Who Should I Draft?

Andrew Luck or Jay Cutler (2014)

Expert Pick %
92%
8%
ECR
# 5
# 11
Best
# 1
# 5
Worst
# 15
# 18
Ave Projection (?)
20.0
18.2
Best
25.4
23.0
Worst
17.9
16.0
Expert Pick %
92%
8%
 Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
 
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 Cory Bonini
USA Today
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
 Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
 Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
 Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
 Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
 Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
John Halpin
Fox Sports
 Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
 Staff Composite
NFL.com
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 Jason Smith
NFL.com
Steve Olson
StatSims
 Marcus Grant
NFL.com
 
 Christopher Harris
ESPN
 
 Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
 
 KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
 
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
 
 Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
 
 Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
 
 Bob Henry
FootballGuys
 
 Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 
 Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 
 Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 
 David Dodds
FootballGuys
 
 Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
 
 Seth Klein
Razzball
 
 Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
 
 Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 
 Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
 
 Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 
 Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 
 Joel Beall
Fox Sports
 
 Doug Orth
FFToday
 
 C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 
 Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 
 Eric Karabell
ESPN
 
 Jason Longfellow
Razzball
 
 Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 
 Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 
 Sean Koerner
STATS
 
 Staff
Roto Analysis
 
 Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 
 Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
 
 Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
 
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
 
 Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
 
 Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
 
 Matt Smith
NFL.com
 
 Adam Rank
NFL.com
 
 Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
 
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
 
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
 
 Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 
 Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
 
 Justin Boone
The Score
 
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
 
 David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
 
 Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
 
 Staff Rankings
ESPN
 
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
 
 Ken Zalis
Pressbox
 
 Mike Krueger
FFToday
 
 Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
 
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
 
 Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
 
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
 
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
 
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
 
 Jim McCormick
ESPN
 
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
 
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
 
 Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
 
 Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
 
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
 
 Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
 
 Des Bieler
The Washington Post
 
 Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
 
 Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
 
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
 
 Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
 
 Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
 
 Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
 
 Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
 
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
 
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
 
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
 
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
 
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
 
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
 
 Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
 
 Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
 
 Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
 
 Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
 
 Chris Heil
Sportable
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
 
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 Dave Major
XN Sports
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Micah James
FFMagicMan
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
 
 Muntradamus
Beast Dome
 
 Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
 
 The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 
 Gene Wang
The Washington Post
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
 
 Jeff Paur
RTSports
 
 Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 
 Site Projections
scoutPRO
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
 
 Scott Cullen
TSN
 
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
 
 Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 
 Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 
ECR
# 5
# 11
Best
# 1
# 5
Worst
# 15
# 18
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
1
13

