Who Should I Draft?

Arian Foster or Chris Johnson (2014)

Revise
Arian Foster
Arian Foster HOU

Probable - Hamstring
Expert Pick %
95%
5%
ECR
# 11
# 25
Best
# 1
# 7
Worst
# 33
# 44
Ave Projection (?)
14.1
11.3
Best
16.0
15.4
Worst
12.5
8.2
Expert Pick %
95%
5%
 Muntradamus
Beast Dome
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
 Scott Cullen
TSN
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 Joel Beall
Fox Sports
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
 Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
 David Dodds
FootballGuys
Adam Rank
NFL.com
 Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 Jason Smith
NFL.com
 
 Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 
 Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
 
 Staff Rankings
ESPN
 
 Eric Karabell
ESPN
 
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
 
 Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
 
 Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
 
 Micah James
FFMagicMan
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 Matt Smith
NFL.com
 
 Marcus Grant
NFL.com
 
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
 
 
 
 David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
 
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
 
 Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
 
 Sean Koerner
STATS
 
 Site Projections
scoutPRO
 
 Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
 
 Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 
 Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
 
 Seth Klein
Razzball
 
 Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
 
 Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
 
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
 
 Jim McCormick
ESPN
 
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
 
 Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
 
 Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
 
 Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
 
 Bob Henry
FootballGuys
 
 Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 
 Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 
 Justin Boone
The Score
 
 John Halpin
Fox Sports
 
 Dave Major
XN Sports
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Gene Wang
The Washington Post
 
 Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
 
 Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
 
 Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Staff
Roto Analysis
 
 Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 
 Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
 
 Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
 
 Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
 
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
 
 Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
 
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
 
 Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
 
 Chris Heil
Sportable
 
 Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
 
 Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 
 Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 
 James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
 
 Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
 
 Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Christopher Harris
ESPN
 
 Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
 
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
 
 Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
 
 Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
 
 Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 
 Des Bieler
The Washington Post
 
 Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
 
 Cory Bonini
USA Today
 
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
 
 Staff Composite
NFL.com
 
 Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
 
 Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 
 Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
 
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
 
 Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
 
 Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
 
 Jeff Paur
RTSports
 
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
 
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
 
 Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
 
 Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
 
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
 
 Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
 
 Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
 
 Mike Krueger
FFToday
 
 Doug Orth
FFToday
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
 
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
 
 Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
 
 Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 
 Ken Zalis
Pressbox
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 
 Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
 
 Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
 
 Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
 
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
 
 Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
 
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
 
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
 
 Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
 
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
 
 C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 
 Steve Olson
StatSims
 
ECR
# 11
# 25
Best
# 1
# 7
Worst
# 33
# 44
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
1
20
Scott Cullen
TSN
4
18
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
5
26
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
6
15
David Dodds
FootballGuys
6
22
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
6
26
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
7
19
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
7
18
Jason Smith
NFL.com
7
32
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
7
22
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
7
29
Staff Rankings
ESPN
7
25
Eric Karabell
ESPN
7
25
Matthew Berry
ESPN
7
28
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
7
18
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
7
27
Micah James
FFMagicMan
8
22
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
8
32
Matt Smith
NFL.com
8
28
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
8
28
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
8
26

8
21
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
8
23
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
8
15
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
8
25
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
15
26
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
8
26
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
8
34
Sean Koerner
STATS
8
22
Site Projections
scoutPRO
8
24
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
9
22
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
9
25
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
9
29
Seth Klein
Razzball
9
26
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
9
24
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
9
23
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
9
25
Jim McCormick
ESPN
9
22
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
9
28
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
9
25
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
9
26
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
9
32
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
10
24
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
10
27
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
10
24
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
10
28
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
10
26
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
10
7
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
10
24
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
10
25
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
10
20
Justin Boone
The Score
10
26
John Halpin
Fox Sports
10
25
Dave Major
XN Sports
10
29
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
10
26
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
10
35
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
10
22
Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
10
23
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
10
25
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
10
26
Staff
Roto Analysis
10
25
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
11
34
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
11
25
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
11
25
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
11
26
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
11
24
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
11
24
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
11
25
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
11
19
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
11
22
Chris Heil
Sportable
11
26
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
11
19
John Paulsen
4for4.com
11
24
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
11
27
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
11
24
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
11
29
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
11
27
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
12
23
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
12
30
Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
12
26
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
12
30
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
12
25
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
12
25
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
12
25
Christopher Harris
ESPN
12
24
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
12
24
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
12
25
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
12
22
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
12
30
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
12
32
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
12
27
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
12
28
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
12
25
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
12
25
Cory Bonini
USA Today
12
26
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
13
25
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
13
25
Staff Composite
NFL.com
13
25
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
13
20
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
13
28
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
13
21
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
13
44
Bill Enright
FFChamps
13
18
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
13
25
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
13
24
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
13
26
Jeff Paur
RTSports
13
19
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
14
26
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
14
29
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
14
26
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
14
34
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
14
27
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
14
24
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
14
24
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
14
26
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
14
24
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
14
27
Mike Krueger
FFToday
14
18
Doug Orth
FFToday
14
35
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
14
32
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
14
23
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
14
28
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
15
22
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
15
23
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
15
24
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
15
27
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
15
26
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
15
27
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
15
24
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
15
27
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
15
30
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
16
23
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
16
18
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
16
19
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
16
25
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
16
27
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
17
26
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
17
16
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
18
29
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
19
32
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
19
15
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
19
23
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
19
23
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
21
24
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
25
22
Steve Olson
StatSims
26
40
Adam Rank
NFL.com
30
22
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
31
16
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
32
22
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
33
31
Ave Projection (?)
14.1
11.3
Best
16.0
15.4
Worst
12.5
8.2
Rush Yards
77.0
59.9
Rush TDs
0.6
0.6
Receptions
3.4
2.5
Rec Yards
25.5
18.6
Rec TDs
0.0
0.0
Ave Targets / Game
4.4
3.3
Total Targets
35.0
52.0
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Foster was a downer in 2013 but he's a prime bounce back candidate. With Ryan Fitzpatrick under center, Houston will have to be run heavy to compete.
CJ2k wants 2k yds again. Not too likely without a true feature role, but he can still offer RB2 upside.
  
