FanDuel NHL Value Plays: Thursday (3/30)
With a little bit of a lighter Thursday night slate on our hands we have a narrower draft board, however, the value plays remain aplenty. There are some favorable matchups on this nine-game slate, so let’s take aim at those very matchups to extract our value.
Brayden Point (TB): $4,300 vs. DET
He has frequented this list more than any other player this season, but his price remains at a level where plenty of value can be had, especially considering his recent production. Point has five points over his last five games including two multi-point efforts in that stretch as he remains entrenched as the team’s top center at both 5v5 and on the power play. That Lightning power play clicks at an impressive 23.6% on home ice this season, the fifth-best mark in the league. Point should be in for some more production tonight against the lowly Red Wings who yield 3.26 goals against per game on the road.
Valtteri Filppula (PHI): $3,400 vs. NYI
While the Flyers have juggled their lines leading up to tonight’s contest against the Islanders, it appears Filppula strongly benefits from the mix-up. He is now skating with Wayne Simmonds and Jordan Weal on the second line while also playing on the team’s second power play unit. Of course skating with Simmonds is a positive considering the veteran winger has 29 goals this season and could very well notch number 30 against the Islanders and their 3.05 goals against per game on the road. This could be a good pairing as Filppula is primarily a setup man, considering his 29 assists compared to just nine goals for the season.
Josh Ho-Sang (NYI): $3,300 vs. PHI
Ho-Sang has looked as sharp as anyone on the Islanders roster since his call up the first of March as displayed by his eight points through the first 14 games of his NHL career. He is skating an impressive average of 16:31 while playing on the Islanders’ second line as well as their second power play unit. That could bode well for the young winger tonight as the Flyers give up 2.87 goals per game (22nd) while their penalty kill checks in at a poor 79.3%, also good for 22nd in the league.
Brett Ritchie (DAL): $3,500 vs. BOS
Ritchie is quietly putting together a solid rookie campaign with 14 goals and a very solid 155 shots on the season. Those numbers become even more impressive when you consider Ritchie was in a bottom-six role for the majority of the season, but that has changed recently and he is now skating alongside Tyler Seguin on the Stars’ second line. He has now skated at least 15 minutes in seven straight contests while notching a pair of goals in that span and has recorded three shots in goal in each of his last three outings.
Calvin de Haan (NYI): $3,400 vs. PHI
When looking for value a good idea is to look for players with a solid floor, and that is what we have here with de Haan. Not only is he getting solid ice time and playing on the Islanders’ second power-play unit, but he is tied for fifth in the NHL with 176 blocked shots on the season while also producing 105 shots and a solid 21 points to boot. Considering the Flyers’ 31.4 shots per game rank sixth in the league and that number climbs to 32.4 at home, he could be getting in front of quite a few pucks this evening to reach his value.
Jake Dotchin (TB): $3,500 vs. DET
Dotchin has a decent seven points in 28 games this season, but he has really been ramping up his shot totals in recent weeks. Dotchin has recorded at least four shots on goal in five of his last nine games as he remains a member of the Lightning second power play group. While a lot of damage is done by the first power play unit, the team still ranks fifth on the power play at home which gives Dotchin valuable minutes in the offensive zone. As long as he keeps shooting the puck and getting that power play opportunity he will be a solid value play.
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TB): $8,300 vs. DET
While his price is a little elevated for a value play, there are still nine goalies that are pricier on that draft board. Also of note, zero goalies underneath this price are trustworthy tonight. Therefore we will roll with the same goalie listed in my lineup advice tonight. Vasilevskiy takes on a Red Wings club that scores 2.38 goals per game on the road while their 10.3% power play away from home ranks last in the league by quite a wide margin. While desperation isn’t a factor in DFS outcomes, you certainly would think Tampa Bay should be winning this game as they chase down a playoff spot, especially considering Detroit is already looking into the future after being mathematically eliminated from postseason contention.