Week 13’s Most Accurate Experts

Dec 6, 2012

Week 12 Accuracy ResultsWe’re officially through 13 weeks of the season and that means the fantasy playoffs are ready to start up in most leagues. With pride, bragging rights and (possibly) money at stake, if there was ever a time for fantasy owners to make sure they’re getting the best advice, this is it.


With that in mind, let’s take a look at how our accuracy contest is shaping up now that another week is complete. We’ll break down which experts nailed their week 13 predictions and also examine what impact there has been to the YTD standings.


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Week 13 Accuracy Results


Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Mike Krueger – FFToday  66.6%
 2.  Scott Engel – RotoExperts  64.3%
 3.  Mike Clay – Pro Football Focus  63.7%
 4.  Ryan Forbes – 2MugsFF  63.5%
 5.  Brett Talley – The Fantasy Fix  63.1%
 6.  Eric Yeomans – Pro Football Focus  63.1%
 7.  Ross Miles – Pro Football Focus  63.0%
 8.  Raju Byfield – WinMyFantasyLeague  62.9%
 9.  Michael Fabiano – NFL.com  62.5%
 10.  Staff Composite – Yahoo! Sports  62.4%

*See how all 100 experts ranked for the week


Kudos to Mike Krueger (FFToday) for coming through with the most accurate rankings in week 13. Krueger’s positional picks rated in the top 10 at QB, RB & WR. There’s no doubt his best call was a decision to slot Cam Newton (300+ yards & 3 TDs) as his #1 QB. That was a bold move no other expert we tracked (100 total) was willing to make, yet it paid off in a major way as Newton finished as the week’s top QB. For the receivers, Krueger rated top 5 performer (his WR #11), Steve Smith, higher than all other experts. He also had a nice sleeper hit with his decision to slot Sidney Rice (a top 10 performer) inside his 30 best WRs. Only 7 other prognosticators made the same call. Of course, it also never hurts to have a good read on several of the week’s top busts. Krueger did just that by ranking both Beanie Wells (22 yards) & Chris Johnson (71 total yards, 1 fumble) lower than all but a handful of experts.


Peak Performers


We also want to highlight the experts that did the best job of ranking week 13′s peak performers. Below are several key players that came through beyond expectations for fantasy owners along with the experts who delivered their top ranking.


Bryce Brown (PHI)

Consensus: RB #14

Best Rank:  RB #5

Actual Rank: RB #1

Top Expert: Anthony Perri (Insider Football)


Cam Newton (CAR)

Consensus: QB #8

Best Rank:  QB #1

Actual Rank: QB #1

Top Expert: Mike Krueger (FFToday)


Donnie Avery (IND)

Consensus: WR #61

Best Rank: WR #27

Actual Rank: WR #4

Top Expert: Site Projections (WhatIfSports)


Pierre Garcon (WAS)

Consensus: WR #21

Best Rank: WR #7

Actual Rank: WR #7

Top Expert: Ross Miles (Pro Football Focus)


Brandon Myers (OAK)

Consensus Rank: TE #10

Best Rank: TE #5

Actual Rank: TE #1

Top Experts: Mike Rodriguez (Gridiron Experts), Brad Evans & Andy Behrens (Yahoo! Sports), Mike Clay (PFF)


Year-to-Date Accuracy


Top 10 Experts – YTD Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Jody Smith – Gridiron Experts  62.6%
 2.  Sablich Brothers – The New York Times  62.1%
 3.  David Dodds – FootballGuys  62.1%
 4.  Muntradamus – Beast Dome  62.0%
 5.  Mike Tagliere – Tags Fantasy Football  62.0%
 6.  John Paulsen – 4for4.com  61.9%
 7.  Ken Zalis – Fans Fantasy Football  61.9%
 8.  Justin Boone – TSN  61.8%
 9.  Staff Rankings – Roster Watch  61.6%
 10.  Bryan Fontaine – Pro Football Focus  61.6%

*See how all the experts rank for the season


Make it 8 weeks in a row for Jody Smith (Gridiron Experts) as the #1 expert in the season standings. We’re running out of superlatives to shower upon Smith so we’ll just put it this way: He’s virtually the anti-Eagles (8 losses in a row) of this competition. Another clutch showing this past week (#11 Overall) allowed Smith to increase his lead just as the Sablich Brothers (The New York Times) seemed poised to overtake the #1 spot. With only 3 weeks left in the contest, the accuracy title is still up for grabs but Smith has definitely strengthened his position.


That does it for this week’s accuracy recap. We’ll check back in next week to provide another update on the top experts. In the meantime, best of luck to everyone with your upcoming fantasy matchups.

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