DraftKings MLB Value Plays: Monday (9/25)

by Josh Dalley | @JoshDalley72
Sep 25, 2017

It’s the last Monday of the MLB regular season and the last time time I get to uncover some bargains on DraftKings this year. There are two day games in New York, but we’ll skip those and get to the nine-game main slate. You’ll discover it’s a good day to play the 8:05 Turbo slate as well based on the guys listed below. Pay up for Yu Darvish at your own risk. I’d rather play hitters at Texas or Colorado. I’ll do my best to end the season with a bang. Ready, set…let’s go!

Create Optimal DraftKings lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool >>

Pitcher

Drew Pomeranz (BOS): $9,200 vs. TOR
Stretching the term value play here, but there isn’t much else I’d feel comfortable recommending on this slate, especially for cash games. Pomeranz (-204) is averaging 16.6 points per game in three starts against the Jays this season. The Jays have nobody aside from Josh Donaldson that is intimidating. He has been a safe play all year and remains safe enough to pay for with the uncertainty of the other top-priced arms tonight.

Aaron Nola (PHI): $8,000 vs. WAS
Nola (-136) is the perfect GPP play with a banged up Nats lineup coming into town. While Bryce Harper is expected to be in the lineup, I’d expect Washington to rest guys for the next week, the most likely reason the Phils are favored. Nola put up 18.6 DK points last time these teams squared off. The risk of facing this lineup in Philly would be outweighed by a stellar outing at low ownership. Invest in his curveball in tournaments.

Catcher

Brian McCann (HOU): $3,300 @ TEX
You’re going to find out I love a lot of bats from this game. Aside from the extremely favorable hitting environment, McCann has the pop to pay off his price tag with one swing as his fly ball rate is elevated recently. The 10 run total is enough for me to endorse playing any catcher in this game.

Alternate Value

First Base

Joey Gallo (TEX): $3,400 vs. HOU (also 3B eligible)
Gallo is the ultimate GPP play as he hits more dingers than singles. This game is likely to be high scoring and Gallo has mammoth power this season as proved by his stunning .335 ISO approaching his .358 wOBA. Even if a lefty comes in, Gallo can take anyone deep anytime.

Alternate Value

Second Base

Robinson Cano (SEA): $3,000 @ OAK
Cano is in a fantastic spot against Daniel Gossett. Aside from having a career platoon advantage, he’s smashing the ball the last couple weeks with noticeable spikes in hard-hit rate as well as exit velocity. His eight-game hit streak was snapped yesterday, but he’s a professional hitter with a hot bat.

Alternate Value

Third Base

Luis Valbuena (LAA): $2,700 @ CHW (also 1B eligible)
Valbuena is a career righty killer and he’s done just that this year with a .245 ISO and a career-high 20 jacks against them. The matchup with the gas can known as James Shields is especially tasty considering Valbuena gets a massive park upgrade. He’s a great corner infield option and ridiculously cheap.

Alternate Value

Shortstop

Enrique Hernandez (LAD): $2,700 vs. SD (also OF eligible)
Hernandez is a lefty-masher that will most likely crack the lineup against southpaw Travis Wood who’s simply not good. Kike is sporting an absurd .319 ISO to go along with a .389 wOBA & 144 wRC+ vs. LHP. I expect him to be a spark plug for the Dodgers offense tonight if you can’t afford Seager.

Alternate Value

Outfield

Drew Robinson (TEX): $2,100 vs. HOU (also 2B eligible)
Back to the Texas game we go. Robinson is an excellent way to get bottom-basement priced exposure to this high run total. I like all the Rangers OF today, but Robinson opens up a lot of salary, and he’s currently smashing the ball with sharp up-ticks in batted ball distance and exit velocity. His hard-hit rate is also way up over the last two weeks and that bodes well for him coming back to Texas after playing 10 games in pitcher-friendly parks.

Carlos Beltran (HOU): $3,100 @ TEX
On the Astros side, I like Beltran as a cheap play to get more exposure to this game. The whole bottom of Houston’s order is. In fact, Beltran should hit in front of Gurriell and McCann for a sneaky 7-8-9 mini stack in GPPs. All three are hitting the ball harder and farther than usual, a really nice combo.

