Who Should I Draft?

Pierre Garcon or Wes Welker (2014)

Revise
Expert Pick %
96%
4%
ECR
# 16
# 35
Best
# 3
# 9
Worst
# 40
# 130
Ave Projection (?)
9.5
0.0
Best
12.1
0.0
Worst
8.0
0.0
Expert Pick %
96%
4%
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Revelation Sports
 
ECR
# 16
# 35
Best
# 3
# 9
Worst
# 40
# 130
Steve Olson
StatSims
3
130
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
7
29
Chris Heil
Sportable
13
47
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
9
N/A
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
9
37
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
9
24
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
10
54
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
10
15
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
10
11
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
10
40
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
10
38
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
11
28
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
11
40
Jason Smith
NFL.com
11
17
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
11
21
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
11
30
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
11
40
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
14
34
Matthew Berry
ESPN
11
26
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
12
13
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
12
66
Matt Smith
NFL.com
12
22
Staff Composite
NFL.com
12
27
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
12
33
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
12
22
Bill Enright
FFChamps
12
32
Micah James
FFMagicMan
13
39
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
13
49
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
13
45
Seth Klein
Razzball
13
18
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
13
59
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
13
59
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
13
34
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
13
44
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
13
38
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
13
40
Eric Karabell
ESPN
13
24
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
13
41
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
13
55
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
13
41
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
13
19
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
13
40
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
13
20
Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
13
25
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
13
16
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
13
32
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
14
37
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
14
22
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
14
40
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
14
45
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
14
33
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
14
38
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
14
26
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
14
66
Staff Rankings
ESPN
14
38
John Halpin
Fox Sports
14
37
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
14
31
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
14
30
Cory Bonini
USA Today
14
53
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
15
20
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
15
41
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
15
48
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
15
55
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
15
N/A
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
15
47
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
15
41
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
15
N/A
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
15
19
Site Projections
scoutPRO
15
61
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
16
50
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
16
37
Adam Rank
NFL.com
16
36
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
16
62

16
28
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
16
30
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
16
18
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
16
18
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
16
41
Jeff Paur
RTSports
16
40
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
16
32
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
17
64
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
17
18
Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
17
34
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
17
40
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
17
48
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
17
33
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
17
58
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
17
13
Doug Orth
FFToday
17
28
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
17
35
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
17
56
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
17
53
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
17
32
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
17
55
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
17
28
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
17
41
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
17
35
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
18
66
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
18
43
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
18
21
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
18
31
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
18
45
Christopher Harris
ESPN
18
32
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
18
43
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
18
N/A
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
19
36
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
18
31
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
18
50
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
18
49
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
18
22
Sean Koerner
STATS
18
61
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
19
52
David Dodds
FootballGuys
19
70
Justin Boone
The Score
19
60
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
19
44
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
19
45
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
19
32
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
19
39
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
19
60
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
20
35
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
20
41
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
20
57
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
20
65
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
20
35
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
20
47
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
20
24
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
20
26
Dave Major
XN Sports
20
9
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
20
33
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
20
49
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
21
50
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
21
N/A
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
21
18
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
21
N/A
John Paulsen
4for4.com
21
58
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
22
33
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
22
47
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
22
44
Mike Krueger
FFToday
22
38
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
23
42
Jim McCormick
ESPN
23
21
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
24
21
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
24
55
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
25
52
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
25
36
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
26
N/A
Staff
Roto Analysis
27
40
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
28
56
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
31
65
Scott Cullen
TSN
40
31
Ave Projection (?)
9.5
0.0
Best
12.1
0.0
Worst
8.0
0.0
Receptions
5.5
0.0
Rec Yards
67.4
0.0
Rec TDs
0.4
0.0
Ave Targets / Game
11.4
8.5
Total Targets
183.0
110.0
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
Garcon's 2nd season in Washington saw him set a franchise record with 113 receptions for 1,346 yards and 5 touchdowns. Garcon is not likely to see the 182 targets he registered in 2013, but better chemistry with his star quarterback should mitigate the loss in targets.
He started the 2013 season with a 6-game scoring streak, scoring a total of 8 touchdowns over that span, along with producing at least 9 standard Fantasy points in 8 straight games. Then came Denver’s bye in Week 9, and Welker fell apart. He had just one game with double digits in Fantasy points in his final five outings before missing the last three games of the year with a concussion. I have Welker a bit higher then the majority of others but I still consider Welker a No. 2 Fantasy receiver worth drafting as early as Round 4 or 5 but I like his upside this year if he can remain healthy. If he can stay healthy for 16 games you could be looking at 80-plus receptions, 1,000-plus yards and at least 8 touchdowns.
  
