Fantasy Baseball Trade Value Chart: Week 16

by Dan Harris | @danharris80 | Featured Writer
Jul 17, 2017

Trevor Story’s value continues to plummet

I don’t know about you, but I have very mixed feelings about the All-Star break. On the one hand, we get two nights with NO baseball at all, and two more with entertaining, but ultimately meaningless, baseball activity. It’s a long few days.

On the other hand, it provides a rare break from the grueling grind of the baseball season to recharge our batteries and get ready for the unofficial second half of the season. We get to catch up on episodes of Jeopardy! and watch as many episodes of Say Yes To The Dress as our wives want (just me?).

But even without many games to play, the trade winds keep blowing, and we saw a couple of major deals go down since we last checked in. In light of the break, there obviously hasn’t been as much movement in the trade chart as usual. But the time off at least allowed me to check in and really evaluate how we need to be valuing some players going forward. So let’s take a quick look around baseball to see how the trade value landscape looks as we close in on the trade deadline in most leagues.

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Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Mike Trout (OF – LAA) 69 69
Paul Goldschmidt (1B – ARI) 66 66
Bryce Harper (OF – WAS) 65 65
Mookie Betts (OF – BOS) 65 65
Jose Altuve (2B – HOU) 65 65
Nolan Arenado (3B – COL) 62 62
Joey Votto (1B – CIN) 60 60
Clayton Kershaw (SP – LAD) 59 59
Charlie Blackmon (OF – COL) 59 59
Anthony Rizzo (1B – CHC) 57 57
Kris Bryant (3B – CHC) 56 60 -4
Manny Machado (3B – BAL) 54 54
Chris Sale (SP- CWS) 54 54
Max Scherzer (SP – WAS) 54 54
Freddie Freeman (1B – ATL) 53 49 +4
Josh Donaldson (3B – TOR) 50 50
Carlos Correa (SS – HOU) 48 46 +2
Corey Seager (SS – LAD) 45 45
Corey Kluber (SP – CLE) 45 38 +7
Daniel Murphy (2B – WAS) 43 43
Nelson Cruz (OF – SEA) 42 42
Giancarlo Stanton (OF – MIA) 42 42
Francisco Lindor (SS – CLE) 41 43 -2
George Springer (OF – HOU) 41 41
Edwin Encarnacion (1B – CLE) 41 41
Aaron Judge (OF – NYY) 40 37 +3
J.D. Martinez (OF – DET) 39 39
Jacob deGrom (SP – NYM) 36 32 +4
A.J. Pollock (OF – ARI) 36 36
Miguel Cabrera (1B – DET) 35 38 -3
Wil Myers (1B – SD) 35 35
Xander Bogaerts (SS – BOS) 35 36 -1
Yu Darvish (SP – TEX) 33 33
Stephen Strasburg (SP – WAS) 33 33
Chris Archer (SP – TB) 33 32 +1
Miguel Sano (3B – MIN) 31 31
Jose Abreu (1B – CWS) 31 31
Robinson Cano (2B – SEA) 30 30
Zack Greinke (SP – ARI) 30 29 +1
Billy Hamilton (OF – CIN) 29 29
