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DraftKings NFL Lineup Advice: Week 8 (Thurs/Sun/Mon)

DraftKings NFL Lineup Advice: Week 8 (Thurs/Sun/Mon)
Doug Baldwin

Doug Baldwin and the Seahawks should be able to get back on track against the Saints

The Denver Broncos weigh in as the heaviest favorite with the spread currently at -5.5. The Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons post the highest over/under (o/u) at 52.5. The Atlanta Falcons own the highest projected team total (TT) at 27.5, while the San Diego Chargers have the lowest projected TT at 19.3.

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Quarterback

Jameis Winston (TB): $5,700 vs. OAK

The pricing on DraftKings is funky yet again this week and it starts at the quarterback position. Winston has no business being below $6K at home against the Oakland Raiders who are allowing the league’s worst 302.1 passing yards per game.

Winston has looked much more comfortable and confident in his second year in the NFL and the coaching staff has shown that as well with a lofty 44.5 pass attempts per game. His high volume of pass attempts versus a meager secondary has all the makings for a huge day.

The Buccaneers have the sixth highest projected TT at 25.0 and the Raiders are allowing 25.6 points per game.

Running Backs

David Johnson (ARI): $7,700 @ CAR

There are less than 10 running backs that grade out with a ceiling high enough for me in tournaments this week. With that being said, you need to highly consider the only running back in the top tier. Johnson is in a class of his own in Week 8 due to the bye week, matchup, injuries and salaries.

The Panthers still look hungover after their Super Bowl loss last season with their defense allowing the fourth most points per game (29.5) and the ninth most yards per game (371.5). All of which bodes well for one of the league’s elite running backs in Johnson.

Johnson has all the signs pointing towards an enormous day with the o/u currently at 48.0 and the spread being tight at +2.5. Both offenses play at an above-average pace, giving this game the fourth-highest projected pace in Week 8.

Devontae Booker (DEN): $3,700 vs. SD

Booker is a legit talent and has already shown that in his rookie year. The only road block is/was C.J. Anderson. Reports from the Broncos’ staff is that Anderson has been ruled out for at least a few weeks with a bone bruise.

Booker is in line for a huge workload on Sunday and the game flow favors him as well. The Broncos are currently favored by -5.5 at home and have a solid projected TT at 24.8.

Ignore projected ownership percentages on Booker this week as his workload, salary, matchup and upside are just too cheap to fade.

Wide Receivers

Mike Evans (TB): $8,100 vs. OAK

DraftKings is slowly bringing Evans’ salary up to where it should be. However, it still isn’t high enough!

Evans is averaging 12.5 targets per game with 75 overall through the Buccaneers’ first six games. The Raiders are struggling mightily against the pass as mentioned above and Evans is a true freak of nature.

The Bucs have a respectable projected TT at 25.0 while being a slight favorite (-1) in a game with the third highest o/u (49). Evans’ consistent amount of targets and his massive upside make him a viable option in all formats in Week 8. Let your imagination run wild when you’re trying to project Evans’ ceiling this week

Doug Baldwin (SEA): $6,900 @ NO

The only reason why the Seahawks at Saints game doesn’t have a ridiculous total over 50.0 is due to Seattle’s vaunted defense. Vegas currently has the o/u at 48.0 which is still intriguing, leaving plenty to be desired.

Baldwin is simply going to have a field day against this atrocious set of 11 men the Saints call their defense. The Saints are allowing the most points per game (32.5) and the third most passing yards per game (287.0).

The Seahawks are favored (-3) on the road and will get to showcase their offense after having a rollercoaster beginning to the 2016 season.

35 (Raiders), 45 (Falcons), 38 (Panthers). Those are the points given up by the Saints this season while playing at the Superdome in New Orleans.

Willie Snead (NO): $5,800 vs. SEA

Even in a tough matchup at Arrowhead Stadium, Snead (toe) looked much better last week, hauling in nine receptions on 11 targets for 87 yards. Snead’s toe injury seems to be something in the past as his route running and explosiveness were back on track.

This matchup isn’t ideal for the Saints’ passing attack with the Seahawks only allowing 226.0 passing yards per game. However, Drew Brees and company will still air the ball out more times than not, giving Snead plenty of volume and upside for only $5,800.

Brandin Cooks will likely be shadowed by Richard Sherman when playing on the outside and doesn’t come at a huge discount. Michael Thomas is $800 less than Snead in the salary department while being the popular consensus this week if choosing a wideout from New Orleans. The need for Snead is real this week. Get your exposure in tournaments.

Tight End

Gary Barnidge (CLE): $3,300 vs. NYJ

Barnidge has yet to haul in a touchdown catch this season, but that’s alright because we don’t pay for the past. Barnidge is still a key focal point in the Browns’ passing game with him getting a solid amount of targets every week.

The Browns have already used six different quarterbacks this season which plays a factor in the lack of production for the big target at tight end. Reports out of Browns’ practice this week is that Josh McCown has been cleared to play.

Barnidge will get a massive boost if McCown is under center on Sunday as the QB/TE tandem posted gaudy numbers last season when playing together. The New York Jets continue to struggle against tight ends and will be coming into this game with a banged up linebacking crew.

FLEX

Devonta Freeman (ATL): $6,500 vs. GB

Freeman was limited at practice on Wednesday due to a hip injury, but as of now that isn’t supposed to limit his action on Sunday. His battery mate Tevin Coleman aggravated his hamstring last week and is unlikely to play against the Packers.

Freeman becomes a top running back option if he is good to go and Coleman is indeed ruled out on Sunday. Even though the matchup is tough versus a stingy Packers’ run defense, Freeman’s talent and amount of touches on the ground give him a solid floor.

This game has the highest o/u at 52.5 and the Falcons have the highest projected TT this week at 27.5. Outside of Julio Jones, Freeman will likely have the second most targets in the Falcons’ passing game, giving the shifty running back tournament upside.

Defense/Special Teams

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: $2,300 vs. OAK

This play will probably receive some heat as the Buccaneers haven’t been the most daunting defense in 2016. However, they have a few components that make them a viable option in tournaments.

Tampa Bay is playing at home and come into this game as a slight favorite (-1). They have racked up 13 sacks over their first six games and have a respectable nine turnovers thus far.

The Raiders are averaging over 38 pass attempts per game, giving the Bucs’ defense plenty of opportunities for sacks and takeaways. How bad can they kill you for only $2,300? I’ll take my shot in tournaments as they free up enough salary to make them enticing.

Recommended Tournament Lineup

If you have any questions or need suggestions, feel free to tweet me at any time. Best of luck this week!

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Matthew Davis is a correspondent for FantasyPros. You can find more from Matthew by viewing his archive or following him @_mattywood_.

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