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Garcon had the receptions (113) and yards (1,346) to be a Top 10 fantasy receiver. He needs to improve on his five touchdowns if he is going to be an elite fantasy option. WR DeSean Jackson should help take pressure off Garcon. It may decrease his receptions, but could also increase his YPC and touchdowns.
Concussions caught up with Welker this year and he scored only one touchdown from Week 10 to Week 17. I would be concerned about drafting a 33-year old receiver high that has a significant concussion history. I do not think he stays healthy this year. He also has a four game suspension.
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
Led the NFL last season with 113 Receptions. Garcon also netted 1346 Receiving Yards and only 5 TDs. The acquisition of DeSean Jackson will mean less double coverage in 2014 for Garcon, but will also mean that there are more mouths to feed in DC. The Washington Post recently reported that Jackson will take over the “Z” which was the position of A.J. Green last season in Jay Gruden’s Cincinnati Offense with Garcon handling the “X” at WR. Ultimately, we feel that Garcon will see a bump in Yards Per Reception, but a major reduction in his 182 Targets. However, we fully expect a regression in Receptions in 2014 and we don’t like him at his current ADP.
Last year Peyton Manning saw 160 Blitz’s and was only sacked twice. His average time to throw the ball in a Blitz was 2.13 seconds, according to PFF. A reason for Manning’s success against the Blitz last season was his “security blanket’s” in both Wes Welker and Knowshon Moreno. With Moreno gone, Montee Ball isn’t the receiver Moreno was (60 receptions appear out of reach.) You can expect Defenses to continue to put pressure on the 38 year old Peyton Manning and with this you can expect a lot quick passes to Welker again in 2014. However, the concerning part with Wes Welker is that he is just one bad concussion away from ending his career after receiving two in 2013. Consequently, Denver resulted in signing Emmanuel Sanders – who’s able to play a similar role. If he’s able to play a full 17 Game season, we love Welker … but we’re skeptical he’s able to do that in 2014.
  
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
Receptions may decline some, but he will be more productive with DJax drawing coverage.
Won't be active until week 6-7.
  
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
The targets will come down to be certain, but Garcon was dominant with no legitimate threat opposite him. Team projects "he'll see more single coverage in first eight games than he has his entire Washington career."
 
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Garcon won't see the percentage of targets he had last season, but there's no doubting that RG3 feels very comfortable with him. Desean Jackson will take some pressure off him and some targets, but Jay Gruden's offense should help the passing game, along with a healthy RG3.
I have been wishy washy on Welker this year. His age and concussion history could provide some room for Cody Latimer and Emmanuel Sanders to take a step up at some point, but as long as he's on the field he's going to catch many, many passes.
  
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
Garcon has proven that he is an elite WR, but his lack of TD's in 2013 is a bit of a concern.
PPR leaguers favorite selection. He will now where the concussion helmet so hoping he remains on the field all of 2014.
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
He's a burner who turned into a PPR demon last year. That won't stick but he's still going to be a low-end WR1 or elite WR2.
Should continue to be a PPR machine in this offense. No Decker helps.
  
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
The addition of DeSean Jackson from Philadelphia will vulture some of Garson's fantasy value in 2014.
 
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
A decline in volume is inevitable, but he's still essential to Skins' offense.
Not a sexy choice, but hard to overlook a high-volume WR playing with Peyton.
  
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
Downgrade here b/c of too much uncertainty after his 3rd concussion in a year.
  
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
Target hog in '13 had healthy 12 looks in W1, but an Edelman like 10/77 line - important takeaway is that opportunities are still plentiful
 
  
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Will take a step back with DeSean Jackson in town to steal targets
Will push for WR1 numbers when healthy