Jon Lester (SP – CHC) 28 28
Brian Dozier (2B – MIN) 28 28
Buster Posey (C – SF) 28 28
Christian Yelich (OF – MIA) 27 27
Jake Arrieta (SP – CHC) 27 27
Matt Carpenter (1B – STL) 27 27
Lance McCullers (SP – HOU) 27 27
Madison Bumgarner (SP – SF) 27 27
Kenley Jansen (RP – LAD) 26 26
Craig Kimbrel (RP – BOS) 26 26
Dee Gordon (2B – MIA) 26 25 +1
Carlos Carrasco (SP – CLE) 25 25
Eric Thames (1B – MIL) 25 23 +2
Marcell Ozuna (OF – MIA) 24 24
Justin Upton (OF – DET) 24 23 +1
Gary Sanchez (C – NYY) 23 23
Anthony Rendon (3B – WAS) 23 22 +1
Ryan Braun (OF – MIL) 23 20 +3
Dallas Keuchel (SP – HOU) 22 22
Hanley Ramirez (1B – BOS) 22 21 +1
Carlos Martinez (SP – STL) 22 22
Rougned Odor (2B – TEX) 21 21
Justin Verlander (SP – DET) 21 21
Aroldis Chapman (RP – NYY) 21 21
Khris Davis (OF – OAK) 21 21
Andrew McCutchen (OF – PIT) 21 20 +1
Michael Conforto (OF – NYM) 21 21
Yoenis Cespedes (OF – NYM) 21 21
Jake Lamb (3B – ARI) 21 19 +2
David Price (SP – BOS) 20 20
Ryan Zimmerman (1B – WAS) 20 20
Jean Segura (SS – SEA) 20 20
James Paxton (SP – SEA) 20 19 +1
Carlos Santana (1B – CLE) 20 20
Kyle Seager (3B – SEA) 19 20 -1
Jose Ramirez (3B – CLE) 19 19
Cody Bellinger (OF – LAD) 19 19
Adrian Beltre (3B – TEX) 19 18 +1
Mark Trumbo (1B – BAL) 19 19
Jose Bautista (OF – TOR) 19 19
Adam Jones (OF – BAL) 18 19 -1
Gerrit Cole (SP – PIT) 18 18
Matt Kemp (OF – ATL) 18 19 -1
Michael Fulmer (SP – DET) 18 18
Roberto Osuna (RP – TOR) 18 16 +2
Wade Davis (RP – CHC) 18 17 +1
Starling Marte (OF – PIT) 18 17 +1
Johnny Cueto (SP – SF) 17 22 -5
Michael Brantley (OF – CLE) 17 17
Jose Quintana (SP – CWS) 17 13 +4
Lorenzo Cain (OF – KC) 17 17
Adam Duvall (OF – CIN) 16 17 -1
Alexander Colome (RP – TB) 16 16
Ian Desmond (OF – COL) 16 16
Greg Holland (RP – COL) 16 16
Trea Turner (SS – WAS) 16 16
Carlos Gonzalez (OF – COL) 15 15
Gregory Polanco (OF – PIT) 15 15
DJ LeMahieu (2B – COL) 14 14
Todd Frazier (3B – CWS) 14 14
Eric Hosmer (1B – KC) 14 14
Jonathan Villar (2B – MIL) 14 13 +1
Corey Knebel (RP – MIL) 14 14
Chris Davis (1B – BAL) 14 14
Mike Moustakas (3B – KC) 14 14
Justin Turner (3B – MIA) 14 12 +2
Evan Longoria (3B – TB) 13 13
Ken Giles (RP – HOU) 13 13
Alex Wood (SP – LAD) 13 12 +1
Salvador Perez (C – KC) 12 12
Masahiro Tanaka (SP – NYY) 12 12
Kyle Hendricks (SP – CHC) 12 12
Travis Shaw (3B – MIL) 12 10 +2
Kelvin Herrera (RP – KC) 12 12
Robbie Ray (SP – ARI) 12 12
Marcus Stroman (SP – TOR) 11 12 -1
Rich Hill (SP – LAD) 11 11
Cody Allen (RP – CLE) 11 11
David Robertson (RP – CWS) 11 11
Andrew Benintendi (OF – BOS) 11 11
Cole Hamels (SP – TEX) 11 11
Justin Smoak (1B – TOR) 10 9 +1
