Who Should I Start? - Week 1

Arian Foster or Doug Martin

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Doug Martin
Doug Martin (TB)
at Jets
Sun, 9:00am ET
Arian Foster
Arian Foster (HOU)
at Chargers
Mon, 6:20pm ET
Expert Pick %
94%
6%
ECR
# 3
# 12
Best
# 1
# 3
Worst
# 15
# 29
Ave Projection (?)
17.6
14.6
Best
19.6
16.0
Worst
14.9
13.7
Ave Points / Game
9.4
10.8
Total Fantasy Points
56.2
86.5
Expert Pick %
94%
6%
 Dave Major
XN Sports
Site Projections
NumberFire
 Keet Bailey
Breaking Football
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
 Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
R.C. Fischer
Fantasy Football Metrics
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
 Eric Yeomans
Mr. 52 Pick-Up
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
 Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
 Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
Walter Cherepinsky
WalterFootball
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
 
 Matt Smith
NFL.com
 
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
 
 Taylor Smith
NFL Soup
 
 James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
 
 Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 
 Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
 
 Rich Arleo
Bruno Boys
 
 Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
 
 Scott Cullen
TSN
 
 Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Jason Smith
NFL.com
 
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
 
 Bryan Fontaine
Pro Football Focus
 
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
 
 Sky Sperling
Razzball
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 
 Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 
 Dave Dameshek
NFL.com
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
 
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
 
 Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 
 Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
 
 Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 
 Nathan Zegura
CBS Sports
 
 The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 
 Staff Composite
NFL.com
 
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
 
 John Halpin
Fox Sports
 
 Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 
 Ernie Estrella
Bruno Boys
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Tristan Cockcroft
ESPN
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 
 C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 
 Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
 
 Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
 
 Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
 
 Jeff Paur
RTSports
 
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
 
 Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 David Dodds
FootballGuys
 
 Ryan Hester
footballandbrackets
 
 Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
 
 Staff Rankings
RotoBaller
 
 Staff Composite
ESPN
 
 Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
 
 Staff
Roto Analysis
 
 Muntradamus
Beast Dome
 
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
 
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
 
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
 
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
 
 Site Projections
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
 
 Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 
 Christopher Harris
ESPN
 
 Eric Karabell
ESPN
 
 Paul Greco
FantasyPros911
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Football Freaks
 
 Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
 
 Patrick Daugherty
Rotoworld
 
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
 
 Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
 
 Adam Rank
NFL.com
 
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
 
 David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
 
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
 
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
 
 Mike Krueger
FFToday
 
 Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Adam Pfeifer
Rant Sports
 
 Ken Zalis
Fans Fantasy Football
 
 Justin Boone
The Score
 
 Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
 
 Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 
 Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 
 Micah James
FFMagicMan
 
 Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
 
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
 
 Steve Wyremski
Dynasty League Football
 
 Site Rankings
Fantasy Football Nerd
 
 Scott Engel
RotoExperts
 
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
 
 Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 
 KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 
 Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 
 Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 
 Site Projections
scoutPRO
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
 
ECR
# 3
# 12
Best
# 1
# 3
Worst
# 15
# 29
Site Projections
NumberFire
5
3
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
5
3
R.C. Fischer
Fantasy Football Metrics
8
3
Dave Major
XN Sports
3
4
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
6
4
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
6
4
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
10
5
Keet Bailey
Breaking Football
4
5
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
2
5
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
2
5
Eric Yeomans
Mr. 52 Pick-Up
2
6
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
2
6
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
3
6
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
2
6
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
3
6
Matt Smith
NFL.com
3
6
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
5
7
Taylor Smith
NFL Soup
3
7
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
2
7
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
3
7
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
2
7
Rich Arleo
Bruno Boys
2
7
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
4
7
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
10
7
Scott Cullen
TSN
2
8
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
3
8
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
3
8
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
2
8
Jason Smith
NFL.com
1
8
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
2
8
Bryan Fontaine
Pro Football Focus
2
9
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
3
9
Sky Sperling
Razzball
3
9
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
4
9
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
3
9
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
4
9
Dave Dameshek
NFL.com
4
9
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
5
9
Matthew Berry
ESPN
5
9
Bill Enright
FFChamps
3
9
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
2
9
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
4
10
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
3
10
Nathan Zegura
CBS Sports
4
10
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
1
10
Staff Composite
NFL.com
2
10
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
3
10
John Halpin
Fox Sports
2
11
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
2
11
Ernie Estrella
Bruno Boys
2
11
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
2
11
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
5
11
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
6
11
Tristan Cockcroft
ESPN
4
11
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
2
11
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
9
12
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
1
12
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
4
12
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
3
12
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
5
12
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
3
12
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
6
12
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
3
12
Jeff Paur
RTSports
4
12
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
7
12
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
3
12
David Dodds
FootballGuys
4
12
Ryan Hester
footballandbrackets
3
12
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
2
12
Staff Rankings
RotoBaller
3
12
Staff Composite
ESPN
3
12
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
8
12
Staff
Roto Analysis
6
12
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
6
12
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
3
12
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
5
13
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
3
13
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
2
13
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
5
13
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
1
13
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
3
13
Site Projections
Fantasy Football Starters
5
13
John Paulsen
4for4.com
3
13
Walter Cherepinsky
WalterFootball
15
13
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
4
13
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
3
13
Christopher Harris
ESPN
3
13
Eric Karabell
ESPN
2
13
Paul Greco
FantasyPros911
4
13
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Football Freaks
3
13
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
5
13
Patrick Daugherty
Rotoworld
2
13
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
3
14
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
3
14
Adam Rank
NFL.com
5
14
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
3
14
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
7
14
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
4
15
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
4
15
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
2
15
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
2
15
Mike Krueger
FFToday
4
15
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
2
15
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
5
16
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
3
16
Adam Pfeifer
Rant Sports
3
16
Ken Zalis
Fans Fantasy Football
3
16
Justin Boone
The Score
3
16
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
3
16
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
2
17
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
5
17
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
8
17
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
6
17
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
2
17
Micah James
FFMagicMan
9
17
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
4
18
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
3
18
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
10
18
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
2
18
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
5
18
Steve Wyremski
Dynasty League Football
9
18
Site Rankings
Fantasy Football Nerd
3
19
Scott Engel
RotoExperts
3
19
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
3
19
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
3
20
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
6
20
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
3
21
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
6
21
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
6
22
Site Projections
scoutPRO
3
24
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
6
29
Ave Projection (?)
17.6
14.6
Best
19.6
16.0
Worst
14.9
13.7
Rush Yards
93.8
73.2
Rush TDs
0.9
0.9
Receptions
3.3
2.3
Rec Yards
27.2
17.1
Rec TDs
0
0
Ave Targets / Game
1.5
2.2
Total Targets
24.0
35.0
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
The Jets are terrible for the most part. But for some reason I have reservations against Martin in New York. The defense still holds a lot of pride and will do everything they can to limit Martin.
San Diego's defense was better than most people realize in 2012. Foster may not have the best game, and could be a tad rusty after not getting much work during the preseason.
  
