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WR Sleepers and the Experts Who Love Them

Bernard BerrianBased off of the positive feedback from our RB Sleepers post last week, we’ve decided to open up our analysis to additional positions. The top request for our next report was the wide receiver position so we’ll tackle (horrible pun, I know) that one today and be sure to follow up with a look at the other key positions of interest in the coming days.

So, let’s take a look at the list! Who are the wide receivers that the experts are predicting to outperform the common expectations?

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Notes:

  • Fantasy Sharks must see something they absolutely LOVE about Bernard Berrian given how much better they have him ranked than everyone else. Perhaps this is related to the recent injury to the Vikings’ #1 WR, Sidney Rice, as well as the uncertain status of Percy Harvin? Oh yeah, let’s also not forget that Berrian’s value received a boost when Brett Favre officially declared he was returning to play this season.  But who am I kidding? Of course you didn’t forget that since ESPN has secretly implanted microchips in our brains so we always know the latest updates on Favre!
  • Yahoo is considerably higher on Antonio Bryant than everyone else. From an ADP perspective, they’re basically recommending to draft him a full 4 rounds higher than where he’s currently being taken. This one’s a head scratcher because Bryant has been saddled with a knee injury since July and there are even rumors that the Bengals might release him. Is it possible Yahoo knows something that everyone else doesn’t?
  • Devin Hester was a popular pick with two expert mentions on our list. The Bears hired guru, Mike Martz, as their offensive coordinator in the off-season so there is some belief that if Hester is ever going to put it together, now is the time with the Bears shifting to a pass-happy offense.
  • Jabar Gaffney is another player that several experts are high on. There’s good reason for this as the reports have been positive for him so far out of training camp. And with Brandon Marshall “taking his talents to South Beach”, Gaffney will be counted on to pick up some of the void left from the 100+ receptions and 1,100+ receiving yards that are following Marshall to Miami.

Undervalued WRs

If you’re more interested in who the experts as a whole, rather than individually, think are the undervalued WRs, we can compare the expert consensus rank (ECR) for each player to their ADP.  When a player’s ADP is much worse than his ECR it’s an indication that the experts feel the player is undervalued.  Below is a list of the top undervalued WRs using this approach:

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Depending upon how deep your league is, some of the lower ranked players on this list might not be that important to you. For me, guys like Mike Wallace, Robert Meachem and Kenny Britt pop out as potential values but it’s all dependent upon what your league setup is. Either way, this list does a nice job of laying out when you might be able to pick up some value for WRs during your draft.

So there you have it. We now have a full list of WR sleepers by expert as well as the undervalued players determined by the consensus expert rankings. Let us know if you agree with the experts that are high on these WRs or if you think they’re off base. And is there a WR you have pegged as a sleeper that the experts are missing the boat on?

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