FanDuel NBA Value Plays: Thursday (4/27)
There are only two games on FanDuel’s main slate tonight. Both games are expected to be low scoring. The Spurs/Grizzlies game has a 190 O/U and the Bucks/Raptors game is at 195 for its’ projected total. Milwaukee is a slight home favorite even though they are down 3-2 in the series, while the Spurs are a 4.5-point road favorite leading the series tied 3-2.
You will be able to fit most of the players that you want into your lineup tonight since there are only two games being played and most of the NBA’s mega superstars are not in action tonight. However, to fit the available stars into your lineup, you will still need to find some salary relief as you construct your roster.
Here are six players that are viable options to consider as you look for value tonight. As always, check the news throughout the day and especially 30 minutes before lock. Use all of the information that you gather through your research to make the best decision for your lineup(s). Good luck today!
Tony Parker (SAS): $5,000 at MEM
Parker is normally a pretty safe playoff option (unless you played him last Thursday when he went for 0.30 FanDuel points). He has bounced back from his Game-3 dud to earn 34.3 and 25.4 FanDuel points, playing an uncharacteristically high amount of minutes (33.5 MPG). If you are going to pay down at this position, I lean toward Parker because of his price and his performances. If you ignore his Game-3 performance, he has averaged 25.8 FanDuel points during this series.
Norman Powell (TOR): $2,600 at MIL
Don’t even think twice about this. Powell should be chalk tonight and there isn’t any other obvious value to pivot to. He has been starting for the Raptors. He has produced all year long when given the opportunity. In the last two games, he has earned 39.8 and 24.8 FanDuel points. For some reason, his price went down after his 39.8 performance. Lock him in. He’s a free space on your roster.
Tony Snell (MIL): $4,000 vs. TOR
I don’t like rostering Snell but there really aren’t many options for us tonight since we have to roster two Small Forwards on FanDuel (you will roster Kawhi Leonard in your other spot unless you like giving away money). Snell becomes the best of what is remaining because he gets the most minutes. In the five playoffs games so far, he has averaged 30.2 MPG and 16.4 FanDuel points. He is a very good defender in real life but ironically not a good defender from a fantasy standpoint as he doesn’t accumulate steals, blocks or many defensive rebounds. This makes him valuable to the Bucks but risky in our lineups.
Michael Beasley (MIL): $1,700 vs. TOR
You will need to differentiate your lineup in some way tonight as roster construction will be pretty straight forward. If you are feeling frisky, then you could take a flyer on Beasley. He is very talented but hasn’t been playing or producing lately. If you are playing multiple lineups, you could take a shot with him. In Game-3, Jason Kidd went with Beasley and he responded with 13 points in 20 minutes helping the Bucks to a win. However, he has only played a total of 27 minutes in the other playoff games. He earned 16.6 FanDuel points in that Game-3 performance and it came during crucial times, but he has been non-existent since. He is talented, though, as evidenced in the last regular season game of the year against the Celtics when he had 33.0 FanDuel points. He is a punt play but he only needs 8.5 FanDuel points to reach value.
David Lee (SAS): $3,400 at MEM
Lee has started the last two games at Center and has averaged 29.5 MPG and 21.5 FanDuel points. He should be a good bet to reach value tonight as long as he starts. All indications point to Popovich continuing to start him as they look to close out the series, but it is the Spurs and no one really ever knows what they will do from game to game.
Thon Maker (MIL): $3,900 vs. TOR
This is an ugly position tonight because none of the options (even at the high end) are safe bets to reach value. Your decision will be to save salary even if the player doesn’t reach value or to go for the highest raw point projection even though you will probably be overpaying for that player. Center will probably be where I punt tonight and hope that the difference between Thon Maker and Marc Gasol is not that big. In his five playoff games, Maker has averaged 16.8 FanDuel points for 4.5X value. He starts for the Bucks which also gives him a little upside potential. He did have 23.7 FanDuel points in the last regular-season game of the year against the Celtics.