DraftKings NFL Lineup Advice: Week 2 (Thurs/Sun/Mon)

Sep 13, 2017

Well, professional football in America finally happened and boy was it incredible. Injuries and underwhelming performances punctuated a wild first week of the season, which creates a lot of intrigue heading into Week 2.

Looking back at the recommendations from Week 1, it certainly was a mixed bag of results. Aaron Rodgers (20.5 DKP), LeSean McCoy (23.9 DKP), Todd Gurley (20.6 DKP), Pierre Garcon (14.1 DKP) and Zach Ertz (17.3 DKP) all came through for us. David Johnson (14.1 DKP) was a disappointment in relation to his salary, but he was lost due to injury in the second half, so that was a tough break. Carson Palmer (12 DKP) broke my heart with a rough outing, while Tom Brady (10.7 DKP) also disappointed. Julio Jones (10.6 DKP), Kendall Wright (6.4 DKP) and Travis Kelce (9.4 DKP) rounded out the positional plays. The Bills (9 DKP) and Broncos (5 DKP) were serviceable but unspectacular defenses in Week 1.

Let’s take a look at some top plays for Week 2 on DraftKings.

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Quarterbacks

Tom Brady (NE): $7,900 @ NO
Brady was outscored by 21 other quarterbacks in Week 1, and two of the 32 starters didn’t even play, so that tells you just how pedestrian he was. Despite the ugly outing against a ferocious Chiefs’ defense, Brady’s price crept up $300 heading into Week 2. I’m guessing this has to do with the fact that the Patriots will be playing a weak defense in the Saints, while I’m sure the Angry Tom narrative played a role as well. All told, I don’t think we see a repeat of last week’s debacle at home, and I think Brady winds up as one of the top quarterbacks in Week 2.

Drew Brees (NO): $7,700 vs. NE
Sticking within the same game, I think Brees is in play this week as well after having a tough opener much like his counterpart, Tom Brady. The Patriots’ defense gave up a whopping 537 total yards to the Chiefs in Week 1, 368 of which came through the air via the arm of Alex Smith. Drew Brees is no Alex Smith, so I also look for him to bounce back in what could wind up being a very high scoring affair.

Russell Wilson (SEA): $6,800 vs. SF
The stars are aligned for a bounce back performance in a big way for Wilson, who completed just 14 of 27 passes for 158 yards in Week 1. The Seahawks’ offensive line struggled yet again at the point of attack, but Wilson at least looked healthy and mobile. He should be a very strong tournament option at this price, as he carries plenty of upside in a plus matchup at home against the 49ers.

Eli Manning (NYG): $5,300 vs. DET
There are 19 quarterbacks priced higher than Eli Manning this week, which puts him squarely in play for tournaments back at home against the Lions in primetime (again or still?).  Manning produced a weak fantasy line against the Cowboys in Week 1, as he threw for just 220 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. This recommendation is pretty dependent on the status of playmaker Odell Beckham, whose absence clearly affected this offense. If Beckham is back for Week 2, Manning could be a phenomenal tournament buy at this price.

Running Backs

Ezekiel Elliott (DAL): $7,800 @ DEN
Be sure to keep an eye on Elliott’s playing status due to his ongoing legal issues, but he would represent an intriguing buy in Week 2 if he plays. Elliott had a whopping 29 touches in Week 1, and while he failed to break off any big plays, he once again proved to be the bell cow for the Cowboys’ offense. A lot of the top flight running backs find themselves in tricky matchups this week, and Elliott is no exception as he will face the Broncos. It’s worth noting that Melvin Gordon was able to churn out 18.9 DKP against Denver in Week 1, so I wouldn’t completely avoid this defense, especially with Elliott checking in at a healthy discount in relation to Le’Veon Bell and LeSean McCoy.

Todd Gurley (LAR): $6,800 vs. WAS
I was a big believer in Gurley rebounding this season, and he certainly didn’t disappoint in Week 1. While some may look at his yards per carry and be soured, consider the context and that the Rams dismantled the Colts, which turned a lot of Gurley’s carries into very predictable ones. He was involved in the passing game as expected, which is a great boost to his value in a PPR scoring format.

