DraftKings MLB Value Plays: Monday (6/19)
Here’s a look at value plays for Monday night contests on DraftKings.
Gerrit Cole (PIT): $7,500 @ MIL
Cole’s history against these Brewers is not huge, but in roughly two outings worth of at-bats, they’ve gone just 3-for-35 against him. The most recent meeting was a seven-inning, two-hit gem on May 6 with their lone run coming via a Hernan Perez solo shot. Cole (-122) once had double-digit strikeout upside. That upside returns tonight versus a Milwaukee team that punches out at over a 25% clip.
Hector Velazquez (BOS): $5,500 @ KC (GPP Only)
Rather unproven at this level, Valazquez dazzled in Triple-A and the Mexican League through the last year and a half. As of this morning, this game is essentially a pick’em but look for late line movement to position him as a slight favorite unless a few BoSox starters sit. He gets a Royals team with a sub-.700 OPS vs. RHP who still rank among the league’s worst in many offensive metrics. He’s not someone to target in cash games.
Yasmani Grandal (LAD): $3,000 vs. NYM
Grandal has been a little untrustworthy in cash games with disappointing performance in good spots this past weekend. His ownership levels are starting to come down so that you can use him in GPPs outside of Dodgers stacks. Grandal’s discount is reflective of the above factors, and he offers serious upside as he’s still one of the best catchers in the game against righties.
- Austin Hedges (SD): $3,000 @ CHC
Hanley Ramirez (BOS): $3,400 @ KC
HanRam has hit Jason Hammel well (6-for-13), and his cheap price tag on the road versus the righty is attractive. The .340 wOBA versus RHP the since 2016 is good enough considering Hammel is not good and righties are hitting him hard. Check Boston’s lineup, though, as they had some guys get banged up Sunday Night. Ramirez fouled two balls off his shin Sunday and could have residual soreness.
- Mike Napoli (TEX): $3,400 vs. TOR
Chase Utley (LAD): $3,500 (1B eligible)
Utley has been playing well of late and has maintained a respectable .334 wOBA and 110 wRC+ against RHP since last year. Those numbers are nearly identical to his teammate, Grandal. They’re not elite levels, but they set up for a sneaky, cheap Dodgers stack that correlates well with a Kershaw lineup. There are a few good options in the $4,000 range as well if you have salary leftover.
- Javier Baez (CHC): $2,900 vs. SD (SS eligible)
Eugenio Suarez (CIN): $3,100 @ TB
Some Reds bats are priced lower than they should be, and I’ll be taking full advantage. First up, Suarez, whose been excellent this season hitting fifth and occasionally clean up. Like some of his teammates, he’s walking more and striking out less at career-best rates. Improved plate discipline, a .200 ISO, .355 wOBA and 116 wRC+ against RHP with a reverse-splits pitcher on the mound creates a good spot for him at an excellent price.
- Kyle Seager (SEA): $3,400 vs. DET
Chad Pinder (OAK): $3,000 vs. HOU (2B eligible)
A couple weeks back I mentioned Pinder’s elite Statcast data on his batted ball distance and exit velocity. The power is real! As the plate appearances come, his number versus RHP are great. The ISO remains at a robust .298 while also carrying a .357 wOBA and 127 wRC+ into this week. He’s still hitting the ball hard out of the two spot, and I expect this to continue.
- Zack Cozart (CIN): $3,700 @ TB
Ryan Raburn (WAS): $2,900 @ MIA
Nowadays, Raburn is used strictly as a platoon right-handed stick versus southpaws. This is a bargain basement price for a guy batting second, on the road, that smashes lefties with a .222 ISO, .354 wOBA and 118 wRC+ across his career. Raburn is firmly in play in all formats for a high-powered Nats offense against Justin Nicolino. Just remember, as soon as a LHP enters the game, he’ll be subbed out, but that is baked into the low price.
Mallex Smith (TB): $3,600 vs. CIN
Smith’s price tag rose quickly after replacing Kevin Kiermaier in the Rays OF, but he’s still very affordable. He seems to have the green light on the basepaths, and he’s taking full advantage. What’s more impressive is since being promoted to leadoff for this lineup, he’s on a 10-game hit streak with half of those games being multi-hit efforts. He’s also the best bunt artist in MLB, making for the occasional infield hit as well.
Derek Fisher (HOU): $3,600 @ OAK
The Stros top OF prospect got the call last week when Josh Reddick hit the DL with a concussion. He looked great in his debut and even got a hit off Craig Kimbrell last night making him just the ninth player to do so this year. He raked in the minors and has an excellent matchup against a below-average RHP in Oakland tonight. This shiny new toy has the bat to neutralize the poor hitting environment.
- Gregory Polanco (PIT): $3,400 @ MIL
- Hunter Renfroe (SD): $3,800 @ CHC
- Reds OF stack: Adam Duvall/Scott Schebler (CIN): $3,900 each & Billy Hamilton $3,300 @ TB ($10,000 total)
Josh Dalley is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, follow him @JoshDalley72.