Who Should I Draft?

Chris Johnson or C.J. Spiller (2014)

Expert Pick %
89%
11%
ECR
# 18
# 25
Best
# 10
# 7
Worst
# 32
# 44
Ave Projection (?)
11.2
11.3
Best
16.0
15.4
Worst
8.3
8.2
Expert Pick %
89%
11%
 Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
 Jason Longfellow
Razzball
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
Mike Krueger
FFToday
 Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
 Scott Cullen
TSN
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
Micah James
FFMagicMan
 Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
Adam Rank
NFL.com
 Jeff Paur
RTSports
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
 
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
 Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
 Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
 David Dodds
FootballGuys
 
 Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
 
 Jim McCormick
ESPN
 
 Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
 
 Gene Wang
The Washington Post
 
 Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 
 Sean Koerner
STATS
 
 James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
 
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
 
 Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
 
 Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
 
 David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
 
 Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
 
 The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 
 Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
 
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
 
 Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
 
 Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
 
 Christopher Harris
ESPN
 
 Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
 
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
 
 Bob Henry
FootballGuys
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
 
 C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 
 Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 
 Site Projections
scoutPRO
 
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Staff Composite
NFL.com
 
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
 
 Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
 
 Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 
 Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 
 Chris Heil
Sportable
 
 Staff Rankings
ESPN
 
 John Halpin
Fox Sports
 
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 
 Eric Karabell
ESPN
 
 Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
 
 Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
 
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
 
 Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
 
 Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
 
 Staff
Roto Analysis
 
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
 
 Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
 
 Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
 
 Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
 
 Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
 
 Justin Boone
The Score
 
 Seth Klein
Razzball
 
 Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 
 Joel Beall
Fox Sports
 
 Ken Zalis
Pressbox
 
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
 
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 
 Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
 
 Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Cory Bonini
USA Today
 
 Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
 
 Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
 
 Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 
 Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
 
 Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 
 Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
 
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
 
 Matt Smith
NFL.com
 
 Marcus Grant
NFL.com
 
 Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
 
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
 
 Des Bieler
The Washington Post
 
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
 
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
 
 Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
 
 Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
 
 Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 
 Dave Major
XN Sports
 
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
 
 Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 Jason Smith
NFL.com
 
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
 
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
 
 Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 
 Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
 
 Doug Orth
FFToday
 
 Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Steve Olson
StatSims
 
 Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
 
ECR
# 18
# 25
Best
# 10
# 7
Worst
# 32
# 44
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
22
7
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
12
15
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
11
15
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
13
15
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
27
16
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
24
16
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
19
18
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
15
18
Mike Krueger
FFToday
27
18
Bill Enright
FFChamps
12
18
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
14
18
Scott Cullen
TSN
14
18
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
16
19
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
18
19
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
12
19
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
20
19
Jeff Paur
RTSports
15
19
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
17
20
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
24
20
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
24
20

19
21
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
14
21
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
18
22
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
20
22
Micah James
FFMagicMan
26
22
Adam Rank
NFL.com
32
22
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
31
22
David Dodds
FootballGuys
18
22
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
27
22
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
20
22
Jim McCormick
ESPN
15
22
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
10
22
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
18
22
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
14
22
Sean Koerner
STATS
20
22
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
20
23
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
20
23
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
16
23
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
18
23
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
15
23
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
15
23
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
21
23
Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
21
23
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
15
23
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
18
24
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
19
24
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
15
24
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
21
24
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
16
24
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
20
24
Christopher Harris
ESPN
19
24
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
16
24
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
17
24
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
27
24
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
15
24
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
27
24
John Paulsen
4for4.com
21
24
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
15
24
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
22
24
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
17
24
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
21
24
Site Projections
scoutPRO
20
24
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
19
25
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
17
25
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
28
25
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
23
25
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
19
25
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
22
25
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
27
25
Staff Composite
NFL.com
21
25
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
20
25
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
21
25
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
11
25
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
20
25
Chris Heil
Sportable
14
26
Staff Rankings
ESPN
18
25
John Halpin
Fox Sports
13
25
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
14
25
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
11
25
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
16
26
Eric Karabell
ESPN
20
25
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
19
25
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
19
25
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
23
25
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
15
25
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
19
25
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
19
25
Staff
Roto Analysis
24
25
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
24
26
Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
20
26
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
19
26
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
18
26
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
20
26
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
17
26
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
20
26
Justin Boone
The Score
24
26
Seth Klein
Razzball
16
26
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
12
26
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
13
26
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
20
26
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
20
26
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
16
26
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
17
26
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
16
26
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
16
26
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
17
26
Cory Bonini
USA Today
13
26
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
17
27
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
22
27
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
17
27
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
18
27
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
17
27
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
15
27
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
18
27
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
20
27
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
22
27
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
17
27
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
21
27
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
20
28
Matt Smith
NFL.com
24
28
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
18
28
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
19
28
Matthew Berry
ESPN
15
28
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
16
28
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
16
28
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
18
28
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
21
29
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
18
29
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
25
29
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
25
29
Dave Major
XN Sports
22
29
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
22
29
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
21
30
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
17
30
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
24
30
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
21
30
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
24
31
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
19
32
Jason Smith
NFL.com
21
32
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
21
32
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
20
32
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
18
32
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
23
32
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
17
34
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
20
34
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
19
34
Doug Orth
FFToday
22
35
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
27
35
Steve Olson
StatSims
22
40
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
18
44
Ave Projection (?)
11.2
11.3
Best
16.0
15.4
Worst
8.3
8.2
Rush Yards
69.5
59.9
Rush TDs
0.4
0.6
Receptions
2.3
2.5
Rec Yards
18.9
18.6
Rec TDs
0.0
0.0
Ave Targets / Game
2.7
3.3
Total Targets
40.0
52.0
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
I am becoming less of a fan of the Buffalo coaching staff. They have one of the most explosive players in the NFL, but they refuse to give him the ball in space and they seem fascinated with Fred Jackson, Bryce Brown and Anthony Dixon. Spiller has the most talent of the running backs on this team, but he is misused on a weekly basis.
Johnson was viewed as a disappointment last year, but still finished as the 9th overall fantasy running back with 1,422 yards from scrimmage and 10 total touchdowns. He should lead the New York Jets in rushing attempts, but he will be in a timeshare with RB Chris Ivory.
  