Mark Ingram (NO): $4,900 vs. NE/Adrian Peterson (NO): $4,700 vs. NE
I hate to list these two options together, but with them so close in price, I’d try to split exposure to them this week, maybe 60% leaning towards Ingram. While this game could feature a ton of scoring, as long as it’s within reach, the Saints should be able to commit a bit more to the running game. The narrative side of things says Peterson could be in line for more work after the much-hyped interaction on the sideline with Coach Sean Payton. The problem with Peterson is he is the early down back, which creates issues in the passing game as he’s not an integral part of that aspect. Still, it’s a situation worth targeting as we saw in Week 1 what happened to this defense.

Tarik Cohen (CHI): $4,100 @ TB
Cohen was used in multiple ways in Chicago’s Week 1 loss to the Falcons, and the rookie didn’t disappoint. He figures to continue being involved in many ways going forward, as the Bears lost a weapon in Kevin White for the season. There also isn’t much competition for touches behind Jordan Howard, so there should be enough volume for Cohen to remain relevant. He’s a steal at this price and should be targeted across all formats as an elite value.

Wide Receivers

Antonio Brown (PIT): $9,400 vs. MIN
I know this matchup against the Vikings leaves a lot to be desired, but I also know Ben Roethlisberger has some pretty wide home/road spits over the past several years. It’s going to be tough to identify when one of Le’Veon Bell or Antonio Brown will go off, with the latter doing all the work in Week 1, but Brown is the clear top option in the passing game. The full point PPR system on DraftKings enhances Brown’s value, and I’m hoping his ownership stays down just a bit due to the opponent, which would make him a fine play this week.

Odell Beckham (NYG): $8,000 vs. DET
Obviously, check on Beckham’s status heading into the weekend (keep him in the FLEX spot), but if he’s good to go, I think he makes for an excellent pairing with Eli Manning this week. There’s always concern with high ankle sprains, but I don’t think the Giants will push him until he’s deemed healthy. We know the massive upside Beckham possesses, so don’t be shy about targeting him in tournament play this week.

DeAndre Hopkins (HOU): $5,800 @ CIN
Hopkins saw a whopping 16 targets in Week 1, as the Texans were forced to play from behind for most of the game. It sounds like the Deshaun Watson era has begun in Houston, so if he and Hopkins can form a rapport going forward, you’ll never see Hopkins any cheaper the rest of the season. This isn’t the best matchup against the Bengals, but there’s all sort of profit potential in Hopkins’ salary.

DeSean Jackson (TB): $4,900 vs. CHI
The Buccaneers’ new toy on offense isn’t a high volume threat, but Jackson can certainly still burn opposing defenses for big plays. I look for Jameis Winston to hook up with his new wide out for a big play or two and a score against the Bears, which would easily allow him to pay off this low salary in Week 2.

Tight Ends

Tyler Eifert (CIN): $4,300 vs. HOU
There’s nothing spectacular about this matchup on Thursday night, but I think the often-injured Eifert is in play given his modest salary. He can be a boom or bust option, but I think it’s only a matter of time before he gets back to scoring touchdowns if he can stay healthy.

Coby Fleener (NO): $3,100 vs. NE
Despite hauling in five of his six targets for 54 yards and a touchdown, Fleener’s price rose by just $200 heading into Week 2. Fleener looked good within the Saints’ offense, and if Monday night’s defensive showing is any indicator, they could be throwing quite a bit this season. The Patriots looked lost defensively in Week 1, and while I expect Bill Belichick and the coordinators to get it patched up somewhat, that is a lot of fixing to do in just one week’s time.

Defense/Special Teams

Arizona Cardinals (ARI): $4,100 @ IND
Yikes. The Colts were decimated by the Rams in Week 1, and even if they insert Jacoby Brissett as this week’s starter at quarterback, I don’t think things will improve that much. The Cardinals allowed 367 yards of offense in Week 1, but they did salvage their fantasy line with a sack and an interception that was returned for a touchdown. The Colts looked awful in Week 1, and I think this Arizona defense will round back into form and prolong the Indianapolis’ woes.

Cincinnati Bengals (CIN): $3,900 vs. HOU
The Bengals stick out as a strong option on the slate that starts Thursday night, as the total opened at just 38.5 points, with Cincinnati now a five point favorite. It’s always a good idea to target defenses who are favorites in an environment that is pegged with a low total, especially with a rookie quarterback at the helm. Deshaun Watson could very well be a fine signal caller, but rookies can and will be prone to mistakes, which all add up for opposing defenses.

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Adam Sutton is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Adam, follow him @DraftStars_Adam. You can find more of Adam’s work at DraftStars.net.


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