DraftKings NFL Value Plays: Week 1

by Joey Korman | Featured Writer
Sep 7, 2017

DraftKings is offering a FREE $1 billion contest for Week 1 if anybody out there picks the perfect lineup. This is basically Warren Buffet offering $1 billion for anybody that fills out a perfect March Madness bracket, but it’s enough to get my DraftKings addiction going again.

Here are some value plays at each position that probably won’t help you win $1 billion, but they might help you win less than that.

Create Optimal DraftKings lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool >>


Josh McCown (NYJ): $4,600 vs. BUF
Oh, I love me some ‘Downtown’ Josh McCown. A man whose Arizona Cardinals jersey proudly sits in my closet (seriously, it was only $10 on eBay), McCown has made it his life mission to start for every downtrodden NFL franchise except for the Jaguars (but his brother Luke did). Even his stint as the starting QB of the Hartford Colonials of the UFL in 2010 ended in a losing season.

This is a man who once went full Super Bowl John Elway by helicopter diving into the end zone during the first quarter of a Week 1 Jets-Browns only to fumble and get concussed.

And this is also a man who once compared thinking that he landed in Detroit to watching pornography. If not for the ‘Clipboard Jesus’ Charlie Whitehurst, I would consider ‘Downtown’ Josh McCown to be the most inspirational quarterback of our generation.

Besides Brock Osweiler, I’ll take any QB that is under $5k and starting against the putrid Bills defense. A horrible defense in 2016, the Bills will be even worse this season as they lost five starters on defense including top cornerback Ronald Darby who was sent to Philly. Over the last three seasons, Mr. Downtown has gone 2-20 as a starting quarterback for the Buccaneers and Browns which I’ve been told is bad. However, he’s averaging 246 yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game over that timespan which is pretty good value for a guy priced $100 more than Matt Schaub. There’s a good chance he can outperform those numbers against a bottom-barrel Bills pass defense.

Running Back

Bilal Powell (NYJ): $4,900 v. BUF
Yeah, another Jet. Powell was a stud in 2016 once Forte went down and is expected to be the Jets feature back against a Bills defense that allowed two 200+ yard rushing games to Jay Ajayi last season. Based on that, it’s no surprise that they ranked 30th in rush DVOA last season. He’s an effective pass catcher as well so he’s fine to pair with McCown.

Todd Gurley (LAR): $6,000 v. IND
The important thing here is that Gurley was priced before the Rams switched from underdogs to 4.5-point favorites due to Scott Tolzien not being Andrew Luck. While were on the topic of rush DVOA, there were only two teams worse than the Bills last season. The Colts were one of them. Fire up Gurley.

Wide Receiver

Robby Anderson (NYJ): $3,800 v. BUF
If you’ve gone in on McCown and Powell, then you might as well stack all three and hope the Jets score 30. Anderson proved late last year that he is capable of putting up numbers when given the opportunity, and a quarterback who can get him the ball. Anderson had three very productive games with Bryce Petty at quarterback in 2016 before falling off the final two games of the season when Petty got injured and Ryan Fitzpatrick was re-inserted. Anderson is the default No. 1 WR with Quincy Enunwa out for the season against a Bills defense that lost their top two corners from 2016.

Kendall Wright (CHI): $3,200 v. ATL
If you don’t feel like being a Jets stacker, take a look at Kendall Wright. Like with Gurley, timing is the key here as Bears No. 1 WR Cam Meredith had yet to suffer his season-ending knee injury when prices were released. Wright is now projected to see the most targets among Bears pass catchers in a game with an O/U of 49. The PPR format of DraftKings provides a boost as well to a possession receiver such as Wright.

Tight End

Zach Ertz (PHI): $3,500 v. WAS
I was shocked to see Ertz priced this low. Ertz finished as a top-six fantasy tight end last season but is priced as the 10th overall tight end in a good matchup against the Redskins. The trade of Jordan Mathews to the Bills definitely doesn’t hurt his fantasy value moving forward either, and new top wideout Alshon Jeffery will be shadowed by Josh Norman. Take Ertz with confidence.

Defense/Special Teams

Los Angeles Rams (LAR): $3,200 v. IND
The Rams face Scott Tolzien who has thrown two career touchdowns and seven career interceptions. Oh yeah, and they aren’t among the top-five highest priced defenses. Need I say more?

Good luck in Week 1!

Create Optimal DraftKings lineups using our DFS Lineup Optimizer tool >>

Joey Korman is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Joey, check out his archive and follow him @leaveit2divac.

What's your take? Leave a comment

Fantasy Games
DRAFT photo
Get a FREE FantasyPros upgrade with first deposit
FanDuel photo
Play for your share of $1m+
for FREE with first deposit
CBS Sports photo
Serious Fantasy Football
Get our Mobile App!

Enter your phone number below, and we'll text you a link to download the app.

1Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
2Le'Veon Bell (PIT)RB
3Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
4Antonio Brown (PIT)WR
5David Johnson (ARI)RB
6DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
7Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
8Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG)WR
9Kareem Hunt (KC)RB
10Julio Jones (ATL)WR
 View All Rankings 
11Michael Thomas (NO)WR
12Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
13Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
14Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
15A.J. Green (CIN)WR
16Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
17Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
18Davante Adams (GB)WR
19Mike Evans (TB)WR
20LeSean McCoy (BUF)RB
21Devonta Freeman (ATL)RB
22Jordan Howard (CHI)RB
23Rob Gronkowski (NE)TE
24Doug Baldwin (SEA)WR
25Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
26Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
27Adam Thielen (MIN)WR
28Travis Kelce (KC)TE
29Jerick McKinnon (SF)RB
30Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
1Mike Trout (LAA)CF
2Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
3Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
4Trea Turner (WSH)SS
5Mookie Betts (BOS)RF
6Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
7Paul Goldschmidt (ARI)1B
8Bryce Harper (WSH)RF
9Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)RF
10Clayton Kershaw (LAD)SP
 View All Rankings 
11Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
12Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
13Carlos Correa (HOU)SS
14Corey Kluber (CLE)SP
15Chris Sale (BOS)SP
16Joey Votto (CIN)1B
17Manny Machado (BAL)3B
18Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B,3B
19Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B,2B
20J.D. Martinez (BOS)RF
21Aaron Judge (NYY)RF
22Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
23George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
24Josh Donaldson (TOR)3B
25Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,LF
26Stephen Strasburg (WSH)SP
27Noah Syndergaard (NYM)SP
28Gary Sanchez (NYY)C
29Jose Ramirez (CLE)2B,3B
30Brian Dozier (MIN)2B
1Kevin Durant (GSW)SF,PF
2Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
3James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
4Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
5Russell Westbrook (OKC)PG
6Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
7Anthony Davis (NOR)PF,C
8Kawhi Leonard (SAS)SG,SF
9LeBron James (CLE)SF,PF
10Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
 View All Rankings 
11John Wall (WAS)PG
12DeMarcus Cousins (NOR)PF,C
13Chris Paul (HOU)PG
14Damian Lillard (POR)PG
15Jimmy Butler (MIN)SG,SF
16Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
17Kyrie Irving (BOS)PG,SG
18Hassan Whiteside (MIA)C,PF
19Myles Turner (IND)PF,C
20Paul George (OKC)SG,SF
21Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
22Draymond Green (GSW)SF,PF
23Kristaps Porzingis (NYK)PF,C
24Kemba Walker (CHA)PG
25CJ McCollum (POR)PG,SG
26Mike Conley (MEM)PG
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Klay Thompson (GSW)SG,SF
29Marc Gasol (MEM)C
30Gordon Hayward (BOS)SG,SF