamps
7
15
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
6
16
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
8
16
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
14
19
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
8
17
Mike Krueger
FFToday
6
17
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
7
17
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
7
18
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
5
18
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
7
18
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
8
18
Jason Smith
NFL.com
13
18
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
5
18
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
7
18
John Paulsen
4for4.com
7
18
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
9
18
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
11
18
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
5
18
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
7
18
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
5
19
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
14
19
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
13
19
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
14
19
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
8
19
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
5
19
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
9
19
Matt Smith
NFL.com
15
19
Christopher Harris
ESPN
11
19
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
6
19
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
11
19
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
6
19
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
14
19
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
10
19
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
6
19
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
9
19
Dave Major
XN Sports
16
19
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
7
19
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
6
19
Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
13
19
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
12
19
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
4
19
Sean Koerner
STATS
11
19
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
7
20
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
13
20
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
7
20
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
7
20
Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
6
20
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
7
20
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
9
20
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
6
20
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
8
20
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
5
20
Adam Rank
NFL.com
11
20
Staff Composite
NFL.com
11
20
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
12
20
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
10
20
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
8
20
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
9
20
David Dodds
FootballGuys
9
20
Seth Klein
Razzball
7
20
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
6
20
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
6
20
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
9
20
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
8
20
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
10
20
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
7
20
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
10
20
Doug Orth
FFToday
8
20
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
6
20
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
6
20
Jim McCormick
ESPN
6
20
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
9
20
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
9
20
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
5
20
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
9
20
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
5
20
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
7
20
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
10
20
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
26
20
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
6
20
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
6
20
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
6
20
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
7
21
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
10
21
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
5
21

10
21
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
7
21
John Halpin
Fox Sports
4
21
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
8
21
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
7
21
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
5
21
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
10
21
Site Projections
scoutPRO
12
21
Staff
Roto Analysis
11
21
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
4
22
Micah James
FFMagicMan
5
22
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
7
22
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
11
22
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
6
22
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
8
22
Justin Boone
The Score
6
22
Chris Heil
Sportable
7
22
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
11
22
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
15
22
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
6
22
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
6
22
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
5
22
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
6
22
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
10
22
Cory Bonini
USA Today
6
22
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
13
23
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
9
23
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
5
23
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
4
23
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
5
23
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
6
23
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
9
23
Staff Rankings
ESPN
11
23
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
8
23
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
5
23
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
2
23
Jeff Paur
RTSports
6
23
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
9
23
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
7
24
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
5
24
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
5
24
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
11
24
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
8
24
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
12
24
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
6
24
Steve Olson
StatSims
16
24
Scott Cullen
TSN
9
24
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
6
24
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
4
25
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
11
25
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
7
25
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
7
25
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
6
25
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
4
25
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
5
25
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
9
25
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
9
26
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
8
27
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
6
27
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
6
28
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
7
N/A
Eric Karabell
ESPN
9
N/A
Matthew Berry
ESPN
12
N/A
Ave Projection (?)
17.2
15.6
Best
19.9
19.1
Worst
11.8
14.0
Pass Yards
288.5
224.5
Pass TDs
1.7
1.0
Ints
0.8
0.3
Rush Yards
4.8
20.8
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
I think Ryan is one of the most overrated fantasy players in the NFL this year. First, WR Roddy White is starting to advance in age and TE Tony Gonzalez retired and no viable replacement brought into the fold. Also, the Falcons play the NFC West and AFC North this year, divisions loaded with tough defenses. I think Ryan is a middle of the road fantasy QB2, not an elite option.
Alex Smith had a nice season for the Kansas City Chiefs and his production was off the charts the last five weeks of the season. He's a great sleeper QB2 who may carry that end of season production into 2014. The Chiefs failed to add an impact wide receiver in the draft though, which was disappointing. They also suffered a ton of free agency losses on the offensive line.
  
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
2014 draft positives include 1st rounder T Matthews and the pass-friendly Freeman.
Will remain a solid QB2 choice in Andy Reid's West Coast scheme.
  
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
For all the same reasons as Romo. Will be a solid fantasy option this year.
 
  
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
He is extremely consistent and safe. There is no doubt he will put up 4,000 yards and 30 TDs. It's too hard not to draft him at QB.
 
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
Expect a major bounce back year out of Matty-Ice. A porous defense will put Atlanta in the position for many many shootouts this year. With TE Tony Gonzalez gone the Falcons weren’t interested in refilling his position. Instead, they added another WR, Harry Douglas, which gives Ryan three great WR options. Julio Jones has already been spotted running, cutting, juking – we don’t see his left foot being any concern this season. A healthy WR Corps, a 31 year old RB Steven Jackson, a bad Defense and a pass happy OC Dirk Koetter is more than enough to expect Atlanta to lead the league in pass attempts this season.
Smith was a model of consistency in 2013 as he propelled a lackluster Chiefs Offense back to dominance. We do not think that Smith will replicate the same head turning numbers due to the lack of offensive receiving weapons on the current roster. KC was stung hard as Emmanuel Sanders had all but signed on the dotted line before pulling out and heading to divisional foe – Denver. Until KC can land a Top WR option, we would let other owners trot down that road called Danger!
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
Better health for Julio and Roddy will help, but Gonzo's retirement hurts.
Unwillingness to throw anything but short passes over the middle is maddening
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Ryan had poor protection and his weapons were banged up. Expect a big rebound in 2014.
Smith is better than he's given credit for and his offense can set him up for more success in 2014. He just needs more weapons.
  
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
Since the Falcons switched to their uptempo, pass heavy attack we have been unable to figure out why Matt Ryan is consistently overlooked in fantasy formats. Sure, he might not put up the most touchdowns in the league, but with this poor defense he will be playing catch-up more often than not, meaning plenty of yards and fantasy production. If you want to wait on a QB, Ryan offers some of the best value around
Ah, the old game manager Alex Smith. Unspectacular yes, but in the final rounds on draft day if you want a steady bye week option, Smith is your guy. Heck, he even averaged 28.7 YPG last year!
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Matt Ryan was without Julio Jones and a healthy Roddy White most of last season and it showed. He did throw the ball a ton, with the second most attempts by any QB last season, but ended up as the 14th best fantasy QB with no playmakers to do anything with all those passes. He finished as the 6th best fantasy QB in 2012 and there's no reason he can't match that finish with Jones and White healthy.
 
  
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
Top fantasy QB in W1 (448/3); I like his chances of reaching 5K pass yards after falling a little short past 2 years
 
  
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
In 2013 Matt Ryan was one of only 3 quarterbacks in fantasy football to have double-digit 20-point weeks along with having at least 7 300+ passing yard games. Considering that Roddy White, Julio Jones and Steven Jackson weren't much to rely on because of injuries and you have to walk away impressed with the quarterbacks campaign. He also had a positive 0.375 FFLockerRoom True Proficiency Game Average. http://fflockerroom.com/2014/07/25/2014-fantasy-football-draft-preparation-quarterback-proficiency/