Week 12’s Most Accurate Experts

Nov 28, 2012

Week 12 Accuracy ResultsWeek 12 was boom or bust for many fantasy owners. If you picked up Bryce Brown or Beanie Wells, you’re probably feeling pretty good about yourself right now. On the other hand, anyone who went all in on Ronnie Hillman is likely looking for a refund after the Denver RB touched the ball only 3 times on Sunday. Amazingly, that nets out to a decreased workload with Willis McGahee on the shelf.


Which experts made the best calls on these players? Who delivered the top advice for week 12? Read on to find out in this week’s expert accuracy recap.


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Week 12 Accuracy Results


Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert   PAY™
 1.  Maurile Tremblay – FootballGuys  69.9%
 2.  Muntradamus – Beast Dome  69.3%
 3.  Dawgmatica – Pyromaniac  68.1%
 4.  Dave Richard – CBS Sports  67.8%
 5.  Staff Rankings – Roster Watch  66.1%
 6.  Mike Clay – Pro Football Focus  65.9%
 7.  Raju Byfield – WinMyFantasyLeague  65.8%
 8.  David Dodds – FootballGuys  65.4%
 9.  Staff Rankings – FFToolbox  65.0%
 10.  Moe Koltun – Roto Analysis  65.0%

*See how all 100 experts ranked for the week


Congrats to Maurile Tremblay (FootballGuys) for coming through with the most accurate rankings in week 12. Tremblay had the highest rated RB predictions, checking in with a lofty 75% PAY™ at the position. That effectively means listening to Tremblay’s advice would have netted fantasy owners 75% of available RB fantasy points. Not surprisingly, he had several of week 12’s top studs rated higher than the expert consensus: Bryce Brown, Beanie Wells & Knowshon Moreno. Tremblay also delivered a nice surprise hit by slotting (RB #36) Shane Vereen above all but 3 experts. That served as a solid flex recommendation for a player that finished the week as a top 5 RB. At WR, Tremblay gets credit for rolling the dice on a couple of sleepers that ended up as top 10 wideouts. His ranking (WR #30) for Chris Givens was 33 spots above the expert consensus while he also slotted (WR #35) Mohamed Sanu 24 spots ahead of the field. These picks helped to bolster Tremblay’s WR rating (#4 out of 100) and contributed to his #1 overall score for the week.


Peak Performers


We also want to highlight the experts that did the best job of ranking week 12′s peak performers. Below are several key players that came through beyond expectations for fantasy owners along with the experts who delivered their top ranking.


Bryce Brown (PHI)

Consensus Rank: RB #21

Best Rank: RB #12

Actual Rank: RB #1

Top Expert: Brandon Funson (Yahoo! Sports)


Beanie Wells (ARI)

Consensus Rank: RB #32

Best Rank: RB #19

Actual Rank: RB #10

Top Expert: Anthony Perri (Insider Football)


Dez Bryant (DAL)

Consensus Rank: WR #14

Best Rank: WR #1

Actual Rank: WR #1

Top Expert: Jason Smith (NFL.com)


Chris Givens (STL)

Consensus Rank: WR #63

Best Rank: WR #27

Actual Rank: WR #5

Top Expert: Matthew Berry (ESPN)


Mohamed Sanu (CIN)

Consensus: WR #59

Best Rank: WR #25

Actual Rank: WR #7

Top Expert: Muntradamus (Beast Dome)


Dustin Keller (NYJ)

Consensus: TE #14

Best Rank: TE #3

Actual Rank: TE #2

Top Expert: Nathan Zegura (CBS Sports)


Year-to-Date Accuracy


 Top 10 Experts – YTD Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Jody Smith – Gridiron Experts  62.7%
 2.  Sablich Brothers – The New York Times  62.6%
 3.  John Paulsen – 4for4.com  62.3%
 4.  David Dodds – FootballGuys  62.2%
 5.  Muntradamus – Beast Dome  62.2%
 6.  Mike Tagliere – Tags Fantasy Football  62.1%
 7.  Ken Zalis – Fans Fantasy Football  61.9%
 8.  Justin Boone – TSN  61.8%
 9.  Staff Rankings – Roster Watch  61.8%
 10.  Nick Raducanu – The Fantasy Fix  61.7%

*See how all the experts rank for the season


It hardly seems possible but the race for the title of Most Accurate Expert actually got tighter this week. With another top 15 performance, the Sablich Brothers (The New York Times) chopped off more than half of the gap between themselves and Jody Smith (Gridiron Experts). Smith is now clinging to a razor thin .1% lead in the competition. Of course, for Smith’s part, this is the 7th week in a row that he’s held down the #1 overall spot. Fending off the competition may seem like old hat at this point for him. With that said, this is the closest his lead has been in the past 7 weeks so it will certainly be interesting to see how the competition continues to take shape over the coming weeks.


That does it for this week’s accuracy recap. We’ll check back in next week to provide another update on the top experts. In the meantime, best of luck to everyone with your upcoming fantasy matchups.

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