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
Unfortunately, looking at another season of F-Jax stealing goal-line and passing down work
Looks like a 60/40 split w/ Ivory in backfield, but NYJ will be run heavy, so workload should be good enough
  
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
CJ Spiller has ton of talent but does not seem capable of being a feature back and will compete for snaps with the ageless Fred Jackson and Bryce Brown who was brought in from Philly. Spiller has more value in PPR formats as the Bills will attempt to utilize Spiller is space to play to his strengths.
Chris Johnson has joined the New York Jets and anyone who does not recognize the fear a Michael Vick/Chris Johnson tandem will instill in opposing defensive coordinators has not been following football close enough. The ‘fastest backfield ever built’ could propel the Jets to the playoffs and Johnson to RB1 numbers...but Geno Smith is being pushed by team brass to be the starter limiting Johnson’s fantasy value. Chris Ivory is a legit threat to steal carries but it would be very surprising to see Ivory not miss games with an injury or two this season.
  
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
He didn't find the end-zone enough last year and has been battling with injuries. He has incredible upside if you are willing to gamble but make sure you have some back-up options.
His role as an every down back are fading and he is going to be a bit of a gamble pick and may go too early in drafts.
  
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
I'm still a huge believer in C.J. and hopefully this is the year he pays off for his owners. But Fred Jackson is lurking and still proved to be a valuable player on the field.
CJ2K may not be a Titan heading into the season, make sure to keep track of his situation during the off season. Word is that the Titans have put Chris on the trading block. But that won't do any good. No one will take that contract, we will have to wait when the Titans finally release him.
  
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
Is doomed to share with Jackson forever, and will not be in goal line packages.
Favorite to lead the run-heavy committee in NY, but will give way to Ivory at the stripe.
  
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
Buffalo has flirted with a few backs this season, but I view that as more an intention to replace Fred Jackson (long term) than I do to take opportunities from Spiller.
 
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Spiller is a freak but due to health issues his role will have to change. That doesn't mean he's suddenly a scrub, though.
CJ2k wants 2k yds again. Not too likely without a true feature role, but he can still offer RB2 upside.
  
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
Huge injury concerns, lots of upside outside of the top 30 overall. Is the risk built into the investment? Probably.
 
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Spiller is too good to let slip far on draft day, but he doesn't come without plenty of risk. The offense is a run first offense and Spiller is the lead back. He has the ability to take over a game and put up huge numbers, but also has the ability to tweak something and play hurt for a few weeks.
Not sure what to do with CJwhocaresK. He still has the speed and skill, but can you trust him to break a tackle? Sometimes, yes, so he has to be drafted. He'll be up and down all season, but put up a few big games to keep you believing.
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
A high-risk, high-reward pick. I'm willing to make a substantial bet on his talent.
Wildly erratic from week to week. Let someone else deal with the frustration.
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
Spiller admitted that there’s a big difference in the teams running game with a year of experience under their belt in the new offensive running scheme. With this being said, Bills coaches want Spiller to touch the ball 20 times this season. They said the same last year – they wanted him to run until he got sick. With a deep backfield, we don’t see this being too realistic. There are two things that limited Spiller’s production last season. The first, E.J. Manuel. Manuel struggled mightily last season in every aspect of being an NFL QB. This resulted in the Bills running the ball, a league high 546 times while defenses continued to pack it in. Secondly, Spiller was playing hurt a majority of the season while the Bills continued to throw him in between tackles. That’s not Spiller’s game. He succeeds off of screens, pitches, etc. The Bills need to establish the passing game for a now healthy Spiller to create space in order for him to be more effective.
Rex Ryan said Chris “CJ?K” Johnson was “flying” in the mandatory conditioning running. CJ?K was recently cleared after surgery on his 2013 torn meniscus injury. He’s in line to share a workload with Chris Ivory and Bilal Powell and remains a low end RB2. Remember when Chris Johnson GUARANTEED to rush for 2,500 yards and win MVP, Geno Smith has GUARANTEED the Playoffs to New York in 2014 and Rex Ryan GUARANTEES everything. In other news, ESPN New York expects a timeshare/backfield by committee approach between CJ?K and Powell/Ivory this season. Johnson will see much less volume than he did in Tennessee and shouldn’t be viewed as the option he was in years past.
  
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
Usage won't be as high as you want it to, and will likely lose out on a handful of touchdowns to Fred Jackson.