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FanDuel Market Watch: Week 5

FanDuel Market Watch: Week 5
Drew Brees actually saw a price decrease coming off a strong week and heading into a favorable matchup

Drew Brees actually saw his price drop after a strong week and heading into a favorable matchup

Here’s a look at the notable FanDuel salary changes between Weeks 4 and 5 of the NFL season.

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Quarterbacks

Sam Bradford PHI vs. NO $7,500 (+$400)
Bradford’s price jumped $400 this week due to a 24.2 FDP outing last week against the Redskins. The Eagles trailed throughout the game and with four pass plays of over 30 yards, Bradford churned out some nice totals. Bradford is certainly capable of putting up numbers in this system and with a prime matchup on deck, I am still OK targeting him despite the price increase.

Alex Smith KC vs. CHI $6,900 (+$400)
The $400 increase in salary is a bit of a head scratcher considering Smith has only thrown one touchdown over the last three games. I understand the passing yards have been there, but touchdowns rule the fantasy world. Looking ahead, FanDuel could actually be pricing in a few of those as Smith faces a Bears defense that has already allowed 10 passing touchdowns. He makes for an interesting tournament play this week.

Drew Brees NO @ PHI $8,100 (-$300)
Brees’ price dropping $300 is a bit of a head scratcher after he posted a 22.36 FDP line against the Cowboys Sunday night. His shoulder appeared to be fine. In fact, he attempted 41 passes. Take advantage of the price drop this week as the Saints look to keep things rolling in a plus matchup against the Eagles.

Derek Carr OAK vs. DEN $6,700 (-$300)
The matchup with Denver is a bad one, but I would take advantage of this $300 price drop in tournaments this week. Carr threw two touchdowns against the Bears in Week 4, but failed to crack the 200-yard mark. Expect some owners to follow the price drop and fade Carr in GPPS as a result of a weaker performance, but if you’re entering multiple lineups he’s worth a look.

Peyton Manning DEN @ OAK $8,200 (no change)
Manning posted only 10.32 FDP against the Vikings in Week 4, but his price remained unchanged. While there’s certainly a decline in overall skill set due to age, he’s still more than capable with the weapons he has. I would have liked to see a drop in salary, but I’m guessing a prime matchup with Oakland had something to do with that.

Running Backs

Todd Gurley STL @ GB $6,700 (+$800)
Gurley saw an $800 increase in his salary from last week after an incredible second half performance against the Cardinals. While his price is still probably not reflective of his overall skill set, I’m fading this week due to the big jump in price. The masses will also likely flock due to performance, thus driving his ownership levels up in tournaments.

Karlos Williams BUF @ TEN $6,900 (+$600)
Williams didn’t score last week until early in the fourth quarter and as a result it covered up a rather pedestrian performance after some high expectations. He still saw a $600 increase in salary and that likely has just as much to do with his ownership levels last week as it does with his output. He’s also uncertain with a concussion this week, so I’ll pass.

Andre Ellington ARI @ DET $5,900 (-$1,100)
Ellington was apparently pretty close to being able to play in Week 4, so I’d expect him to be ready to roll this week assuming no setbacks. I understand there’s a crowded backfield to contend with, but an $1,100 price drop should be taken advantage of in tournaments this week in a somewhat neutral matchup.

Eddie Lacy GB vs. STL $7,600 (-$200)
Lacy put forth a 9.8 FDP effort on a short week against the 49ers and that should likely be considered his floor going forward. As a result, his price did tick down $200 heading into Week 5. The Rams have allowed nearly 22 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs, so there’s nothing wrong with taking the discount.

C.J. Spiller NO @ PHI $5,500 (no change)
I have been utilizing Spiller in tournaments the last two weeks and was finally rewarded with a 19.4 FDP performance. Don’t get me wrong, 14.5 of those came on the final play of the game but that’s exactly what you’re chasing in tournaments. He has big play ability every time he touches the ball and yet his price remained unchanged this week. I would continue to utilize him as a cheaper option in tournaments due to his upside.

Wide Receivers

Eddie Royal CHI @ KC $5,500 (+$800)
Royal saw a jump of $800 in his salary this week, but it’s not enough to deter me from taking a flier on him in tournaments Week 5. We still can’t read too much into last week’s performance until Alshon Jeffery is healthy, but the matchup is too good to ignore. Kansas City has been torched by opposing wide receivers, allowing the most fantasy points by a healthy margin.

Allen Hurns JAX @ TB $6,100 (+$800)
Hurns has developed a strong rapport with Blake Bortles, as evidenced by his 11-catch, 116-yard outing last week against the Colts. He also scored a touchdown, but I’m not buying on the high end of his price range. In fact, I’m more inclined to give the next guy listed a look this week against a suspect Tampa Bay defense.

Allen Robinson JAX @ TB $6,300 (-$200)
Robinson is still the lead receiver for Jacksonville, but his price actually dropped $200. He has a favorable matchup against the Buccaneers and despite being outperformed by Allen Hurns, the targets are still there. Had Blake Bortles been a bit more accurate, Robinson likely would have scored on a 48-yard catch he had in this contest and we’d be singing a different tune.

Brandin Cooks NO @ PHI $6,800 (-$200)
Cooks has been rather inefficient and as a result his price has dropped $200 heading into Week 5. He draws a favorable matchup against the Eagles and despite his struggles, he has to be considered for tournaments due to his big-play upside in this offense.

Vincent Jackson TB vs. JAX $6,800 (no change)
Jackson is stuck with a rookie quarterback that is very inconsistent right now and as a result it’s tough to trust him in anything but tournaments. But I am having a hard time comprehending his salary remaining the same after a 25.7 FDP game in Week 4. He saw a whopping 15 targets and hauled in 10 catches for 147 yards and a touchdown, so a salary increase should have been in the cards. He’s a volatile commodity, but you can see what the upside is with Jackson.

Tight Ends

Owen Daniels DEN @ OAK $4,900 (+$300)
Daniels is touchdown dependent, so that makes him tough to trust in cash games but it is all about the matchup this week. Despite seeing a $300 increase, I would definitely utilize his salary relief as he clearly is the TE1 in this offense. Toss in an opponent in Oakland that has been thrashed by tight ends through four weeks and you have a nice play for Week 5.

Ladarius Green SD vs. PIT $5,100 (-$500)
This is not for the faint of heart and quite frankly you had better be entering several different lineups before you get to this point. Green’s price dropped $500 as Antonio Gates is now back from suspension, but we still don’t know how this will shake out for the Chargers. With this game being played Monday night and Gates likely assuming his old role, ownership levels should be next to zero. High risk, high reward.

Derek Carrier WAS @ ATL $4,500 (no change)
This is nothing more than a punt play, but Carrier’s price remained the same despite the high odds that he sees a start this week for Jordan Reed. Reed has had concussion issues in the past, so I’d be surprised if he played this week. Carrier has not been much more than a decoy until now, but this offense features the tight end a lot so he’d be worth a look if Reed is forced to sit.

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Adam Sutton is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Adam, follow him @DraftStars_Adam. You can find more of Adam’s work at DraftStars.net

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