Week 11’s Most Accurate Experts

Nov 22, 2012

Week 11 Accuracy ResultsWith only 5 weeks left in the fantasy season, we’ve officially reached crunch time. The playoffs are on the horizon and it goes without saying that every decision made carries significant weight.


While the stakes are increasing for fantasy owners, they’re also going up for the experts in our accuracy contest. A quick glance at our YTD leaderboard shows the standings are incredibly tight, with the title of ‘Most Accurate Expert’ up for grabs. That means the pundits have more incentive than ever to make sure they’re providing excellent advice down the stretch.


Which experts delivered the best week 11 predictions? We’ll break it down by highlighting the top 10 (out of 98 experts).


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Week 11 Accuracy Results


Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard*
  Rank   Expert   PAY™
 1.  Zach Greubel – Win My Fantasy League  63.4%
 2.  Pat Fitzmaurice – Pro Football Weekly  63.3%
 3.  Sigmund Bloom – FootballGuys  62.9%
 4.  Staff Rankings – FFToolbox  62.0%
 5.  Muntradamus – Beast Dome  61.6%
 6.  David Dodds – FootballGuys  61.3%
 7.  Brett Talley – The Fantasy Fix  61.2%
 8.  Brent Namejko – Fantasy Smack Talk  61.2%
 9.  Zhan Mourning – Gridiron Experts  61.2%
 10.  Michael Pichan – RotoInfo  61.0%

*See how all 98 experts ranked for the week


Kudos to Zach Greubel (Win My Fantasy League) for having the most accurate predictions in week 11. Greubel secured the top spot by finishing in the upper portion of the ratings for each major position we track (QB/RB/WR/TE). His best call was slotting the week’s best RB, Marcel Reece, as a top 10 back. Only 14% of fantasy experts we monitored took a similar stance so rolling with the OAK RB gave Greubel a key boost vs. the competition. Greubel also made a few nice decisions when it came to several of week 11’s top WRs. He ranked the #1 WR, Andre Johnson, 4 spots ahead of the expert consensus and he also slotted another top 10 wideout, Randall Cobb, 5 places ahead of the field. Those picks served as key contributions to a well-deserved #1 rating .


Peak Performers


We also want to highlight the experts that did the best job of ranking week 11′s peak performers. Below are several key players that came through beyond expectations for fantasy owners along with the experts who delivered their top ranking.


Matt Schaub (HOU)

Consensus: QB #16

Best Rank: QB #9

Actual Rank: QB #1

Top Expert: James Hatfield (Hatty Waiver Wire Guru)


Marcel Reece (OAK)

Consensus: RB #14

Best Rank: RB #6

Actual Rank: RB #1 (tie)

Top Experts: Anthony Perri (Insider Football) & Site Projections (scoutPRO)


LaRod Stephens-Howling (ARI)

Consensus: RB #22

Best Rank: RB #15

Actual Rank: RB #1 (tie)

Top Expert: Staff Rankings (KFFL)


Andre Johnson (HOU)

Consensus: WR #16

Best Rank: WR #5

Actual Rank: WR #1

Top Experts: Maurile Tremblay (FootballGuys) & Paul Quadrato (RotoInfo)


Justin Blackmon (JAC)

Consensus: WR #61

Best Rank: WR #38

Actual Rank: WR #2

Top Expert: Paul Greco (FP911)


Danario Alexander (SD)

Consensus: WR #35

Best Rank: WR #15

Actual Rank: WR #4

Top Expert: Anthony Perri (Insider Football)


New England D/ST

NE PatriotsConsensus: D/ST #11

Best Rank: D/ST #4

Actual Rank: D/ST #1

Top Expert: Jason Smith (NFL.com)



Year-to-Date Accuracy


Top 10 Experts – YTD Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Jody Smith – Gridiron Experts  62.6%
 2.  Sablich Brothers – The New York Times  62.4%
 3.  John Paulsen – 4for4.com  62.1%
 4.  Mike Tagliere – Tags Fantasy Football  61.9%
 5.  David Dodds – FootballGuys  61.9%
 6.  Ken Zalis – Fans Fantasy Football  61.8%
 7.  Justin Boone – TSN  61.6%
 8.  Pat Fitzmaurice – Pro Football Weekly  61.6%
 9.  Nick Raducanu – The Fantasy Fix  61.6%
 10.  Jeff Ratcliffe – Pro Football Focus  61.5%

*See how all the experts rank for the season


There were no major changes atop the year-to-date leaderboard this week. Jody Smith (Gridiron Experts) is holding down the fort as the #1 expert for the 6th straight week while the Sablich Brothers (The New York Times) are right on Smith’s heels in 2nd place. The biggest mover in the standings is Pat Fitzmaurice (Pro Football Weekly), who shot all the way up into the top 10 (#22 last week) on the strength of a successful week 11. This is the 4th season Fitzmaurice has participated in the competition and he has been among the top 11 experts every year. Therefore, it’s no surprise to see a late-season run from him. Of course, the big question is whether or not Fitzmaurice or anyone else can make enough of a push to overtake Jody Smith down the stretch. It’s clearly something we’ll be monitoring as we inch closer to crowning 2012’s accuracy champion.


That wraps up our accuracy recap for this week. We’ll be back again after the games this weekend to provide another update on the top experts. In the meantime, we hope everyone has a wonderful Thanksgiving! Best of luck with your upcoming fantasy matchups as well.

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