2
18
Cory Bonini
USA Today
2
15
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
3
6
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
4
17
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
4
14
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
4
15
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
4
12
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
4
10
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
4
15
Staff Composite
NFL.com
4
13
Jason Smith
NFL.com
4
16
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
4
13
Christopher Harris
ESPN
4
14
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
4
6
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
4
17
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
4
10
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
4
15
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
5
14
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
4
14
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
4
10
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
4
13
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
4
14
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
4
18
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
5
17
David Dodds
FootballGuys
4
13
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
4
11
Seth Klein
Razzball
4
8
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
4
13
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
4
8
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
4
12
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
4
14
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
4
8
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
4
8
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
4
16
Doug Orth
FFToday
4
9
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
4
13
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
4
10
Eric Karabell
ESPN
4
14
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
4
13
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
4
12
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
4
16
Sean Koerner
STATS
4
14
Staff
Roto Analysis
4
7
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
5
7
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
5
9
Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
5
12
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
5
8
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
5
10
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
5
12
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
5
10
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
5
12
Matt Smith
NFL.com
5
11
Adam Rank
NFL.com
5
12
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
5
9
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
5
11
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
5
10
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
5
12
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
5
11
Justin Boone
The Score
5
9
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
5
9
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
5
14
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
5
7
Staff Rankings
ESPN
5
15
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
5
11
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
5
6
Mike Krueger
FFToday
5
11
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
5
10
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
5
8
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
6
15
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
5
8
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
5
9
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
5
8
Bill Enright
FFChamps
5
16
Matthew Berry
ESPN
5
9
Jim McCormick
ESPN
5
9
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
5
11
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
5
13
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
5
14
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
5
7
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
5
13
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
5
10
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
5
17
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
5
13
Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
5
9
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
5
8
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
5
7
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
5
12
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
5
7
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
5
8
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
5
11
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
5
11
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
5
14
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
6
10
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
6
9
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
6
9
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
6
8
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
6
11
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
6
10
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
6
11
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
6
8
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
6
10
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
6
15
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
6
9
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
6
5
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
6
10
Chris Heil
Sportable
6
11
John Paulsen
4for4.com
6
12
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
6
11
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
6
16
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
6
15
Dave Major
XN Sports
6
11
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
6
8
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
6
12
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
6
10
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
7
12
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
7
11
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
7
5
Micah James
FFMagicMan
7
10
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
7
13
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
7
14
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
7
16
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
7
9
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
7
8
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
7
13
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
7
8
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
7
9
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
7
12
Jeff Paur
RTSports
7
10
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
7
13
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
7
10
Site Projections
scoutPRO
7
17
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
8
6
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
8
9
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
8
6
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
8
7
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
8
12
Scott Cullen
TSN
8
18
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
9
11
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
9
10
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
9
10
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
9
5
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
9
13
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
9
16
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
11
6
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
11
9
John Halpin
Fox Sports
11
8
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
12
11
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
15
11
Steve Olson
StatSims
15
8
Ave Projection (?)
20.0
18.2
Best
25.4
23.0
Worst
17.9
16.0
Pass Yards
292.0
272.2
Pass TDs
1.7
2.0
Ints
0.8
1.0
Rush Yards
20.3
12.6
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
We have to see over 30+ TDs to consider Luck elite. Reggie Wayne returns and we should finally see Luck break over 30 TDs.
The Bears are showing commitment to him with his new deal, so he is expected to play all year and he has a ton of amazing targets around him.
  
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
I think the perception around fantasy circles was that Andrew Luck had a disappointing season, he actually finished fourth among fantasy quarterbacks and I think he could have a breakout season in his third year against the easiest schedule in the NFL based on last year's record. The biggest concern is whether offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton will do a better job of calling the game to allow Luck to have monster games more consistently.
Cutler has his new contract and will have the same head coach and offensive coordinator in back-to-back seasons for the first time in his career. He needs to stay healthy; I have my doubts. He just has not proven to be durable in recent years and rarely does that improve with age. He also has no value as a runner, which caps his upside compared to some of the younger quarterbacks.
  
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
If Luck could partner up with a head coach like Sean Peyton, he would be a top 3 fantasy QB. As it is, the Colts love to run the ball, and don't look to put up big numbers, meaning you shouldn't reach too early for Luck on draft day
There are only 2 factors that hold Jay Cutler back from joining the top tier of QB's - health and INT's. He will always be a bit of a gunslinger, so if you are in a league that heavily weights INT's be sure to steer clear. In standard leagues with -1 for INT's it isn't as big a deal as the 12 missed games the last 3 years. Don't reach too early as the fragile Cutler is one of the more frustrating QB's to own when the inevitable injuries hit
  
