FanDuel MLB Value Plays: Friday (8/5)
Friday is finally here! We have a full 15-game slate to work with on the first Friday of August. At this point of the summer, there is always a threat of a pop up storm, so be sure to keep an eye on the weather, especially in Denver. There are plenty of elite pitching options as well as another series kicking off at Coors Field, so identifying value plays will be important tonight. Let’s take a look at some value plays for FanDuel.
Jameson Taillon (PIT): $7,400 vs. CIN
Taillon is a viable cash game target that enables exposure to Coors Field tonight. The Reds rank 25th in wRC+ against right-handed pitching, while they strike out 21.6% of the time. There is some risk involved here as Taillon is on an innings limit, but I think it’s worth taking. The Reds get a big park downgrade and they lost one of their best hitters against right-handed pitching to trade in Jay Bruce. All told, Taillon is a rock solid value play tonight.
- Jaime Garcia (STL): $7,800 vs. ATL
Welington Castillo (ARI): $2,700 vs. MIL
Castillo will benefit from Chase Anderson’s wide splits against right-handed hitters (.365 wOBA/1.46 HR/9 since 2014) in an elite environment for hitters. Castillo should slot into the fifth spot of the batting order, which will likely provide him plenty of chances to drive in runs.
- Brian McCann (NYY): $2,800 vs. CLE
Tommy Joseph (PHI): $2,400 @ SD
Christian Friedrich has allowed a .366 wOBA to right-handed hitters in his last 101 innings pitched to them, which makes Joseph a fine punt play tonight. It’s a small sample (61 PA), but Joseph has some good numbers against lefties in his young career (.405 wOBA/.273 ISO). The park certainly won’t do him any favors in San Diego, but the salary relief provided is meaningful tonight.
Devon Travis (TOR): $2,700 @ KC
If Travis is in the leadoff spot, he’d be a phenomenal way to get cheap exposure to the Blue Jays’ offense tonight. Toronto has an implied run total pushing five as they face Dillon Gee, who is an average pitcher at best (4.6 xFIP). This should lead to some opportunities to score for Travis, so keep an eye on lineups as they are released.
- Ryan Schimpf (SD): $2,900 vs. PHI
Jake Lamb (ARI): $2,800 vs. MIL
Chase Anderson has been far worse against right-handed hitters the past couple of seasons, but he’s not exactly been lights out against lefties either (.307 wOBA; 1.06 HR/9). Lamb has struggled over the last 10 games, but a lot of those issues seem to be fading away, which leaves him very underpriced in my book. He’s collected six hits over his last six games (23 at-bats), including home runs in each of his last two games.
- Maikel Franco (PHI): $3,200 @ SD
Adam Frazier (PIT): $2,700 vs. ATL OR Javier Baez (CHC): $2,700 @ OAK
I would let lineup positioning determine your usage here, and with their salaries being equal, you can easily swap between Frazier and Baez tonight. If Frazier is leading off, he would be my first choice, as the Pirates have an implied team total pushing five runs at home against a weak pitcher in Anthony DeSclafani. On the flip side, Baez has been all over the lineup for the Cubs, but if he can land in the fourth or fifth spot, I’d lean his way as he should be afforded a potential extra at-bat on the road.
- Alcides Escobar (KC): $2,300 vs. TOR
Andrew McCutchen (PIT): $3,100 vs. CIN
McCutchen has had several days off with the hope that he will be reenergized to help for a playoff push. If he plays tonight, he’d be a fine tournament play despite not holding the platoon advantage. He has yet to play this week, so look for him to return at home tonight.
David Peralta (ARI): $2,700 vs. MIL
I’d like to see Peralta in the fifth spot of the batting order, but he’d still be acceptable if he’s sixth. I noted Anderson’s woes above, even to lefties, so don’t be shy about targeting Peralta tonight. The Diamondbacks have an implied run total approaching five, so I’d expect some fantasy production to be had here tonight.
Matt Joyce (PIT): $2,700 vs. CIN
Provided Joyce finds himself somewhere inside the top five of the batting order, he’d be a solid source of salary relief tonight. Anthony DeSclafani has allowed a .352 wOBA and 1.35 HR/9 to lefties the past couple of seasons, and he’s been even worse this season (.374 wOBA). Joyce isn’t an elite hitter by any means, but a good lineup spot would help to offset some of that risk.
- Miguel Sano (MIN): $3,200 @ TB
- Yasmany Tomas (ARI): $3,100 vs. MIL
- Melky Cabrera (CWS): $3,000 vs. BAL
- Brett Gardner (NYY): $3,000 vs. CLE/Jacoby Ellsbury (NYY): $2,900 vs. CLE