FanDuel NHL Value Plays: Thursday (3/9)
While tonight’s 10-game slate offers plenty of high-end talent on that draft board, somewhere lying in the weeds are plenty of value plays that are worth targeting. I aim to identify the top tier of those value plays in order to push our lineups to cash tonight! Let’s get right to it.
Christian Dvorak (ARI): $3,700 vs. OTT
It certainly has to be a rough season being a rookie for these lowly Coyotes, but Dvorak has handled himself admirably despite the team’s struggles. He has recorded 11 goals and 13 helpers on the season and has tallied exactly two shots on goal in each of his last six contests. He will be Arizona’s top centerman for tonight’s home matchup against the Senators while centering the team’s second power play unit as well. The Senators will be starting backup Mike Condon tonight whose numbers drop significantly on the road as he will enter play tonight sporting a 2.73 goals against average and .903 save percentage away from home. This is a solid opportunity for the rookie tonight.
Valtteri Filppula (PHI): $3,600 vs. TOR
I had Filppula in this piece on Tuesday to no avail, however, I have no problem going back to him for tonight’s matchup in Toronto. The Maple Leafs surrender the third-most shots per game at 32.6 and have given up three or more goals in seven of their last ten games. Filppula has a solid spot as the Flyers’ second line center while also seeing some reps on the team’s second power play unit. He isn’t much of a shooter, but linemates Brayden Schenn and Jakub Voracek sure are, making Filppula a solid value play tonight.
J.T. Compher (COL): $3,100 vs. NJ
Compher is going to be completely off of everyone’s board tonight so any production from the 21-year-old rookie would be monumental. He has recorded a solid 30 points in 41 AHL games this season before being recalled by the Avs and playing in Colorado’s last four contests. In one of those games, Compher skated over 15 minutes and recorded four shots on goal, showing he has the ability to make things happen. Best of all, he lines up next to Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog on the Avs’ second power play unit. That could be a productive spot and thus providing serious value a tick over the minimum price.
Tom Pyatt (OTT): $3,300 vs. ARI
Pyatt is in a serious scoring drought at the moment, but if you are looking for a very low-owned skater in a favorable matchup he is a solid choice. Pyatt will skate on the Senator’s second line with sniper Mike Hoffman which could be a valuable spot considering the Coyotes rank 29th while surrendering 3.22 goals per game. Pyatt has decent peripherals with 75 shots and 76 blocks on the season to go along with six goals and 18 points. Should he and Hoffman connect for some offense tonight Pyatt could be a game changer in your lineup.
Brett Pesce (CAR): $3,200 vs. NYR
While I wouldn’t like Pesce in some situations, being part of the power play on home ice is not one of those situations. Carolina is a noticeably better team at home as evidenced by their 2.7 goals per game at home compared to just 2.21 per game on the road. Pesce also provides solid peripheral numbers as well with his 82 shots and 112 blocked shots in 62 games. He has six shots and five blocks over his last two games and played as many as 24 minutes in that span.
Brandon Montour (ANH): $3,200 vs. CHI
Montour is the second player to appear on this list for the second time this week, but there is a reason why that is happening and a reason his price is starting to climb somewhat at FanDuel. Montour recorded a whopping five shots on goal and two blocks in Tuesday’s game against the Predators and has now averaged 3.2 shots per game over his last five. He will get second unit power play minutes in tonight’s game in Chicago, a solid spot considering the Blackhawks penalty kill sits at a brutal 74.7% at home, good for 27th in the league.
Calvin Pickard (COL): $7,500 vs. NJ
If you read my Lineup Advice today you will see Pickard appear in that piece as well. He is easily my top value play in goal tonight given the fact he has yielded just 11 goals over his last six home starts. He will take on a Devils team that averages a putrid 2.17 goals per game on the road which ranks 28th in the league. Pickard will be a low-owned goalie tonight given the 19 other options available so go ahead and lock him in as a very solid value play this evening.