We’re officially through 13 weeks of the season and that means the fantasy playoffs are ready to start up in most leagues. With pride, bragging rights and (possibly) money at stake, if there was ever a time for fantasy owners to make sure they’re getting the best advice, this is it.
With that in mind, let’s take a look at how our accuracy contest is shaping up now that another week is complete. We’ll break down which experts nailed their week 13 predictions and also examine what impact there has been to the YTD standings.
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Week 13 Accuracy Results
Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard* | ||
Rank | Expert | PAY™ |
1. | Mike Krueger – FFToday | 66.6% |
2. | Scott Engel – RotoExperts | 64.3% |
3. | Mike Clay – Pro Football Focus | 63.7% |
4. | Ryan Forbes – 2MugsFF | 63.5% |
5. | Brett Talley – The Fantasy Fix | 63.1% |
6. | Eric Yeomans – Pro Football Focus | 63.1% |
7. | Ross Miles – Pro Football Focus | 63.0% |
8. | Raju Byfield – WinMyFantasyLeague | 62.9% |
9. | Michael Fabiano – NFL.com | 62.5% |
10. | Staff Composite – Yahoo! Sports | 62.4% |
*See how all 100 experts ranked for the week
Kudos to Mike Krueger (FFToday) for coming through with the most accurate rankings in week 13. Krueger’s positional picks rated in the top 10 at QB, RB & WR. There’s no doubt his best call was a decision to slot Cam Newton (300+ yards & 3 TDs) as his #1 QB. That was a bold move no other expert we tracked (100 total) was willing to make, yet it paid off in a major way as Newton finished as the week’s top QB. For the receivers, Krueger rated top 5 performer (his WR #11), Steve Smith, higher than all other experts. He also had a nice sleeper hit with his decision to slot Sidney Rice (a top 10 performer) inside his 30 best WRs. Only 7 other prognosticators made the same call. Of course, it also never hurts to have a good read on several of the week’s top busts. Krueger did just that by ranking both Beanie Wells (22 yards) & Chris Johnson (71 total yards, 1 fumble) lower than all but a handful of experts.
Peak Performers
We also want to highlight the experts that did the best job of ranking week 13′s peak performers. Below are several key players that came through beyond expectations for fantasy owners along with the experts who delivered their top ranking.
Consensus: RB #14
Best Rank: RB #5
Actual Rank: RB #1
Top Expert: Anthony Perri (Insider Football)
Consensus: QB #8
Best Rank: QB #1
Actual Rank: QB #1
Top Expert: Mike Krueger (FFToday)
Consensus: WR #61
Best Rank: WR #27
Actual Rank: WR #4
Top Expert: Site Projections (WhatIfSports)
Consensus: WR #21
Best Rank: WR #7
Actual Rank: WR #7
Top Expert: Ross Miles (Pro Football Focus)
Consensus Rank: TE #10
Best Rank: TE #5
Actual Rank: TE #1
Top Experts: Mike Rodriguez (Gridiron Experts), Brad Evans & Andy Behrens (Yahoo! Sports), Mike Clay (PFF)
Year-to-Date Accuracy
Top 10 Experts – YTD Leaderboard* | ||
Rank | Expert | PAY™ |
1. | Jody Smith – Gridiron Experts | 62.6% |
2. | Sablich Brothers – The New York Times | 62.1% |
3. | David Dodds – FootballGuys | 62.1% |
4. | Muntradamus – Beast Dome | 62.0% |
5. | Mike Tagliere – Tags Fantasy Football | 62.0% |
6. | John Paulsen – 4for4.com | 61.9% |
7. | Ken Zalis – Fans Fantasy Football | 61.9% |
8. | Justin Boone – TSN | 61.8% |
9. | Staff Rankings – Roster Watch | 61.6% |
10. | Bryan Fontaine – Pro Football Focus | 61.6% |
*See how all the experts rank for the season
Make it 8 weeks in a row for Jody Smith (Gridiron Experts) as the #1 expert in the season standings. We’re running out of superlatives to shower upon Smith so we’ll just put it this way: He’s virtually the anti-Eagles (8 losses in a row) of this competition. Another clutch showing this past week (#11 Overall) allowed Smith to increase his lead just as the Sablich Brothers (The New York Times) seemed poised to overtake the #1 spot. With only 3 weeks left in the contest, the accuracy title is still up for grabs but Smith has definitely strengthened his position.
That does it for this week’s accuracy recap. We’ll check back in next week to provide another update on the top experts. In the meantime, best of luck to everyone with your upcoming fantasy matchups.