DraftKings MLB Value Plays: Monday (9/25)
It’s the last Monday of the MLB regular season and the last time time I get to uncover some bargains on DraftKings this year. There are two day games in New York, but we’ll skip those and get to the nine-game main slate. You’ll discover it’s a good day to play the 8:05 Turbo slate as well based on the guys listed below. Pay up for Yu Darvish at your own risk. I’d rather play hitters at Texas or Colorado. I’ll do my best to end the season with a bang. Ready, set…let’s go!
Drew Pomeranz (BOS): $9,200 vs. TOR
Stretching the term value play here, but there isn’t much else I’d feel comfortable recommending on this slate, especially for cash games. Pomeranz (-204) is averaging 16.6 points per game in three starts against the Jays this season. The Jays have nobody aside from Josh Donaldson that is intimidating. He has been a safe play all year and remains safe enough to pay for with the uncertainty of the other top-priced arms tonight.
Aaron Nola (PHI): $8,000 vs. WAS
Nola (-136) is the perfect GPP play with a banged up Nats lineup coming into town. While Bryce Harper is expected to be in the lineup, I’d expect Washington to rest guys for the next week, the most likely reason the Phils are favored. Nola put up 18.6 DK points last time these teams squared off. The risk of facing this lineup in Philly would be outweighed by a stellar outing at low ownership. Invest in his curveball in tournaments.
Brian McCann (HOU): $3,300 @ TEX
You’re going to find out I love a lot of bats from this game. Aside from the extremely favorable hitting environment, McCann has the pop to pay off his price tag with one swing as his fly ball rate is elevated recently. The 10 run total is enough for me to endorse playing any catcher in this game.
- Robinson Chirinos (TEX): $3,000 vs. HOU
Joey Gallo (TEX): $3,400 vs. HOU (also 3B eligible)
Gallo is the ultimate GPP play as he hits more dingers than singles. This game is likely to be high scoring and Gallo has mammoth power this season as proved by his stunning .335 ISO approaching his .358 wOBA. Even if a lefty comes in, Gallo can take anyone deep anytime.
- Yuli Gurriel (HOU): $3,900 @ TEX
Robinson Cano (SEA): $3,000 @ OAK
Cano is in a fantastic spot against Daniel Gossett. Aside from having a career platoon advantage, he’s smashing the ball the last couple weeks with noticeable spikes in hard-hit rate as well as exit velocity. His eight-game hit streak was snapped yesterday, but he’s a professional hitter with a hot bat.
- Jed Lowrie (OAK): $3,400 vs. SEA
Luis Valbuena (LAA): $2,700 @ CHW (also 1B eligible)
Valbuena is a career righty killer and he’s done just that this year with a .245 ISO and a career-high 20 jacks against them. The matchup with the gas can known as James Shields is especially tasty considering Valbuena gets a massive park upgrade. He’s a great corner infield option and ridiculously cheap.
- Kyle Seager (SEA): $3,200 @ OAK
Enrique Hernandez (LAD): $2,700 vs. SD (also OF eligible)
Hernandez is a lefty-masher that will most likely crack the lineup against southpaw Travis Wood who’s simply not good. Kike is sporting an absurd .319 ISO to go along with a .389 wOBA & 144 wRC+ vs. LHP. I expect him to be a spark plug for the Dodgers offense tonight if you can’t afford Seager.
- Corey Seager (LAD): $3,800 vs SD
Drew Robinson (TEX): $2,100 vs. HOU (also 2B eligible)
Back to the Texas game we go. Robinson is an excellent way to get bottom-basement priced exposure to this high run total. I like all the Rangers OF today, but Robinson opens up a lot of salary, and he’s currently smashing the ball with sharp up-ticks in batted ball distance and exit velocity. His hard-hit rate is also way up over the last two weeks and that bodes well for him coming back to Texas after playing 10 games in pitcher-friendly parks.
Carlos Beltran (HOU): $3,100 @ TEX
On the Astros side, I like Beltran as a cheap play to get more exposure to this game. The whole bottom of Houston’s order is. In fact, Beltran should hit in front of Gurriell and McCann for a sneaky 7-8-9 mini stack in GPPs. All three are hitting the ball harder and farther than usual, a really nice combo.
All Mariners: Nelson Cruz $2,900/Ben Gamel $3,000 @ OAK
Cruz has a five-game hit streak, he went deep in four straight games before yesterday, and his price is the lowest I can remember. I usually only play Boom Stick against LHP, but at this price, and with him being locked in, how can you not? He’s likely to be super chalky, but can you afford to fade him? He and his teammate, Gamel, both have elevated hard hit rates and batted ball data over the last couple weeks, which is no surprise for Nelly. The only negative is they’re in Oakland. Gamel is a leverage GPP pivot off of Cruz if you’re worried about ownership and bold enough to fade Cruz.
- All Rangers: Shin-Soo Choo $3,300/Nomar Mazara $3,400/Carlos Gomez $3,600 vs. HOU
- Chris Taylor (LAD): $3,700 vs. SD
- Christian Yelich (MIA): $4,000 @ NYM
Josh Dalley is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, follow him @JoshDalley72.