Peyton Manning had his best game of the season Week 2 against the Chiefs
The success of two weeks ago was followed up by a perfectly average week. Each of my Week 9 stacks had one player pop, but that doesn’t exactly define a successful stack. Oddly enough, each of the quarterbacks in my stacks had solid games.
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Week 9 Recap
Premium Stack
Tom Brady – 18.86 points
Julian Edelman – 12 points
Dion Lewis – 5.3 points
Unfortunately, Lewis is out for the year with a knee injury. The Patriots really didn’t explode on offense against the Redskins, as I had feared. Washington’s defense has improved drastically, it’s the offense that has lagged behind. Brady had a below-average game by his standards and so did Edelman. Heck, even Rob Gronkowski only had 6.7 points.
Value Stack
Andy Dalton – 21.86 points
Jeremy Hill – 5.2 points
Cincinnati Bengals D/ST – 7 points
What else is there to say about Jeremy Hill? The second-year tailback has underwhelmed all season and failed to capitalize on a favorable matchup against Cleveland. A Dalton stack with Tyler Eifert would have been ideal, as the duo connected on three touchdown passes. Big missed opportunity on my part.
Risky Stack
Aaron Rodgers – 33.96 points
Eddie Lacy – -1 point
James Jones – 6.7 points
Rodgers backed up all the hype I gave him last week, but the Packers still lost. Lacy might be the biggest fantasy bust this season and was dreadful against the Panthers. James Jones is a touchdown-dependent player.
Week 10 Predictions
Without further ado, let’s move on to my Week 10 stacks. The theme of the week is teams who are coming off of tough losses.
Premium Stack
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers (1 p.m. ET kickoff)
Players of note
Aaron Rodgers ($9,200), James Starks ($6,000), Green Bay Packers D/ST ($4,900)
Rationale
One last try, Packers. Green Bay will be motivated and back in the friendly confines of Lambeau Field coming off two bad losses and facing off against a lousy Detroit team that is in pure disarray. The return home cannot be underestimated.
I’m staying away from Eddie Lacy, especially with a hamstring or groin injury. Starks should be the back to own in the immediate future. Plus, Green Bay faces a lousy Detroit run defense that is ranked 30th in the NFL with an average of 133.8 rushing yards allowed.
Here’s another fun Aaron Rodgers stat for you: In his last two home games against the Lions, Rodgers has thrown for 500 yards and three touchdowns to zero interceptions. The Lions have given up 14 passing touchdowns on the year.
I like Green Bay all around this weekend in what could be a redemption game.
Value Stack
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (4:25 p.m. ET kickoff)
Players of note
Peyton Manning ($7,700), Emmanuel Sanders ($7,800), Denver Broncos D/ST ($5,200)
Rationale
The Broncos are coming off a tough loss to Indianapolis and return home with an inviting matchup against a generous Chiefs’ secondary. The Chiefs have surrendered an average of 256 passing yards per game and 16 passing touchdowns.
Manning has been under the gun for his poor play this season, but he put up one of his best game of the season against the Chiefs earlier in the year. He threw for 256 yards, three touchdowns and an interception against K.C. in September.
Emmanuel Sanders scored two touchdowns in the last meeting with the Chiefs and has been the best receiver in Denver this season. He’s priced only $100 less than Demaryius Thomas for a reason.
The Broncos defense played poorly against the Colts, and the Chiefs could be walking into a lion’s den in Denver.
Risky Stack
Chicago Bears @ St. Louis Rams (1 p.m. ET kickoff)
Players of note
Nick Foles ($6,200), Todd Gurley ($9,200), Tavon Austin ($6,000) St. Louis Rams D/ST ($5,400)
Rationale
Gurley and the St. Louis defense are the highest-priced players in their respective positions, but you make up for it with the extremely inexpensive Foles. The Bears have given up 17 passing touchdowns this season and have been susceptible to some breakdowns in coverage throughout the year.
The gem of this stack could be Gurley, who has broken out recently. The Bears rank 24th in the NFL with an average of 121.6 rushing yards allowed.
I like Austin as a special teams threat more than as a receiver. Keep in mind, the Bears have given up two kickoff return touchdowns and a punt return touchdown this year. The Cowboys and Giants are the only other teams who have given up a kickoff return touchdown this year. Austin has already provided one punt return touchdown, so don’t be surprised if he gets another one against Chicago’s porous special teams.
Of course, be sure to send me your DFS questions, comments and concerns on Twitter!
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Matt Barbato is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Matt, you can view his archive or follow him @realmattbarbato.