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
O.C Pep Hamilton's obsession with his much weaker ground attack is a little concerning.
Trestman's air-friendly scheme and Cutler's talented offensive cast ooze upside.
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
The ascent continues. It won't be long before he's on the top tier.
So many positive signs here, but he hasn't earned much trust.
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Luck was awesome last year, even without Reggie Wayne and despite bad play-calling. Imagine what he can do with Wayne and more passes.
Cutler has the talent, system and weapons to be a top-5 fantasy passer. He just needs to stay on the field.
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
This is the next tier according to fantasy football standards and one where you lose the monstrous numbers of the “Big 4?. With another year of development under his belt, Luck continues to grow as an offensive mastermind. OC Pep “Stubborn” Hamilton and his run-first attack kept Luck from over-performing last season. Enter Rob Chudzinski “personal assistant to the Head Coach.” Pagano hired Chud in hopes to influence less of a run game in the Indi offense, as well as his outstanding QB production. Lets not forget Chud is an aggressive aerial attack type of commander who groomed a Pro Bowl berth out of Derek Anderson in Cleveland and a massive record setting rookie year with Cam Newton in Carolina. With the addition of Hackeem Nicks and a healthy Dwayne Allen, Luck’s 2014 Fantasy Potential is mammoth. Luck has averaged 598 Passing Attempts per season and is a generational talent, just not quite in the Tier 1 category on a fantasy football perspective, yet. We said YET!
The concern here with Cutler is that he’s missed 11 total games in the past 3 seasons. Last season Cutler threw 19 TD’s in 10 games in a Marc Trestman genius offense. Cutler is surrounded by exceptional talent in WR1 Brandon Marshall, WR2 Alshon Jeffery, RB Matt Forte and TE Martellus Bennett (A.K.A. The Black Unicorn) that offers Top Fantasy QB potential. The Bears released WR3 Earl Bennett in hopes that their former redshirt rookie WR Marquess Wilson will take over. Wilson was drafted in the 7th round, but is known for round 1 talent. The concern was his strength and he quit his college football team, a reason he was drafted so late. Wilson takes over as the WR3 spot in Chicago, although one shouldn’t expect a huge year, he’s a great 5th Option for Cutler. By the way, Cutler has a juicy Fantasy Playoff Schedule playing at home against DAL, NO and DET. If Cutler can remain healthy for a whole season (something he hasn’t done since 2009) he’ll be a sure fire Top 1o Fantasy QB. The question is, can he?
  
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
 
best value at QB
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Pep Hamilton doesn't like your fake football team and would rather run the ball than let his top QB throw it, but the Colts defense might not be on board with that plan. I think Luck will have to air it out more than Pep would like.
Cutler continues moping up my draft board. He's looked good in preseason, Alshon Jeffery is in his third year, Brandon Marshall is looking as good as ever, Matt Forte is going to catch a ton of passes and give Cutler passing yards as he runs with the ball and Marc Trestman is a genius.
  
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
Hakeem Nicks was added to an already solid receiving group giving the young quarterback a full-stable of capable hands. While Luck didn't have the greatest of statistical seasons last year, putting up a total of 4,300+ yards and 27 touchdowns, he did cut his interceptions in half and will be leaned on heavier this season to carry the Colts' offense. He did end up with a negative -0.125 FFLockerRoom True Proficiency Game Average last year, but his consistency should continue to head north. http://fflockerroom.com/2014/07/25/2014-fantasy-football-draft-preparation-quarterback-proficiency/
Each and every year Cutler finishes as a dissapointment to fantasy football owners who had drafted him telling themselves that "this is the year." Well, this year may actually be the year! What does that mean? Who really knows, but with a great receiving tandem in Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery to go along with Matt Forte gives Cutler three great passing targets to help get him to the next level. The veteran only has a few years left in his prime making this a year that if he doesn't do it now, he probably will never do it. Cutler must remain healthy and it irks me spending a QB1 quality draft pick on the guy, but with the quarterback position thinning out this season there isn't much else to choose at this point who have better upsides. Just make sure that you handcuff Cutler with another solid quarterback just in case he implodes. The Chicago gunslinger did have 6 20+ fantasy point games in 11 contests in 2013 so if he can carry his momentum over, then he could become one of the better fantasy bargains in 2014.
  
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
Bumped ahead of Foles. Passing volume on a weekly basis will be there to propel him ahead.