We have reached the halfway point of the first full week in June, and there are 12 games to work with for the main slate. Let’s take a look at a tournament lineup for DraftKings.
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Pitcher
Zack Greinke (ARI): $12,400 vs. SD
Lackey and the Diamondbacks will host the woeful Padres tonight, and it’s tough not to embrace the matchup across all lineup formats as a result. Greinke continues to strikeout hitters at a high rate (10.44 K/9), and I don’t see that trend ending tonight given the opponent. The Padres rank 28th in wRC+ against right-handed pitching, while they also strike out at a high clip (25.8%). Greinke has faced this team twice already and has struck out 17 hitters in 14 innings pitched while surrendering just two earned runs over that span.
John Lackey (CHC): $7,400 vs. MIA
Lackey has been an inconsistent asset this season, as he’s failed to eclipse 10 DKP in three of his 11 starts, hile scoring 20 or more twice. That leaves quite a bit to be desired, but I think he’s worth embracing in tournament play tonight. The Marlins rank 22nd against right-handed pitching, and they possess below league average isolated power as well, which has been an issue for Lackey. His 20.6% HR/FB rate suggests a bit of bad luck, and thus his xFIP is a full run lower than his actual ERA. If he can limit the long ball, he should be good for six or seven strikeouts, with a great shot at a win due to the Cubs facing a weak starter in Jose Urena.
Other Notables
- Dallas Keuchel (HOU): $12,500 @ KC
- Yu Darvish (TEX): $10,500 vs. NYM (GPP)
- Mike Foltynewicz (ATL): $7,700 vs. PHI (GPP)
Catcher
Alex Avila (DET) : $3,700 vs. LAA
The Tigers have an implied run total of five, and this puts Avila on the map as an excellent way to get exposure to this offense without breaking the bank. I think the Angels’ starting pitcher Alex Meyer has some talent, but I don’t think he’s fully ready for the major leagues just yet, as he walks too many hitters (6.14 BB/9). This will likely lead to trouble against a dangerous lineup like Detroit has, and with the way Avila continues to hit, I like his chances at a solid outing tonight.
Other Notables
- Gary Sanchez (NYY): $4,600 vs. BOS (GPP)
- Yadier Molina (STL): $4,000 @ CIN (GPP)
- Evan Gattis (HOU): $3,800 @ KC (GPP)
- Tyler Flowers (ATL): $3,800 vs. PHI
First Base
Chris Davis (BAL): $4,600 vs. PIT
Davis continues to display big power against right-handed pitching, as he sports a .273 ISO this season, which isn’t horribly far off of his .300 ISO over the past few seasons. Chad Kuhl has not been good this season, and with an xFIP of five, I don’t think he will get much better going forward. He’s been tattooed by left-handed hitters in his last 54.2 IP to them, allowing a .399 wOBA and 1.48 HR/9. His hard minus soft contact rate allowed to lefties is at 22.9%, which suggests he’s not fooling anyone at the plate. Davis has multi-homer upside at home most nights, and this could be a spot for a big performance.
Other Notables
- Paul Goldschmidt (ARI): $5,500 vs. SD (GPP)
- Joey Votto (CIN): $4,900 vs. STL
- Anthony Rizzo (CHC): $4,700 vs. MIA
- Danny Valencia (SEA): $4,000 vs. MIN (GPP)
- Matt Adams (ATL): $3,900 vs. PHI (GPP)
Second Base
Rougned Odor (TEX) : $2,900 vs. NYM
Odor will likely never be a candidate for a high batting average, but I also don’t think he’s a .200 hitter either. His BABIP is at a low .231, and with nothing seemingly out of line in his batted ball profile, I think he’s been a victim of bad luck to this point. The power has dropped markedly (.231 ISO last year; .148 ISO this year), but unless there’s something physically wrong, I don’t think he will sustain these low levels forever. Zack Wheeler isn’t the most exciting pitcher to pick on, but with the Rangers pegged for a high team total over five, there isn’t enough there to completely avoid him either.