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
Hammy checked out fine in W1 (29 touches, 120 YFS); Workload, last-place schedule will pay big if health holds
Looks like a 60/40 split w/ Ivory in backfield, but NYJ will be run heavy, so workload should be good enough
  
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Will push for top five by draft day
Chris Johnson has joined the New York Jets and anyone who does not recognize the fear a Michael Vick/Chris Johnson tandem will instill in opposing defensive coordinators has not been following football close enough. The ‘fastest backfield ever built’ could propel the Jets to the playoffs and Johnson to RB1 numbers...but Geno Smith is being pushed by team brass to be the starter limiting Johnson’s fantasy value. Chris Ivory is a legit threat to steal carries but it would be very surprising to see Ivory not miss games with an injury or two this season.
  
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
Another hammy issue in camp is troubling for Foster, who can't seem to stay healthy. Nevertheless, if he gives owners 16 games he is a bargain at the end of round one.
 
  
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
There is some risk here, no question, but there is also a grip of upside. Don't draft Foster much higher than his ADP at all, as it's the low ADP right now that has Foster looking like somewhat low-risk and high-reward.
 
  
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
Recent hamstring issue a reminder he struggled with injuries last summer/season.
Favorite to lead the run-heavy committee in NY, but will give way to Ivory at the stripe.
  
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
When you draft Foster you draft for his incredible upside. He is 28 and coming off back surgery, and he also considered retirement so it's hard to recommend him as a target to draft in 2014.
His role as an every down back are fading and he is going to be a bit of a gamble pick and may go too early in drafts.
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
What to do with Foster? We know his upside. There's no doubting it. Of course we also know he's been having injury issues and he's hard to trust. It will be tough to pass on his upside if he falls to the late second round in any of your drafts though.
Not sure what to do with CJwhocaresK. He still has the speed and skill, but can you trust him to break a tackle? Sometimes, yes, so he has to be drafted. He'll be up and down all season, but put up a few big games to keep you believing.
  
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
Coming off of back surgery, it's hard to predict what kind of player Foster will be in 2014. His high volume of work in recent seasons gives you concern but if you can get him as the 15th back off the board or close, I wouldn't hesitate.
CJ2K may not be a Titan heading into the season, make sure to keep track of his situation during the off season. Word is that the Titans have put Chris on the trading block. But that won't do any good. No one will take that contract, we will have to wait when the Titans finally release him.
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
Outstanding when healthy, but his fragility scares me to death.
Wildly erratic from week to week. Let someone else deal with the frustration.
  
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
Played in only 8 games in 2013. Look for new Texans coach, Bill O'Brien, to get Foster the ball on the ground and by air this season. He will be the work horse, but can he stay healthy all season? He will benefit now that Ben Tate is in Cleveland. View Foster more as a RB2 with RB1 upside.
 
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
Injuries are a major concern for the talented RB with an ADP in Round 2. It's unlikely he'll stay on the field for all 17 games this season. Draft at your own risk. Foster’s 2013 Season was cut short by injury as he only netted 8 Games, however it is evident that he can still produce as he averaged 4.5 YPC. At age 27, Foster still has the capabilities to produce at an alarming rate and he will most certainly slip through the cracks come fantasy draft day. If drafting Foster, you will want to surround him with other quality RBs as his health is such a continuous question mark. Andre Brown is also a handcuff must. We like Foster and think he will have every opportunity to turn out monster numbers, but his durability is why we have slid him back in our rankings.
Rex Ryan said Chris “CJ?K” Johnson was “flying” in the mandatory conditioning running. CJ?K was recently cleared after surgery on his 2013 torn meniscus injury. He’s in line to share a workload with Chris Ivory and Bilal Powell and remains a low end RB2. Remember when Chris Johnson GUARANTEED to rush for 2,500 yards and win MVP, Geno Smith has GUARANTEED the Playoffs to New York in 2014 and Rex Ryan GUARANTEES everything. In other news, ESPN New York expects a timeshare/backfield by committee approach between CJ?K and Powell/Ivory this season. Johnson will see much less volume than he did in Tennessee and shouldn’t be viewed as the option he was in years past.
  
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Foster is someone that I will not own this year. He has too big of a name to last long enough in drafts for me to take a flyer on him. He's coming off a disappointing season that was cut short by a back injury and he already has missed time in training camp with a hamstring injury. He also did not play in one preseason game, presumably because he was not healthy enough or the Texans were scared he would aggravate the injury. I have no faith he can stay healthy in 2014. I view him as a low end flex value at this point in his career.
Johnson was viewed as a disappointment last year, but still finished as the 9th overall fantasy running back with 1,422 yards from scrimmage and 10 total touchdowns. He should lead the New York Jets in rushing attempts, but he will be in a timeshare with RB Chris Ivory.