Bobby Sylvester’s Top 400 Second-Half Fantasy Baseball Rankings

by Bobby Sylvester | @bobbyfantasypro | Featured Writer
Jul 14, 2017

Where does Manny Machado rank for the second half?

Every month, I’m posting my updated top 400 rest of the season rankings. You can think of it as a waiver wire tool or a trade guide, use it however you’d like. Today, I’ll respond to some of the more controversial rankings preemptively, but if you have any further questions or disagreements, don’t hesitate to let me know on twitter @bobbyfantasypro.

Manny Machado is talented, but how can you keep him in your top 15?

There is an all encompassing stat called weighted on-base average, or wOBA. With advanced metrics like statcast, we can now use the data to show what a players wOBA should be so we can seperate the luck from the skill. Machado currently has a .319 wOBA, his xwOBA is a whopping .355. Nobody in baseball, not Aaron Judge or Giancarlo Stanton has hit the ball over 102 MPH more times than Machado this season. He has somehow managed to get out 57% of the time he hit the ball that hard which is unheard of. Machado is every bit as good as he was when he was dominating as a 20 to 23-year-old, perhaps even better, but the mainstream stats just haven’t displayed that. Yet.

Sure, Alex Avila has been hot, but a top 4 catcher, really?

I’m going to give you four superstars to compare. The rankings listed below are of all 246 players with at least 200 plate appearances this season:

Superstar Hard-Hit% HH% Rank Line Drive% LD% Rank Avg Exit Velo xVelo Rank BB% BB% Rank K%
Player A 46.0% #9 18.8% #165 90.1 #44 11.3% #55 29.1%
Player B 46.4% #8 20.4% #116 93.9 #2 12.8% #35 34.8%
Player C 49.0% #4 24.5% #27 96.2 #1 16.7% #4 29.8%
Player D 55.7% #1 29.2% #1 92.9 #4 17.2% #3 29.5%

 
Player A is Cody Bellinger
Player B is Miguel Sano
Player C is Aaron Judge
Player D is Alex Avila (yeah, the clear best of the bunch)

They all have high k-rates, high BB-rates and all mash baseballs so Avila fits perfectly in with this group. Do I expect it to keep up? Absolutely not, but even with a big step back, his stats should STILL improve from the already terrific first half numbers we saw.

We don’t know how Carlos Rodon will come back, why is he ranked so high?

Rodon has always had injury problems, which is part of the reason he went from being the clear-cut #1 overall pick in the 2014 MLB draft down to #3. He has ace stuff with a wipeout slider and we finally saw him piecing it together in the second half last season as a 23-year-old. Throughout the minors, he was a top 20 prospect and he always struck out 11.7 per 9 IP or more, so there is no reason to think his sudden dominance last year was a fluke. Granted, he is having some command issues, as would be expected from a long recovery, but his stuff looks sharp and should continue to improve over the reaminder of the season.

Luke Weaver doesn’t even have a job but somehow appears in your top 250?

Two days ago, Weaver was sent back down to the minors. He was looking strong out of the bullpen, but the starting rotation is his future, and perhaps sooner than later. Last season as a 22-year-old, he struck out 11.1 batters per 9 innings in the Bigs. This is a prospect with a sparkling 1.81 ERA and 1.05 WHIP during his 253 minor leagues innings pitched. He is more polished than any other prospect and ready to dominate from the get-go as soon as a rotation spot opens up, which is bound to happen eventually.

Who is this Rhys Hoskins that you’d rather own than guys like Pujols and Schwarber?

The Phillies are loaded at Triple-A this season with Hoskins, Dylan Cozens, Jorge Alfaro, J.P. Crawford and Nick Williams (who was just called up). Hoskins could be next and is the best bet of the group to hit well in the Majors this season. He is a big first baseman who swatted 38 homers last season and is well on his way to doing the same this year to go along with his .965 OPS. He should be batting in the middle of the Phillies order within a couple of weeks, and I’d certainly rather own him than a career .210 hitter like Schwarber who has no position and isn’t guarunteed playing time.

Without further ado, here is the full list. Enjoy!

What's your take? Leave a comment

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1Le'Veon Bell (PIT)RB
2Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
3Antonio Brown (PIT)WR
4Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
5David Johnson (ARI)RB
6DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
7Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG)WR
8Kareem Hunt (KC)RB
9Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
10Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
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11Julio Jones (ATL)WR
12Michael Thomas (NO)WR
13Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
14Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
15A.J. Green (CIN)WR
16Mike Evans (TB)WR
17Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
18LeSean McCoy (BUF)RB
19Devonta Freeman (ATL)RB
20Davante Adams (GB)WR
21Mark Ingram (NO)RB
22Jordan Howard (CHI)RB
23Rob Gronkowski (NE)TE
24Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
25Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
26Adam Thielen (MIN)WR
27Derrick Henry (TEN)RB
28Doug Baldwin (SEA)WR
29Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
30T.Y. Hilton (IND)WR
1Mike Trout (LAA)CF
2Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
3Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
4Trea Turner (WSH)SS
5Mookie Betts (BOS)RF
6Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
7Paul Goldschmidt (ARI)1B
8Bryce Harper (WSH)RF
9Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)RF
10Clayton Kershaw (LAD)SP
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11Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
12Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
13Carlos Correa (HOU)SS
14Joey Votto (CIN)1B
15Corey Kluber (CLE)SP
16Chris Sale (BOS)SP
17Manny Machado (BAL)3B
18Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B,3B
19Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B,2B
20J.D. Martinez (BOS)RF
21Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
22Aaron Judge (NYY)RF
23George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
24Josh Donaldson (TOR)3B
25Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,LF
26Stephen Strasburg (WSH)SP
27Noah Syndergaard (NYM)SP
28Jose Ramirez (CLE)2B,3B
29Brian Dozier (MIN)2B
30Gary Sanchez (NYY)C
1Kevin Durant (GSW)SF,PF
2Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
3James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
4Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
5Russell Westbrook (OKC)PG
6Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
7Anthony Davis (NOR)PF,C
8Kawhi Leonard (SAS)SG,SF
9LeBron James (CLE)SF,PF
10Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
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11John Wall (WAS)PG
12Chris Paul (HOU)PG
13Damian Lillard (POR)PG
14Jimmy Butler (MIN)SG,SF
15Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
16Hassan Whiteside (MIA)C,PF
17Myles Turner (IND)PF,C
18Paul George (OKC)SG,SF
19Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
20Draymond Green (GSW)SF,PF
21Kemba Walker (CHA)PG
22CJ McCollum (POR)PG,SG
23Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
24Klay Thompson (GSW)SG,SF
25Marc Gasol (MEM)C
26Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
27Paul Millsap (DEN)PF,C
28Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
29Eric Bledsoe (MIL)PG,SG
30Blake Griffin (DET)PF,C