Corey Dickerson (OF – TB) 10 10
Felipe Rivero (RP – PIT) 10 9 +1
Jose Berrios (SP – MIN) 10 10
Elvis Andrus (SS – TEX) 10 10
Danny Duffy (SP – KC) 10 10
Trevor Story (SS – COL) 9 13 -4
Ian Kinsler (2B – DET) 9 9
Raisel Iglesias (RP – CIN) 9 9
Jay Bruce (OF – NYM) 9 9
Ervin Santana (SP – MIN) 9 9
Edwin Diaz (RP – SEA) 9 9
Julio Teheran (SP – ATL) 9 9
Luis Severino (SP – NYY) 9 9
Seung-Hwan Oh (RP – STL) 8 11 -3
Jeff Samardzija (SP – SF) 8 8
Kendrys Morales (1B – TOR) 8 8
Odubel Herrera (OF – PHI) 8 10 -2
Rick Porcello (SP – BOS) 8 8
Jonathan Lucroy (C – TEX) 8 8
Brandon Kintzler (RP – MIN) 8 8
Yasmani Grandal (C – LAD) 8 8
Marco Estrada (SP – TOR) 7 7
Sonny Gray (SP – OAK) 7 5 +2
Zach Britton (RP – BAL) 7 7
Drew Pomeranz (SP – BOS) 7 7
Alex Bregman (3B – HOU) 6 8 -2
Kyle Schwarber (OF – CHC) 6 6
Yonder Alonso (1B – OAK) 6 6
Addison Reed (RP – NYM) 6 6
Nomar Mazara (OF – TEX) 6 6
Willson Contreras (C – CHC) 6 6
Jon Gray (SP – COL) 6 6
Steven Matz (SP – NYM) 6 6
Wilson Ramos (C – TB) 6 6
Jacob Faria (SP – TB) 5 5
Jason Kipnis (2B – CLE) 5 7 -2
Stephen Piscotty (OF – STL) 5 5
A.J. Ramos (RP – MIA) 5 5
Brandon Belt (1B – SF) 5 5
Sean Manaea (SP – OAK) 5 5
Eduardo Rodriguez (SP – BOS) 5 5
Felix Hernandez (SP – SEA) 5 5
Mitch Haniger (OF – SEA) 5 5
Jackie Bradley (OF – BOS) 5 5
Jimmy Nelson (SP – MIL) 5 4 +1
Jonathan Schoop (2B – BAL) 5 5
Aaron Sanchez (SP – TOR) 5 3 +2
Justin Bour (1B – MIA) 5 5
Domingo Santana OF – MIL) 5 5
Andrew Miller (RP – CLE) 4 6 -2
Dustin Pedroia (2B – BOS) 4 4
Kenta Maeda (SP – LAD) 4 4
J.T. Realmuto (C – MIA) 4 4
Justin Wilson (RP – DET) 4 5 -1
Eduardo Nunez (3B – SF) 4 4
Dylan Bundy (SP – BAL) 4 4
Albert Pujols (1B – LAA) 4 4
Brett Gardner (OF – NYY) 4 4
Maikel Franco (3B – PHI) 4 4
Ender Inciarte (OF – ATL) 4 4
Jake Odorizzi (SP – TB) 4 4
Jedd Gyorko (3B – STL) 4 4
Chris Owings (SS – ARI) 4 3 +1
Matt Adams (1B – ATL) 4 4
Aaron Nola (SP – PHI) 4 4
Zack Cozart (SS – CIN) 4 3 +1
Jose Peraza (2B – CIN) 4 4
Evan Gattis (C – HOU) 4 4
Fernando Rodney (RP – ARI) 4 4
Jameson Taillon (SP – PIT) 4 4
Keon Broxton (OF – MIL) 4 4
Danny Salazar (SP – CLE) 4 1 +3
Eugenio Suarez (3B – CIN) 3 3
Scott Schebler (OF – CIN) 3 3
Tanner Roark (SP – WAS) 3 3
Mark Melancon (RP – SF) 3 4 -1
Michael Wacha (SP – STL) 3 3
Kole Calhoun (OF – LAA) 3 3
Hunter Pence (OF – SF) 3 3
Bud Norris (RP – LAA) 3 3
Josh Bell (1B – PIT) 3 3
Matt Holliday (1B – NYY) 3 3
Ryon Healy (3B – OAK) 3 3
Josh Reddick (OF – HOU) 3 3
Yasiel Puig (OF – LAD) 3 2 +1
Mark Reynolds (1B – COL) 3 3
Mallex Smith (OF – TB) 3 3
Addison Russell (SS – CHC) 3 3
