FanDuel NHL Value Plays: Tuesday (3/21)
As is the norm for the majority of Tuesdays we have a rather large NHL slate on our hands to the tune of 11 games. There are some exploitable matchups on hand throughout the slate so let’s take aim and deliver some value within these matchups.
Brayden Point (TB): $4,400 vs. ARI
While I included Point in these pieces last week he still oozes with value as the team’s number one center while his matchup tonight is certainly a favorable one. Point will take on the visiting Coyotes tonight on home ice after Arizona was dealt a 3-1 loss last night in Nashville. The back-to-back situation can only hurt the Coyotes and Point should be able to take advantage. After all, he has tallied five points over his last four games and has skated at least 20 minutes in five consecutive contests. So long as he skates on the top line and top power play unit alongside Nikita Kucherov Point screams value every night he takes to the ice.
Adam Lowry (WPG): $3,800 vs. PHI
While the Jets are almost certain to miss the playoffs there is no denying they have an appetizing matchup tonight against the visiting Flyers. Philadelphia surrenders 2.94 goals per game which ranks 24th in the league, however that number drops to a pitiful 3.37 per game on the road. The Jets are a solid offensive team at home with 3.17 goals per game at the MTS Centre and Lowry can certainly be a part of that offense tonight. He skates as the team’s third line center at 5v5, however, he is also a part of their top power play unit alongside superstars Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler. He has a decent 25 points on the season but five of those have come over his last five games. He will certainly be a valuable, low-owned option down the middle tonight.
Jordan Weal (PHI): $3,100 vs. WPG
While the Jets are solid on the offensive side of the puck, they are also quite vulnerable on the defensive side as well. Weal skates on the Flyers’ top line alongside Claude Giroux and Wayne Simmonds and has shown flashes of serious offensive ability at times. There was a recent stretch where he recorded three points in five games while averaging three shots per game in that span. He has three goals in 13 games on the season but you aren’t going to find first-line players with his appetite for shooting at this price, especially against a weak defensive team.
Adam Erne (TB): $3,100 vs. ARI
Another Lightning forward who could produce some value tonight is winger Adam Erne. While his offensive totals won’t blow you away, Erne is deployed on the team’s second line as well as their second power play unit. He has averaged a decent two shots per game over his last seven, but his value derives from his matchup tonight against the Coyotes. Arizona gives up a brutal 3.57 goals per game on the road (29th), have a 77.6% penalty kill overall (27th) and are playing on back-to-back nights. Erne could deliver massive value as a very, very low-owned winger this evening.
Jeff Petry (MTL): $3,600 vs. DET
Petry is hands down my top value play on the blueline tonight. He has a solid 27 points across 70 games this season, however, his peripheral numbers are fantastic for this price. He checks in with 150 shots on goal to go along with 131 blocks while two of his eight goals on the season have come with the man advantage. The Canadiens welcome the lowly Detroit Red Wings to town tonight who are another team playing on back-to-back nights after losing at home to the Sabres by a 2-1 count a night ago. Could be a fruitful night for Petry and the Habs this evening.
Mark Streit (PIT): $3,700 vs. BUF
The Penguins are yet another team facing an opponent playing their second game in as many nights tonight. The Sabres will be in tough against a rested Penguins team while Streit is in a strong position to reap some of those benefits. He has fit in quite well with his new club so far as he has five points in nine games with the Penguins, however one of those games he was injured and played just five minutes. He is a member of the Penguins’ second power play unit and has taken 103 shots while blocking 72 in just 58 games this season. Pittsburgh leads the league by far with 3.46 goals per game so Streit becomes a solid value option as a result.
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TB): $8,400 vs. ARI
While the back-to-back scenarios are clouding the goaltending situation quite a bit, Vasilevskiy is a solid option tonight at a very reasonable price. After a string of starts where he surrendered just one goal in five of seven games, he has yielded four in each of his last two games. However, the latter two games were against the Maple Leafs and Capitals, two of the best offenses in the league. Tonight Vasilevskiy will welcome one of the league’s worst offenses to town in the form of the Arizona Coyotes. The Yotes score just 2.23 goals per game on the road and click at just a 15.2% clip with the power play away from home, good for 25th in the league. Tonight is a prime change for the Russian to get his game back in order against the NHL’s 29th-ranked club.