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MLB Early ADP Report: 6 Undervalued Players

Feb 11, 2016

Franco's numbers are surprisingly comparable to other much higher drafted third basemen

Maikel Franco’s numbers are a value compared to where some other third basemen are being drafted

The MLB season is still plenty young, but all the savvy fantasy baseball players are running mock drafts as we speak to get a leg up. Using our ADP Composite, it’s easy to start understanding how people are viewing certain players. Of course, your own league may have homers that bump up the values of certain individuals, but overall, you can get a sense of who may be undervalued based on the consensus.

With that in mind, we asked our featured experts below to name a hitter and pitcher that they feel is undervalued at their current ADP. See who they picked to help you target certain players in your draft.

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Q1. Using our ADP Composite, what Hitter is currently the most undervalued in fantasy drafts?

Maikel Franco (3B – PHI)
Overall ADP: #118
“Here’s some facts about two third basemen. Player A is 23 and hit .280/.343/.497 last season while Player B is 24 and hit .275/.369/.488. Player B is a first round fantasy pick this year while Player A is being drafted 118th overall. You may have guessed that Player B is Kris Bryant, but Maikel Franco is the surprisingly valuable Player A. He’s primed to exceed value this year.”
Luke Gloeckner (Mr. Cheatsheet)

Hunter Pence (RF – SF)
Overall ADP: #98
“It is hard for me to believe that Hunter Pence, a player that hit 20+ home runs seven years in a row before missing 110 games last season, is the No. 98 overall player being taken. Last year when healthy he was on pace for 28 home runs and 12 stolen bases along with a .275 average. There were only five players last season that hit 25 home runs, stole more than 10 bases and hit .275 or better. Pence would have been the sixth. Perhaps age catches up to him a little this year, but he is still better than his current ADP.”
Joe Bond (Fantasy Six Pack)

Jung-Ho Kang (3B,SS – PIT)
Overall ADP: #186
“Kang stands out as the most undervalued hitter. He’s expected to return from injury within the first month of the season, and he was a beast in the second half. In 214 plate appearances in the second half, Kang swatted 11 homers with a .310 batting average and the underlying stats to support his power surge. His current ADP checks in 13th among shortstop eligible players, and that would make him a non-starter at the position in standard-size leagues. That’s insanity.
Josh Shepardson (Daily Fantasy Cafe)

Q2. Using our ADP Composite, what Pitcher is currently the most undervalued in fantasy drafts?

Raisel Iglesias (SP – CIN)
Overall ADP: #138
One pitcher that I’m really excited about is Raisel Iglesias. His 4.15 ERA over half a season last year may scare people away but his 9.8 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 indicate a fairly elite command of the strike zone and hint at good things ahead in 2016. He’s being drafted as the 55th pitcher off the board currently but he has top-25 potential.
Luke Gloeckner (Mr. Cheatsheet)

Jose Quintana (SP – CWS)
Overall ADP: #144
“Quintana has a career 3.47 ERA, a 7.27 K/9 rate and three straight seasons of 200+ innings pitched, yet he is the 59th pitcher and 144th overall player taken. His low win total, no more than nine in any season, I’m guessing has something to do with that. It shouldn’t though. Wins are hard to come by sometimes, just ask Cole Hamels. Instead I’m drafting the pitcher who had a 2.87 and 3.18 the last two seasons, higher than his current ADP.”
Joe Bond (Fantasy Six Pack)

Ian Kennedy (SP – KC)
Overall ADP: #244
“Kennedy is grossly underrated. Among qualified starters in 2015, he ranked tied for 17th in strikeout rate (24.4%). Home runs killed him, as his 17.2% HR/FB rate was by far a career-high and nearly double his career rate prior to 2015 of 9.8% HR/FB. Kennedy moves from a ballpark (Petco Park) that StatCorner credits with amplifying home runs — using their three-year rolling average — to one (Kauffman Stadium) that suppresses dingers. He also upgrades from a team defense that FanGraphs ranked 29th to the three-year reigning top defense of the Royals.”
Josh Shepardson (Daily Fantasy Cafe)

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Thank you to the experts for naming who they feel are undervalued. Be sure to follow them on Twitter for more advice.

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