Ian Happ (2B – CHI) 3 1 +2
Starlin Castro (2B – NYY) 2 2
Brad Brach (RP – BAL) 2 2
Dellin Betances (RP – NYY) 2 2
Yasmany Tomas (OF – ARI) 2 3 -1
Nick Castellanos (3B – DET) 2 2
Ben Zobrist (2B – CHC) 2 2
Jim Johnson (RP – ATL) 2 2
Dexter Fowler (OF – STL) 2 2
Sean Doolittle (RP – WAS) 2 1 +1
David Dahl (OF – COL) 2 2
David Peralta (OF – ARI) 2 2
Welington Castillo (C – BAL) 2 2
Kevin Pillar (OF – TOR) 2 2
Kevin Gausman (SP – BAL) 2 2
Brian McCann (C – HOU) 2 2
Marcus Semien (SS – OAK) 2 2
Taijuan Walker (SP – SEA) 2 2
Avisail Garcia (OF – CWS) 2 2
Santiago Casilla (RP – OAK) 2 2
Lucas Duda (1B – NYM) 2 2
Steven Souza (OF – TB) 2 1 +1
Aledmys Diaz (SS – STL) 1 1
Alex Cobb (SP – TB) 1 1
Matt Shoemaker (SP – LAA) 1 1
Noah Syndergaard (SP – NYM) 1 1
John Lackey (SP – CHC) 1 1
Troy Tulowitzki (SS – TOR) 1 1
Ivan Nova (SP – PIT) 1 1
Jerad Eickhoff (SP – PHI) 1 1
Josh Harrison (3B – PIT) 1 1
Lance Lynn (SP – STL) 1 1
Mike Leake (SP – STL) 1 1
Cesar Hernandez (2B – PHI) 1 1
Carlos Beltran (OF – HOU) 1 1
Victor Martinez (DH – DET) 1 1
Orlando Arcia (SS – MIL) 1 1
Matt Wieters (C – WAS) 1 1
Joey Gallo (3B – TEX) 1 1
Aaron Altherr (OF – PHI) 1 1
Byron Buxton (OF – MIN) 1 1
Nick Pivetta (SP – PHI) 1 1
Andrew Moore (SP – SEA) 1 1
Brandon Maurer (RP – SD) 1 1
Brandon Crawford (SS – SF) 1 1
Hector Neris (RP – PHI) 1 1
Joc Pederson (OF – LAD) 1 1
Gio Gonzalez (SP – WAS) 1 1
Francis Martes (SP – HOU) 1 1
Brandon Phillips (2B – ATL) 1 1
Yadier Molina (C – STL) 1 1
Melky Cabrera (OF – CWS) 1 1
Max Kepler (OF – MIN) 1 1
Sam Dyson (RP – SF) 1 1
Hunter Renfroe (OF – SD) 1 1
Javier Baez (2B – CHC) 1 1
Jason Vargas (SP – KC) 1 1
Tim Anderson (SS -CWS) 1 1
J.A. Happ (SP – TOR) 1 1
Ryan Madson (RP – WAS) 1 0 +1
Matt Moore (SP – SF) 1 1
Vincent Velasquez (SP – PHI) 1 1
Tommy Pham (STL – OF) 1 1
Curtis Granderson (OF – NYM) 1 1
Mike Napoli (1B – TEX) 1 1
Tommy Joseph (1B – PHI) 1 1
Brad Miller (SS – TB) 1 1
Ian Kennedy (SP – KC) 1 1
Alex Claudio (RP – TEX) 1 0 +1
Mike Zunino (C – SEA) 1 1
Luis Castillo (SP – CIN) 1 1
Jarrod Dyson (OF – KC) 1 1
Didi Gregorius (SS – NYY) 1 1
Matt Davidson (3B – CWS) 1 1
Chris Taylor (2B – LAD) 1 1
Russell Martin (C – TOR) 1 1
Yulieski Gurriel (3B – HOU) 1 1
Clint Frazier (OF – NYY) 1 1
Cam Bedrosian (RP – LAA) 1 1
Jharel Cotton (SP – OAK) 1 1
Tommy Kahnle (RP – CWS) 1 0 +1
Rajai Davis (OF – OAK) 1 1
Jeurys Familia (RP- NYM) 1 1
Hernan Perez (3B – MIL) 1 1
Shin-Soo Choo (OF – TEX) 1 1
Keone Kela (RP – TEX) 1 1
Dansby Swanson (SS – ATL) 1 1
Matt Bush (RP – TEX) 1 1
Bradley Zimmer (OF – CLE) 1 1
Whit Merrifield (2B – KC) 1 1

