DraftKings PGA Lineup Advice: Dell Technologies Championship

by Ben Alberstadt | @BenAlberstadt | Featured Writer
Aug 31, 2017

Dustin Johnson has two top-10 finishes in his last four starts at TPC Boston

After tackling a new venue at Glen Oaks last week, the 96 of the 100 men remaining in the FedEx Cup Playoffs make their way to TPC Boston for the Dell Technologies Championship (formerly the Deutsche Bank Championship).

Cut out of New England forest, Arnold Palmer’s original design didn’t exactly look regionally appropriate. Gil Hanse (with the help of New Englander Brad Faxon) stepped in to reshape holes, add “chocolate mounds,” select areas for native growth. By most accounts, the pair were successful in making the course look like a Massachusetts course, ala Salem, Myopia Hunt Club, or The Country Club…but it’s still something of an odd mix of modern target golf and forced carries with a New England vibe.

7,342 yards, par 71. TPC Boston’s bentgrass greens run around 12.5 on the stimpmeter. When there’s moisture, putts seem to fall. When the course is dry, holing putts can be a chore. Still, winners generally fall in the 15 to 20-under range. Rory McIlroy finished at -15 last year.

Remember, with 96 players in the field and 70 making the cut, you’re looking at roughly three-fourths of the field making it to the weekend, rather than half. In other words, take some chances.

The smart money is pushing the value of strokes gained: approach this week, as well as total driving. But a balanced portfolio of the strokes gained metrics and big-time birdie makers seem the way to go.

Try Daily Fantasy Golf at DraftKings now >>

If You Want to Go Chalk…

Justin Thomas at $10,300 and Hideki Matsuyama at $10,100 makes absolutely no sense. Definitely over-reactive pricing. Matsuyama had a put lip out that would have sent him through to the weekend at the Northern Trust. Even given his prodigious birdie ability and hot streaks, you can’t justify rostering Justin Thomas ahead of, really, the fifth through 10th highest priced players.

Top-of-the-Line Considerations

Dustin Johnson: $12,000
Dustin Johnson isn’t really the type of guy you have to worry about an emotional letdown from in the wake of a win. Dude doesn’t really have emotions, per se…never gets too high (don’t say it) or too low. Two top-10 finishes in his last four starts at TPC Boston. Do we really need to dredge up the stats?

Rickie Fowler: $9,700
Hey, remember this guy? Rickie Fowler is playing some decent golf (tied for 20th at Glen Oaks), and he’s a past winner at TPC Boston. 20th in strokes gained: approach, 12th in strokes gained: tee-to-green, second in total strokes gained. You could easily see Dick Fowler, P.I. priced ~$500 higher. He makes a nice play at $9,700.

Deep Sleepers

Marc Leishman: $6,900
Leish sees his salary slashed by more than two grand this week after missing the cut by a stroke at Glen Oaks. That’s unfairly penal, and he’s a helluva value at $6,900. 29th in strokes gained: approach. 17th in strokes gained: tee-to-green. 13th in total strokes gained. Top-15 finisher in four of his last five starts. He generally finishes in the 20th-40th range at TPC Boston, but owing to recent form, you can expect him to do a bit better. And at this price, he doesn’t need to do much better than that to return value.

Ian Poulter: $6,900
Ian Poulter, if you didn’t know, collects Ferraris. He loves to spend money. There’s no more important time for the accumulation of wealth for PGA Tour pros than the FedEx Cup Playoffs and the associated $35 million prize fund. In other words, Poults is highly motivated. Fifth in strokes gained: approach. 21st in total strokes gained. Top-25 finisher in four of his last five starts. Multiple top-25 finishes at TPC Boston.

Birdie Busters

Field leaders in birdie or better percentage (season rank)

1 Justin Thomas: $10,300
2 Jordan Spieth: $12,100
3 Hideki Matsuyama: $10,100
4 Rickie Fowler: $9,700
5 Brooks Koepka: $8,700

Core 2

Paul Casey: $8,900
You could make a real argument for Paul Casey being priced north of $10,000 this week. At the very least, he should be $9,800, rather than $8,900. A second-place finisher at TPC Boston this year, the Brit has been a machine any engineer in England would admire: Eight top-15 finishes in his last 10 starts. Third in strokes gained: approach. Eighth in total strokes gained: total. Ownership will be north of 25 percent, but you can’t fade at this price.

Webb Simpson: $8,200
It’s tough to back a man with a swing as hideous as James Frederick Webb Simpson’s. (Yes, Webb is his second middle name). That said, he’s priced at a discount and he’ll touchdown in Boston with two top-10 finishes in his rearview. Clearly capable at the venue, Webb won at TPC in 2011. 19th in strokes gained: approach. 20th in total strokes gained.

Ben Alberstadt is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Ben, check out his archive and follow him @BenAlberstadt.

What's your take? Leave a comment

Fantasy Games
FanDuel photo
New players get a free NFL contest every week until they win cash.
Get our Mobile App!

Enter your phone number below, and we'll text you a link to download the app.

1Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
2Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
3Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
4Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
5Kareem Hunt (KC)RB
6Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
7David Johnson (ARI)RB
8Adam Thielen (MIN)WR
9Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
10Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
 View all Flex Rankings 
11Julio Jones (ATL)WR
12A.J. Green (CIN)WR
13Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
14Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG)WR
15Sony Michel (NE)RB
16DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
17Michael Thomas (NO)WR
18Mike Evans (TB)WR
19Tevin Coleman (ATL)RB
20Robert Woods (LAR)WR
21Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
22Brandin Cooks (LAR)WR
23Travis Kelce (KC)TE
24Stefon Diggs (MIN)WR
25Jarvis Landry (CLE)WR
26James White (NE)RB
27Tyler Boyd (CIN)WR
28Adrian Peterson (WAS)RB
29LeSean McCoy (BUF)RB
30Mark Ingram (NO)RB
1Mike Trout (LAA)CF,DH
2Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
3Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
4Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
5Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
6Bryce Harper (WSH)CF,RF
7Manny Machado (LAD)3B,SS
8J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
9Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B,3B
10Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
 View All Rankings 
11Corey Kluber (CLE)SP
12Jose Ramirez (CLE)2B,3B
13Paul Goldschmidt (ARI)1B
14Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
15Trea Turner (WSH)SS
16Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)LF,RF
17Carlos Correa (HOU)SS
18Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
19Joey Votto (CIN)1B
20Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B,2B
21Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
22Chris Sale (BOS)SP
23Clayton Kershaw (LAD)SP
24George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
25Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
26Luis Severino (NYY)SP
27Andrew Benintendi (BOS)LF,CF
28Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
29Starling Marte (PIT)LF,CF
30Christian Yelich (MIL)LF,CF
1Anthony Davis (NOR)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (GSW)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (OKC)PG
 View All Rankings 
11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (OKC)SG,SF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (TOR)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (HOU)PG
16Jimmy Butler (MIN)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (CHA)PG
18Kyrie Irving (BOS)PG,SG
19Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
26Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
Follow the Pros!

Follow us on Twitter @FantasyPros for exclusive advice and contests