Week 11 will go down as one of the toughest weeks in recent memory when it comes to injuries. Two top 5 consensus RBs (Devonta Freeman & Charcandrick West) missed action and other big names (Justin Forsett, Marshawn Lynch) dealt with significant injuries. Needless to say, more than a few fantasy owners had their matchups derailed as the infirmary counts rose.
Of course, this means it was also a tricky week for the experts to predict. It’ll therefore comes as no surprise that the accuracy ratings in many instances are lower this week due to all of the unforeseen outcomes. Below are the 10 experts who navigated the uncertainty better than the rest. As always, you can check out the entire standings in our accuracy section.
Week 11 Accuracy Results
Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard* | ||
Rank | Expert | PAY™ |
1. | Jeff Paur – RTSports | 63.7% |
2. | Sigmund Bloom – Footballguys | 63.6% |
3. | Sean Koerner – STATS | 62.9% |
4. | Sean Morris – Bruno Boys | 62.4% |
5. | Emil Kadlec – Football Diehards | 61.7% |
6. | Chris Meaney – FNTSY | 59.3% |
7. | Jeff Brubach – The Fake Football | 59.2% |
8. | David Dodds – Footballguys | 59.2% |
9. | James Hatfield – Hatty Waiver Wire Guru | 59.0% |
10 | Eric Moody – FFLockerRoom | 58.8% |
*View Full Accuracy Scores (128 experts) | Combine Top Experts into Consensus Rankings
Congrats to week 11’s most accurate expert: Jeff Paul (RTSports). Paur’s best rankings came at the RB position. He was one of the experts who believed in LeSean McCoy (123 yards, 1 TD) despite his difficult matchup at New England. Only one expert ranked McCoy higher (Paur’s #7 RB) for what would ultimately be a top 5 performance. Paur also had the good sense to slot Doug Martin (235 yards) inside his top 10 RBs. That was a decision that only 3 other experts made, with the pundits likely banking on a (previously) stout Eagles’ defensive line to slow down the Muscle Hamster. Of course, being accurate is more than just calling out the studs. Paur also did a nice job of downgrading several of week 11’s biggest disappointments. Specifically, he was at least 4 spots below the Expert Consensus for Matt Jones (scored negative fantasy points), Lamar Miller (55 yards, 0 TDs) and Chris Ivory (45 yards, 0 TDs).
Peak Performers
As always, we recognize the experts that did the best job of ranking week 11′s peak performers. Below are several key players that came through beyond expectations for fantasy owners along with the experts who delivered their top ranking.
Jameis Winston (TB)
Consensus: QB #20
Best Rank: QB #12
Actual Rank: QB #2
Top Expert: Marcas Grant (NFL.com) and Alex Gelhar (NFL.com)
Russell Wilson (SEA)
Consensus: QB #11
Best Rank: QB #3
Actual Rank: QB #3
Top Expert: Tony Mauriello (ProjectRoto)
Thomas Rawls (SEA)
Consensus: RB #45
Best Rank: RB #24
Actual Rank: RB #1
Top Expert: Sigmund Bloom (FootballGuys)
Doug Martin (TB)
Consensus: RB #16
Best Rank: RB #5
Actual Rank: RB #2
Top Expert: Sigmund Bloom (FootballGuys)
Ahmad Bradshaw (IND)
Consensus: RB #44
Best Rank: RB #27
Actual Rank: RB #5
Top Expert: Zach Wilkens (RotoBaller)
James Jones (NO)
Consensus: WR #37
Best Rank: WR #28
Actual Rank: WR #3
Top Expert: Raju Byfield (Win My Fantasy League)
Tyler Lockette (SEA)
Consensus: WR #58
Best Rank: WR #41
Actual Rank: WR #5
Top Expert: R.C. Fischer (Fantasy Football Metrics)
DeSean Jackson (WAS)
Consensus: WR #33
Best Rank: WR #23
Actual Rank: WR #6
Top Expert: Tony Mauriello (ProjectRoto)
Kyle Rudolph (MIN)
Consensus: TE #19
Best Rank: TE #11
Actual Rank: TE #1
Top Expert: Marcas Grant (NFL.com)
Year-to-Date Accuracy
Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard* | ||
Rank | Expert | PAY™ |
1. | Sean Koerner – STATS | 60.1% |
2. | John Paulsen – 4for4.com | 58.9% |
3. | Jeff Ratcliffe – Pro Football Focus | 58.9% |
4. | Michael Fabiano – NFL.com | 58.7% |
5. | Patrick Thorman – Pro Football Focus | 58.6% |
6. | Sean Morris – Bruno Boys | 58.5% |
7. | Justin Boone – theScore | 58.4% |
8. | Jake Ciely – RotoExperts | 58.4% |
9. | Mike Clay – Pro Football Focus | 58.4% |
10 | Pat Fitzmaurice – The Football Girl | 58.2% |
*View Full Accuracy Scores (124 experts) | Combine Top Experts into Consensus Rankings
—
We’ll be back again next week to provide another update on the experts making the most accurate predictions. Until then, Happy Thanksgiving to everyone!