Week 15’s Most Accurate Experts

by Andrew Sears | Accuracy | Dec 19th 2012

Week 15 Accuracy ResultsFor fantasy owners, it’s all on the line this weekend. Bragging rights, shiny trophies, cash prizes – you name it – are at stake with league championships playing out. The same can be said for the experts in our accuracy competition. They’ve battled it out for 15 weeks and we’re just 1 week away from crowning 2012’s Most Accurate Expert. Despite the consistency atop our leaderboard, one good or bad week still has the potential to determine who takes home the majority of our accuracy awards. Simply put, we should be in for an exciting conclusion to the competition.

 

Before we jump too far ahead of ourselves, however, let’s take a look back at which experts made the most accurate predictions in week 15.

 


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 Week 15 Accuracy Results

 

Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Mike Clay – Pro Football Focus  65.6%
 2.  Site Projections – numberFire  64.0%
 3.  Scott Pianowski – Yahoo! Sports  62.1%
 4.  Brett Talley – The Fantasy Fix  62.1%
 5.  Jamey Eisenberg – CBS Sports  61.9%
 6.  Mike Krueger – FFToday  61.9%
 7.  John Paulsen – 4for4.com  61.5%
 8.  Bryan Fontaine – Pro Football Focus  61.4%
 9.  Staff Rankings – Bruno Boys  61.2%
 10.  Eric Yeomans – Pro Football Focus  61.2%

*See how all 98 experts ranked for the week

 

Congrats to Mike Clay (Pro Football Focus) for earning top accuracy honors in week 15. This is the 3rd week in a row that Clay has finished in the top 10 so he’s certainly delivered down the stretch with his predictions. As the week’s #1 QB expert, Clay was one of only three experts to rate Russell Wilson (297 yds, 4 TDs) inside his top 12 QBs. He also spotted a quality performance from another young signal caller: Colin Kaepernick. His ranking (QB #8) for Kaepernick (4 TDs) was surpassed by only 2 experts. On the flip side, Clay had a good read on Matthew Stafford’s (0 TDs, 3 INTs) disappointing day. He rated the Detroit QB lowest of all experts at QB #16. This served as a clear bench suggestion for fantasy owners. Meanwhile, at RB, Clay delivered a sleeper hit by slotting Mike Tolbert (2 TDs) above all other experts monitored (RB #32). That ranking served as excellent Flex advice for fantasy owners feeling the pinch of injuries.

 

Peak Performers

 

We’d also like to highlight the experts that did the best job of ranking week 15′s peak performers. Below are several key players that came through beyond expectations for fantasy owners along with the experts who delivered their top ranking.

 

Russell Wilson (SEA)

Consensus: QB #17

Best Rank: QB #11

Actual Rank: QB #1

Top Experts: Mike Clay (Pro Footbal Focus), Paul Quadrato (RotoInfo), numberFire

 

James Jones (GB)

Consensus: WR #44

Best Rank: WR #28

Actual Rank: WR #1

Top Experts: Scott Cullen (TSN), Greg Smith (The Fake Football), Michael Sherman (FTA), numberFire

 

Michael Crabtree (SF)

Consensus: WR #25

Best Rank: WR #10

Actual Rank: WR #2

Top Expert: scoutPro

 

Beanie Wells (ARI)

Consensus: RB #35

Best Rank: RB #23

Actual Rank: RB #2

Top Expert: WhatIfSports

 

Danny Woodhead (NE)

Consensus: RB #49

Best Rank: RB #36

Actual Rank: RB #4

Top Expert: Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Sports)

 

Mike Tolbert (CAR)

Consensus: RB #46

Best Rank: RB #32

Actual Rank: RB #7

Top Expert: Mike Clay (Pro Football Focus)

 

Dennis Pitta (BAL)

Consensus: TE #11

Best Rank:  TE #3

Actual Rank: TE #1

Top Expert: Dave Richard (CBS Sports)

 

 

Year-to-Date Accuracy

 

Top 10 Experts – YTD Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Jody Smith – Gridiron Experts  62.6%
 2.  Sablich Brothers – The New York Times  62.3%
 3.  John Paulsen – 4for4.com  62.1%
 4.  Mike Clay – Pro Football Focus  62.1%
 5.  David Dodds – FootballGuys  61.9%
 6.  Muntradamus – Beast Dome  61.9%
 7.  Mike Tagliere – Tags Fantasy Football  61.9%
 8.  Ken Zalis – Fans Fantasy Football  61.9%
 9.  Bryan Fontaine – Pro Football Focus  61.8%
 10.  Justin Boone – TSN  61.8%

*See how all the experts rank for the season

 

With only 1 week left in the competition, Jody Smith (Gridiron Experts) is holding strong as the #1 expert for the 10th week in a row. The key to Smith’s success has been an uncanny ability to avoid an off week down the stretch. Over the past 7 weeks, Smith’s lowest weekly rating has been #29 (out of 100) and he has 3 top 15 showings sprinkled in. That level of consistency has made him very difficult to surpass given that he continues to out-predict a bulk of the expert field each week. For another expert to catch him at the finish line, it would certainly take a break in that consistency this coming week.

 

We’ll be back next week to officially crown 2012’s Most Accurate Expert. Until then, best of luck to everyone in your playoff matchups this week!


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