FanDuel NBA Lineup Advice: Tuesday (3/14)
Tuesday features a nice five-game slate which could quickly turn into a two or three-game slate if the winter storm that is on the East Coast escalates. You know it is a threat if FanDuel even posts an alert on their home page warning DFS players of their policy if a game is postponed. The good news is that we will likely know well before lock if any games are postponed since the NBA will want to alert fans well before they try to brave the elements to go to the game. The sample lineup below is assuming that all games will be played, but as the Boy Scout motto states “Be Prepared” to pivot from the sample lineup below if any postponements occur.
You will notice that I reference some of my own custom stats in my NBA DFS articles that I use to help determine my favorite plays. I don’t use the common Defense versus Position (DvP) numbers that most use. Instead, I calculate blended percentages for each stat category (points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks) that take into account team stats for the season and last five games, as well as a weighted average between similar positions. For example, my shooting guard DvP numbers are a blended between point guard (10%), shooting guard (70%) and small forward (20%) stats for each category.
Russell Westbrook (OKC): $13,400 @ BKN
Last Tuesday, I recommended pivoting away from Westbrook stating that he can’t seem to post triple-doubles against the Blazers. Well, he didn’t triple-double or even double-double against them, however, he did manage to score 58 points(!) on his way to a huge night and ruining lineups that did not include him. Lesson learned, even when Westbrook’s salary seems too high and the matchup isn’t the best still start him, especially on a short slate. Tuesday night he still has a huge salary but the matchup is very good against the weak Brooklyn Nets’ defense. Plug Westbrook in your lineup and figure out the rest from there.
Reggie Jackson (DET): $5,200 @ CLE
If we are using Westbrook, then we will need to find some value options and Reggie Jackson fits the profile nicely. He has been playing much better lately putting up at least 27 FanDuel points in four of his last five games, including 29.9 FanDuel points against tonight’s opponent, the Cleveland Cavaliers just five days ago. The Cavaliers have trouble stopping opposing PG allowing more points (+10.0%), rebounds (+3.6%) and assists (+4.5%).
Sean Kilpatrick (BKN): $4,200 vs OKC
Speaking of value, thankfully the SG position has some. Kilpatrick, much like Jackson, has regained his form and has been productive once again recently. He has scored at least 19.9 FanDuel points in each of his last five games, including two games over 33 FanDuel points. His matchup with the Thunder only helps him in points (+4.2%) but playing around 25-plus minutes a night with a salary of just $4,200 makes him a solid value option to reach 5x his salary.
Jordan Crawford (NO): $3,500 vs POR
Crawford signed a 10-day contract with the Pelicans who desperately needed backcourt help following their trade for DeMarcus Cousins. Crawford has come on to be one of the Pelicans’ most reliable guards over his first three games with the team, averaging almost 25 minutes while scoring 16 points and dishing out four assists per game. It appears FanDuel has yet to realize he is even in the league as his price is at the stone-minimum of $3,500. Look for FanDuel and the Pelicans to increase his salary in the near future but for now, take advantage of the savings and solid fantasy production.
Paul George (IND): $8,100 @ NY
The SF position does not have many good value options, so paying up for George while considering LeBron James or even Carmelo Anthony seems like a necessity for at least one of your roster spots. My top selection given expected production and price is George who has topped 43 FanDuel points in four of his last five games and gets a favorable matchup against the Knicks who have allowed increased production to SF in points (+2.4%) and rebounds (+2.4%).
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (BKN): $4,400 vs OKC
If you can’t swing paying up for two SF, then give Hollis-Jefferson a look as a value option while also considering C.J. Miles. Hollis-Jefferson’s production is by no means guaranteed as he has topped 27 FanDuel points in three games will finishing below 13 FanDuel points twice over his last five games. But at a difficult position to find value, he at least gives you some upside that you don’t have with other cheap options at the position.
Kristaps Porzingis (NY): $6,600 vs IND
Porzingis has become a force on the defensive end of the court over the last three games, averaging 4.7 blocks per game on his way to big fantasy days with two 43-FanDuel point outings. He will look to continue the block party on Tuesday against the Pacers who he has averaged 2.7 blocks against in three games this season. He should also be able to take advantage of the Pacers on offense and on the glass as they give up increased production in both points and rebounds.
Enes Kanter (OKC): $5,900 @ BKN
Kanter has established himself as a high fantasy points per minute player off the bench for the Thunder averaging 1.13 FanDuel points per minute this season. He should play at least 20 minutes and maybe more if Taj Gibson is out, against a Nets’ defense who allows huge increased production to opposing PF in points (+10.5%) and rebounds (+9.3%). Kanter could be in line for one of his big 40-plus FanDuel point nights.
DeMarcus Cousins (NO): $9,000 vs POR
Cousins is at his lowest salary on FanDuel all season thanks to a couple poor outings in his last three games. However, one of those games was against Rudy Gobert and a tough Jazz defense, while in the other game Cousins sat out most of the fourth quarter and overtime with foul trouble. Cousins is the type of player that always seems to play with a chip on his shoulder and seeing limited minutes in the last game seems like something that would ignite Cousins into “beast mode”. Couple that with a solid matchup against the Blazers who have allowed increased points (+3.8%) to opposing C and it could be a recipe for a big “Boogie Night.”