 
No need for headings today, but let’s touch on a few notable movers.

No, there’s nothing wrong with Kris Bryant. He’s still awesome. But, in starting the initial process of thinking about my 2018 rankings, I realized that I feel pretty confident that, as of this moment, I’d have no hesitation taking Anthony Rizzo ahead of Bryant, and that he’d be more in the Manny Machado/Freddie Freeman range. So that’s closer to his trade value right now. He still has the 11th highest trade value and all, but just needed to reassess his overall standing among the elite fantasy players.

Corey Kluber has the fourth highest WAR among pitchers this season, behind only Chris Sale, Max Scherzer, and Clayton Kershaw. And he’s thrown at least 30 fewer innings than all of them. ERA matters, and Kluber’s always seems to lag behind his FIP and xFIP, so he’s still a step behind the big three. But he’s a clear number four in the starting pitching landscape right now, so he needed to be valued accordingly.

I’ve been fighting to keep Miguel Cabrera where he’s been all season. After all, he’s hitting the ball harder than ever (career-high 49.1% hard-hit rate), and I think I’ve seen the phrase “Miguel Cabrera lines out to [insert random fielder]” in whatever app I’m using at the time about 75 times this season. But the fact remains that his numbers simply aren’t what we are accustomed to, he’s been battling multiple injuries all season, and the Tigers lineup is probably about to get a whole lot worse. He’s still elite, and I’ve resisted offers to sell low. But he can’t still be valued quite as high as he was in the preseason, despite my affection for the guy.

I’m actually glad that Johnny Cueto is now on the DL with blister problems. He’s been that awful combination of terrible (4.59 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) but too good of a track record to sit regularly. Now he can get some pickle juice and rest those fingertips for a few weeks before hopefully returning to glory. He takes a bigger dip than almost any other starter who is only supposed to miss a start or two would, just because the Giants have absolutely no incentive to rush him and so could opt to take their time. Also, it’s completely coincidental that every starter now has blister problems. Nothing to see here. Please disperse.

It was a nice first game for Jose Quintana with the Cubs against the Orioles on Sunday (seven innings, no runs, 12 strikeouts). I already feel bad for Bobby Sylvester and the mean tweets he’s going to get when Quintana pitches like a top-10 starter the rest of the way, now that Quintana doesn’t have to deal with the DH and gets to pitch for (what should be) a winning team. I’m sure it’s impossible to get Quintana as cheap as you could’ve a few weeks back, but he should be in for a big second half.

Trevor Story is one of those guys that you know is not having a good season, but then you finally look at his numbers and you realize just how bad he’s been. His hard-contact rate is down from 44.9% last year to 31.2% this year. His strikeout percentage is up from a bad 31.3% to an abysmal 35.9%. And the thing is, Story wasn’t supposed to be this crazy superstar that he was last year. In 2015 between Double-A and Triple-A, he hit 20 home runs, the most he had ever hit in the minors. We’ve seen what he’s capable of in Coors Field, but considering his pretty short track record of excellence, it’s time to knock his trade value down a bit.

Sonny Gray is pitching extremely well these days (two or fewer runs allowed in each of his last four starts, with 16 baserunners allowed in 27 innings). I’m sure the A’s could not be more grateful, as word has it that scouts from pretty much every team have attended his most recent outings. A move to a contending team, especially in the NL, will certainly help Gray in the wins department, though he already pitches in one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks in the majors. Still, his bump up in value is as much about a trade possibility as it is about how well he’s pitching now.

Some newly-traded relievers also move up a bit. Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson are now on the Nationals, and either one or both of them will be closing games in the near future. Thus, they both get a minor boost in value or, in Madson’s case, get valued at all! But the thing is, I’ll be shocked if the Nationals are done adding to their bullpen. Because it’s not simply that they didn’t have a closer – it’s that they did not have ANY reliable arm in their bullpen. The Nationals bullpen entered Sunday with a 5.34 ERA and an MLB-worst .280 opponents’ batting average. Madson is better than what they have but he’s certainly not the most reliable arm in the world, and Doolittle is both injury-prone and a lefty, neither of which is the hallmark of a closer. If I had to own one, it would be Doolittle, but I still think the leader in saves for the Nationals for the rest of the season is not yet on the team.

Finally, Tommy Kahnle makes an appearance on the trade chart. David Robertson is still closing games for the White Sox, but if that’s still the case on August 1st, I will be shocked. With Nate Jones now lost for the season, the closer’s job for the White Sox will undoubtedly go to Kahnle once Robertson is shipped out of town. The time to grab him is now, and if you can get him as a throw-in to a deal, that’s gold, Jerry. Gold.


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Dan Harris is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Dan, check out his archive or follow him on Twitter at @danharris80.


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