DraftKings NFL Lineup Advice: Divisional Round

Jan 12, 2017

Alex Smith

Alex Smith averaged 19 DraftKings points per home game this season

The Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs is upon us, and we have another four games to work with this week. With a short slate, it’s important to differentiate yourself where you can, as there is likely to be a lot of overlap in lineups. Let’s take a look at a tournament lineup for the main slate on DraftKings.

Check out our DraftKings Lineup Optimizer >>


Alex Smith (KC): $5,400 vs. PIT
Smith is a risky proposition, but there are landmines all over when you’re playing a slate like this. He is my second-best value in terms of dollars per point, and I like the fact that he gets to play at home this week. He scored an average of 19 DKP at home in seven games this season, versus 13.3 DKP in eight games on the road. Those are some fairly decent splits, and I think the Chiefs will need a strong outing from their quarterback to pull off a win. If we are looking for fantasy output of three times his current salary to justify utilizing Smith, that kind of production is certainly within reach.

Other Notables:

Running Back

Ezekiel Elliott (DAL): $8,500 vs. GB
The Cowboys have one of the highest implied team totals of the week, and Elliott has not had less than 80 rushing yards since the first game of the season. He averaged 23.2 DKP this season, and he scored less than 20 DKP just five times in 16 games. At a $2,000 discount to Le’Veon Bell, he is a fine pivot play, as I think he will score just as many points as Bell this week.

Devonta Freeman (ATL): $5,900 vs. SEA
In terms of dollars per projected point, Freeman is my top value at the position this week. The matchup obviously is not a good one, but the Falcons have an implied team total of 28.25 points, so Vegas expects something out of this offense. Since Week 10, Freeman saw at least 15 touches in six out of those seven games, and his salary is the lowest it has been since Week 7.

Other Notables:

Wide Receiver

Julian Edelman (NE): $6,800 vs. HOU
Edelman led all receivers over the final six weeks of the season in terms of targets per game, and yet there’s still four receivers priced ahead of him. The Patriots have the highest implied team total of the weekend, and despite some blowout concerns, I think the offense will want to get things rolling in all facets as they gear up for a Super Bowl run.

Tyreek Hill (KC): $5,500 vs. PIT
Hill is a wild card play on a weekly basis, but even with limited volume, he’s shown the ability to be a home run threat every game. Since Week 14, he’s not had more than eight total touches in any game, but he’s averaged 17.3 DKP over that span. This contest features the lowest implied total of the week, but I have a feeling Hill will have a hand in the Chiefs’ scoring at some point in this game.

Paul Richardson (SEA): $4,100 @ ATL
Richardson was in this spot last week, and I’m going back to the well yet again this weekend. As I noted last week, he is being looked upon to fill Tyler Lockett’s role, and he provided some spectacular catches last week against the Lions. He is a very risky play, but the Seahawks will likely need plenty of firepower to try and keep up with Atlanta’s offense, which should mean a few chances for Richardson to hit on a big play.

Other Notables:

Tight End

Martellus Bennett (NE): $4,000 vs. HOU
Bennett’s low salary is worth targeting this week, as he has multiple-touchdown upside on any given week. The downside is that he could just as easily lose red zone looks to the running game or another receiver, but that’s a risk we need to be willing to take on a short slate.

Other Notables:


Randall Cobb (GB): $5,700 @ DAL
This is dependent on the status of Jordy Nelson, who suffered two broken ribs in last week’s win over the Giants. Cobb came through in a big way in relief of Nelson, and he will likely be called upon to do the same if Nelson remains out. While he will likely split the majority of the targets with Davante Adams, he checks in at a $1,300 discount, thus giving him more value on a point per dollar basis.

Defense/Special Teams

New England Patriots: $4,000 vs. HOU
The Patriots are massive home favorites this week, as they are currently favored by a whopping 15 points against the Texans. Houston looked a little better last weekend, but I don’t think they magically turned things around in one game on offense. They have an implied team total of less than 15 points, and the Patriots should be good for a turnover or two in this contest.

Other Notables:

Subscribe: iTunes | StitcherSoundCloud | Google PlayTuneInRSS

Adam Sutton is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Adam, follow him @DraftStars_Adam. You can find more of Adam’s work at DraftStars.net

What's your take? Leave a comment

Fantasy Games
FanDuel photo
Play for your share of $1m+
for FREE with first deposit
DRAFT photo
Play fantasy drafts for cash with a money back guarantee
CBS Sports photo
Serious Fantasy Football
Get our Mobile App!

Enter your phone number below, and we'll text you a link to download the app.

1Le'Veon Bell (PIT)RB
2Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
3Antonio Brown (PIT)WR
4Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
5LeSean McCoy (BUF)RB
6Mark Ingram (NO)RB
7Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
8Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
9Devonta Freeman (ATL)RB
10Julio Jones (ATL)WR
 View all Flex Rankings 
11Kenyan Drake (MIA)RB
12Jordan Howard (CHI)RB
13Kareem Hunt (KC)RB
14Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
15Michael Thomas (NO)WR
16Alex Collins (BAL)RB
17Carlos Hyde (SF)RB
18Adam Thielen (MIN)WR
19Jamaal Williams (GB)RB
20Marshawn Lynch (OAK)RB
21Rex Burkhead (NE)RB
22Rob Gronkowski (NE)TE
23DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
24Samaje Perine (WAS)RB
25Latavius Murray (MIN)RB
26Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
27A.J. Green (CIN)WR
28Lamar Miller (HOU)RB
29Doug Baldwin (SEA)WR
30Alfred Morris (DAL)RB
1Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
2Paul Goldschmidt (ARI)1B
3Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
4Mike Trout (LAA)CF,DH
5Mookie Betts (BOS)RF
6Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
7Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
8Joey Votto (CIN)1B
9Kris Bryant (CHC)1B,3B
10Chris Sale (BOS)SP
 View All Rankings 
11Manny Machado (BAL)3B,SS
12Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B,2B
13Corey Seager (LAD)SS
14Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)RF
15Clayton Kershaw (LAD)SP
16Corey Kluber (CLE)SP
17Daniel Murphy (WSH)1B,2B
18Nelson Cruz (SEA)RF,DH
19George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
20Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B,3B
21Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
22Edwin Encarnacion (CLE)1B,DH
23Josh Donaldson (TOR)3B,DH
24Yu Darvish (FA)SP
25Robinson Cano (SEA)2B
26Bryce Harper (WSH)RF
27Miguel Cabrera (DET)1B,DH
28J.D. Martinez (FA)RF
29Madison Bumgarner (SF)SP
30Jose Abreu (CWS)1B,DH
1Kevin Durant (GSW)SF,PF
2Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
3James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
4Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
5Russell Westbrook (OKC)PG
6Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
7Anthony Davis (NOR)PF,C
8Kawhi Leonard (SAS)SG,SF
9LeBron James (CLE)SF,PF
10Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
 View All Rankings 
11John Wall (WAS)PG
12DeMarcus Cousins (NOR)PF,C
13Chris Paul (HOU)PG
14Damian Lillard (POR)PG
15Jimmy Butler (MIN)SG,SF
16Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
17Kyrie Irving (BOS)PG,SG
18Hassan Whiteside (MIA)C,PF
19Myles Turner (IND)PF,C
20Paul George (OKC)SG,SF
21Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
22Draymond Green (GSW)SF,PF
23Kristaps Porzingis (NYK)PF,C
24Kemba Walker (CHA)PG
25CJ McCollum (POR)PG,SG
26Mike Conley (MEM)PG
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Klay Thompson (GSW)SG,SF
29Marc Gasol (MEM)C
30Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C