Other Notables
- Jose Altuve (HOU): $5,500 @ KC
- Josh Harrison (PIT): $4,200 @ BAL (GPP)
- Cesar Hernandez (PHI): $3,700 @ ATL (GPP)
- Ben Zobrist (CHC): $3,600 vs. MIA
Third Base
Evan Longoria (TB) : $3,600 vs. CWS
Longoria was priced at $5,100 just one week ago, and while he hasn’t torn the cover off of the ball, he has averaged 6.2 DKP over those five contests. While he doesn’t get any favors hitting at home, he will get a plus matchup against Mike Pelfrey, who continues to defy the odds. Pelfrey still sports a 5.22 K/9 on the season, and has an xFIP (4.88) that is a run higher than his actual ERA (3.86). Toss in a low .228 BABIP, and I don’t think this magical run continues forever. Longoria should go low owned tonight, and he has decent pop against same-handed pitching (.201 ISO last two seasons; .171 ISO this year), making him a fine tournament play as a result.
Other Notables
- Jake Lamb (ARI): $5,100 vs. SD
- Kris Bryant (CHC): $4,800 vs. MIA
- Miguel Sano (MIN): $4,700 @ SEA (GPP)
- Joey Gallo (TEX): $4,300 vs. NYM (GPP)
Shortstop
Chris Owings (ARI): $3,900 vs. SD
Luis Perdomo has been able to generate a ton of groundballs this season, but with the Diamondbacks carrying an implied total of around five runs, I am not totally avoiding him tonight. He was lit up by this same offense three starts ago (eight earned runs, 11 hits), despite getting 11 ground balls at home. Owings has been a pleasant surprise this season, and despite being in a bit of a funk over the last 10 games (.189 AVG), he is a fine way to get exposure to this high-powered Arizona offense.
Other Notables
- Carlos Correa (HOU): $5,600 @ KC
- Elvis Andrus (TEX): $4,900 vs. NYM (GPP)
- Xander Bogaerts (BOS): $4,500 @ NYY
- Tim Beckham (TB): $3,500 vs. CWS (GPP)
Outfielders
Stephen Piscotty (STL): $4,300 @ CIN
The Cardinals are licking their wounds after a drubbing at the hands of Scooter Gennett and the Reds last night, and they are in a great position to return the favor as they face Bronson Arroyo. Arroyo sports an xFIP of 5.62, which also happens to be his K/9 right now too (note: that’s bad). His hard contact rate to same-handed hitters currently sits at 34.2%, and Piscotty represents a great way to exploit this. Great American ballpark is conducive to power, and Piscotty has shown some against right-handed pitching this season (.176 ISO).
David Peralta (ARI): $4,000 vs. SD
Luis Perdomo has allowed a .365 wOBA and 1.76 HR/9 to lefties in his last 87 IP to them, and his hard minus soft contact rate sits at an unsightly 23.1%. Peralta has produced a .372 wOBA against right-handed pitching over the last couple of seasons, and he is a great option hitting out of the second spot in the batting order tonight.
Chris Young (BOS) : $3,200 @ NYY
Young has not been his usual self against lefties this season, as he’s posted just a .275 wOBA with zero home runs. His numbers over the last two years against southpaws have been much better, as evidenced by a .397 wOBA/.230 ISO. I am hoping a date with CC Sabathia will help to cure the blues at bit tonight, as Young should in a decent spot in the batting order. Sabathia has allowed nine home runs to right-handed hitters this season, and with his hard minus soft contact rate pushing 20%, the matchup certainly favors Young.
Other Notables
- George Springer (HOU): $5,700 @ KC (GPP)
- Aaron Judge (NYY): $5,300 vs. BOS (GPP)
- Nelson Cruz (SEA): $4,900 vs. MIN
- Ender Inciarte (ATL): $4,700 vs. PHI (GPP)
- Mookie Betts (BOS): $4,400 @ NYY
- Shin-Soo Choo (TEX): $4,200 vs. NYM
- Odubel Herrera (PHI): $3,700 @ ATL
- Guillermo Heredia (SEA): $3,100 vs. MIN (GPP)
My Lineup
- SP – Zack Greinke (ARI): $12,400 vs. SD
- SP – John Lackey (CHC): $7,400 vs. MIA
- C – Alex Avila (DET): $3,700 vs. LAA
- 1B – Chris Davis (BAL): $4,600 vs. PIT
- 2B – Rougned Odor (TEX): $2,900 vs. NYM
- 3B – Evan Longoria (TB): $3,600 vs. CWS
- SS – Chris Owings (ARI): $3,900 vs. SD
- OF – Stephen Piscotty (STL): $4,200 @ CIN
- OF – David Peralta (ARI): $4,000 vs. SD
- OF – Chris Young (BOS): $3,200 @ NYY
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Adam Sutton is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Adam, follow him @DraftStars_Adam. You can find more of Adam’s work at DraftStars.net.