Taylor Smith
NFL Soup
MUSCLE HAMSTER. Martin does a little bit of everything, and he won't be losing carries to Peyton Hillis, so don't worry about that.
Foster was worked hard in 2012, leading the league with 351 carries. The Texans will be looking to decrease his workload this season, but he's still a near lock for 1,300+ yards and 10+ touchdowns. Not to mention his effectiveness in the passing game.
  
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
More talent in backfield this year than last; Mike James should see snaps, Hillis could vulture some goal line touches
I would draft Foster before Martin but always worry about the equally as talented Ben Tate and now legit 2nd option in passing game in DeAndre
  
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
The same logic I used with Charles applies to Martin. The Jets were 25th against fantasy running backs last year and the Jets offense is not good enough to turn this game into a blowout. Martin should see a ton of touches this week.
We'll find out soon enough if this offseason was an overreaction to Foster's back and calf problems. He hasn't carried the ball once this preseason and while I think he is too good to sit this week, I am not sure he has a Top 10 game against a Chargers D that was 13th against fantasy backs.
  
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
 
Not expected to see a full workload.
  
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
<nobr><a href="#" class="FAtxtL" id="FALINK_2_0_1">Teach</a></nobr> me how to Douggie has an opportunity to take his game to the next level. Josh Freeman had the Bucs offense clicking like the #1 Scoring offense for a good stretch of the 2012 season, and now he is in a contract year. The Bucs are a great darkhorse to <nobr><a href="#" class="FAtxtL" id="FALINK_3_0_2">win</a></nobr> the Superbowl, Doug will be a big reason why. Peyton Hillis ...
Arian took too many carries last season, the Texans offense was not as automatic as it was in the past, and the defense was banged up. This season, it is now or never for this Texans squad. Arian is 100% healthy and should be more effective than he was in 2012.
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
TB has the 5th ranked offensive line - allowing the third fewest sacks and ranked 11th in YPC at 4.42 yards. Unless you were locked in a Russian Prison last year, itís obvious that the entire fantasy football world knows about Doug Martin. TB Coach Greg Schiano said he would like to involve Martin in the passing game more and that he could see him reaching 2,000 total yards in 2013. If thatís the case, heís going to be your best friend for about 17 weeks.
Foster has not practiced since the end of May due to lingering back and calf issues. There is no denying an Arian Foster type talent, but the rushing attempts of 327 (2010), 278 (2011) and 351 (2012) have taken an obvious toll on his health. Continue to monitor his injury status deep into the pre-season as we are all sure to learn more as the season is set to begin. Foster could take a slide back if he continues to miss time.
  
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
Stands to reason that Foster sees a curtailed work load in the early going, with Tate picking up more of the slack in week one, given his limited preseason slate.
  
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
Doug Martin is expected to play on third downs this season which only boosts his overall fantasy value each week. And the New York Jets gave up the 9th most fantasy points to Running Backs last season.
 
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
The Jets have a tough defense, but their lack of offense gave opponents plenty of chances to run the ball and wear their defense down. That doesn't look like it will change much this season. Look for Martin to get plenty of touches both in the run and receiving game.
San Diego was tough on running backs last season giving up just 83 yards per game. Add that to the fact that Foster most likely won't get a full work load after not playing in the preseason and you have a scary proposition for a top tier play.
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Jets struggled against run last year and Bucs will probably have to run to win, so Martin should be pretty busy.
Word is he'll be eased in, so not sure I trust him as a usual RB1 this week.
  
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 
Foster is expected to split carries with Ben Tate in week 1. We aren't as high as most on him for this week