All Mariners: Nelson Cruz $2,900/Ben Gamel $3,000 @ OAK
Cruz has a five-game hit streak, he went deep in four straight games before yesterday, and his price is the lowest I can remember. I usually only play Boom Stick against LHP, but at this price, and with him being locked in, how can you not? He’s likely to be super chalky, but can you afford to fade him? He and his teammate, Gamel, both have elevated hard hit rates and batted ball data over the last couple weeks, which is no surprise for Nelly. The only negative is they’re in Oakland. Gamel is a leverage GPP pivot off of Cruz if you’re worried about ownership and bold enough to fade Cruz.

Alternate Values

Create Optimal DraftKings lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool >>

Josh Dalley is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, follow himĀ @JoshDalley72.


What's your take? Leave a comment

Fantasy Games
FanDuel photo
Play for your share of $1m+
for FREE with first deposit
Get our Mobile App!

Enter your phone number below, and we'll text you a link to download the app.

1Antonio Brown (PIT)WR
2Julio Jones (ATL)WR
3Le'Veon Bell (PIT)RB
4A.J. Green (CIN)WR
5Michael Thomas (NO)WR
6Kareem Hunt (KC)RB
7Dez Bryant (DAL)WR
8Mike Evans (TB)WR
9Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
10Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
 View all Flex Rankings 
11Brandin Cooks (NE)WR
12Larry Fitzgerald (ARI)WR
13LeSean McCoy (BUF)RB
14Devonta Freeman (ATL)RB
15Rob Gronkowski (NE)TE
16Chris Hogan (NE)WR
17Michael Crabtree (OAK)WR
18Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
19Mark Ingram (NO)RB
20Jay Ajayi (MIA)RB
21Demaryius Thomas (DEN)WR
22Jordan Howard (CHI)RB
23Jordy Nelson (GB)WR
24Zach Ertz (PHI)TE
25Adam Thielen (MIN)WR
26Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
27Carlos Hyde (SF)RB
28Doug Baldwin (SEA)WR
29Alshon Jeffery (PHI)WR
30Jarvis Landry (MIA)WR
1Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
2Paul Goldschmidt (ARI)1B
3Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
4Mike Trout (LAA)CF,DH
5Mookie Betts (BOS)RF
6Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
7Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
8Joey Votto (CIN)1B
9Kris Bryant (CHC)1B,3B
10Chris Sale (BOS)SP
 View All Rankings 
11Manny Machado (BAL)3B,SS
12Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B,2B
13Corey Seager (LAD)SS
14Giancarlo Stanton (MIA)RF
15Clayton Kershaw (LAD)SP
16Corey Kluber (CLE)SP
17Daniel Murphy (WSH)1B,2B
18Nelson Cruz (SEA)RF,DH
19George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
20Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B,3B
21Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
22Edwin Encarnacion (CLE)1B,DH
23Josh Donaldson (TOR)3B,DH
24Yu Darvish (LAD)SP
25Robinson Cano (SEA)2B
26Bryce Harper (WSH)RF
27Miguel Cabrera (DET)1B,DH
28J.D. Martinez (ARI)RF
29Madison Bumgarner (SF)SP
30Jose Abreu (CWS)1B,DH
1Kevin Durant (FA)SF,PF
2Giannis Antetokounmpo (FA)SF,PF
3James Harden (FA)PG,SG
4Stephen Curry (FA)PG,SG
5Russell Westbrook (FA)PG
6Karl-Anthony Towns (FA)C
7Anthony Davis (FA)PF,C
8Kawhi Leonard (FA)SG,SF
9LeBron James (FA)SF,PF
10Nikola Jokic (FA)PF,C
 View All Rankings 
11John Wall (WAS)PG
12DeMarcus Cousins (FA)PF,C
13Chris Paul (FA)PG
14Damian Lillard (FA)PG
15Jimmy Butler (FA)SG,SF
16Rudy Gobert (FA)C
17Kyrie Irving (BOS)PG,SG
18Hassan Whiteside (MIA)C,PF
19Myles Turner (FA)PF,C
20Paul George (FA)SF,PF
21Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
22Draymond Green (FA)SF,PF
23Kristaps Porzingis (NYK)PF,C
24Kemba Walker (CHA)PG
25CJ McCollum (FA)PG,SG
26Mike Conley (FA)PG
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Klay Thompson (FA)SG,SF
29Marc Gasol (FA)C
30Kevin Love (FA)PF,C