Shoemaker’s price still hasn’t caught up to his total dominance
Friday is finally here! We have a full slate of games to attack as we head into the weekend. The weather looks to possibly be a huge thorn tonight in terms of planning, as it’s very hot and humid across much of the country, which could lead to storms popping up as the day unfolds. The humid weather also plays a big role in creating prime hitting environments, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see some inflated scoring tonight. With that, let’s look at a lineup for FanDuel.
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Pitcher
Matt Shoemaker (LAA): $8,700 @ HOU
C’mon man! Shoemaker is coming off of a 78 fantasy point outing in which he struck out 13 hitters while tossing a complete game, yet he remains below the $9,000 mark. He will get a negative park environment in Houston, but he’s handled this lineup well through three starts this season (11 strikeouts, two runs; seven strikeouts, three runs; six strikeouts, zero runs). He will also be backed by an offense that is rolling right now. Hard contact is still a concern with Shoemaker, but the Astros do strike out 24% of the time against right-handed pitching, so the upside is there. I am not 100% comfortable here, but the price is too good to pass up given the strikeout upside.
Other Notables
- Madison Bumgarner (SF): $11,500 @ NYY (GPP)
- Danny Duffy (KC): $8,900 vs. TEX
- Tanner Roark (WAS): $8,700 vs. SD
- Gerrit Cole (PIT): $8,500 vs. PHI
- Jon Gray (COL): $7,700 vs. ATL (risky GPP)
Catcher
Russell Martin (TOR): $2,600 vs. SEA
James Paxton hasn’t been horrible against right-handed hitters (.296 wOBA), but he’s surrendering a ton of hard contact, which could lead to trouble against this lineup in Toronto. Martin provides cheap exposure to the Blue Jays, who currently have an implied team total over five runs.
Other Notables
- Victor Martinez (DET): $3,900 @ CWS (GPP)
- Welington Castillo (ARI): $2,700 @ CIN
First Base
Miguel Cabrera (DET): $3,700 @ CWS
Cabrera gets an elite hitting environment for right-handed power, while facing an underwhelming starter in Jacob Turner. Turner is not a high strikeout pitcher, and he’s allowed a whopping .394 wOBA to same-handed hitters in his last 69.1 innings pitched. The Tigers have an implied team total of 5.23 runs, so look for plenty of run-producing opportunities for Cabrera tonight.
Other Notables
- Anthony Rizzo (CHC): $4,500 @ MIL
- David Ortiz (BOS): $4,500 vs. MIN
- Paul Goldschmidt (ARI): $4,200 @ CIN
- Brandon Belt (SF): $3,800 @ BOS (GPP)
- John Jaso (PIT): $2,900 vs. PHI
Second Base
Daniel Murphy (WAS): $3,600 vs. SD
Murphy is underpriced considering his phenomenal season, especially with a juicy matchup on deck. Luis Perdomo has been awful this season, which has led to an implied team total of 5.49 runs for the Nationals. Lock Murphy into your lineups tonight as he’s in a good position to continue his fantastic play.
Other Notables
- Brian Dozier (MIN): $4,000 @ BOS (GPP)
- Tommy La Stella (CHC): $2,100 @ MIL (if hitting lead off)
Third Base
Jake Lamb (ARI): $3,500 @ CIN
Lamb has been a great option at third base this season, and I look for him to continue his success tonight. The Diamondbacks face a fly ball pitcher in Dan Straily, so I’d expect some fireworks in a homer-friendly park. Lamb typically hits clean up, so there should be all sorts of opportunities to drive in runs tonight.
Other Notables
- Josh Donaldson (TOR): $4,700 vs. SEA (GPP)
- Kris Bryant (CHC): $3,900 @ MIL
- Danny Valencia (OAK): $2,800 vs. TAM
Shortstop
Trea Turner (WAS): $2,700 vs. SD
Turner has been all over the lineup recently, so be sure to check on the lineups as they are released. He’s still a viable value if he plays, as the Nationals should put up plenty of runs against the Padres. Shortstop is a good position to take advantage of some cheaper players, making Turner a solid option.
Other Notables
- Eduardo Nunez (MIN): $3,500 @ BOS
- Jonathan Villar (MIL): $3,500 vs. CHC (GPP)
- Adam Frazier (PIT): $2,300 vs. PHI (if he plays)
Outfielders
Carlos Gonzalez (COL): $3,500 vs. ATL
Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Teheran tonight, who has allowed a .331 wOBA and 1.38 HR/9 to lefties since 2014. Gonzalez hit a home run last night, but his price curiously dropped $700. Take advantage of this soft salary tonight, especially given the prime weather conditions in Denver.
Billy Hamilton (CIN): $3,100 vs. ARI
Archie Bradley has been wild this season, walking 4.24 batters per nine innings. This should hopefully lead to some chances for Hamilton to get on base and flash his wheels. As always, he’s a threat to steal multiple bases, but getting on base is typically the problem.
Miguel Sano (MIN): $3,400 @ BOS
Fenway Park is a strong environment for right-handed hitters, and the wind looks to be blowing out to center field at first pitch. Eduardo Rodriguez is a fly ball pitcher, so this could lead to trouble given the weather. Sano has strong numbers in his young career against lefties, posting a .398 wOBA and .261 ISO, making him a great value tonight.
Other Notables
- Bryce Harper (WAS): $4,200 vs. SD
- Jay Bruce (CIN): $4,200 vs. ARI (GPP)
- Charlie Blackmon (COL): $4,000 vs. ATL
- Giancarlo Stanton (MIA): $3,600 vs. NYM
- Seth Smith (SEA): $2,500 @ TOR
My Lineup
- SP – Matt Shoemaker (LAA): $8,700 @ HOU
- C – Russell Martin (TOR): $2,600 vs. SEA
- 1B – Miguel Cabrera (DET): $3,700 @ CWS
- 2B – Daniel Murphy (WAS): $3,600 vs. SD
- 3B – Jake Lamb (ARI): $3,500 @ CIN
- SS – Trea Turner (WAS): $2,700 vs. SD
- OF – Carlos Gonzalez (COL): $3,500 vs. ATL
- OF – Billy Hamilton (CIN): $3,100 vs. ARI
- OF – Miguel Sano (MIN): $3,400 @ BOS
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Adam Sutton is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Adam, follow him @DraftStars_Adam. You can find more of Adam’s work at DraftStars.net.
