FanDuel MLB Lineup Advice: Wednesday (9/13)
There are 13 games to work with tonight, but with losing Lucas Giolito, Mike Clevinger and Chris Archer to the early slate, I have zero interest in throwing darts at a cash game tonight. Sure, Max Scherzer is out there, but do you really want to spend $10,800 on a pitcher with 4 games under 35 points in his previous 8 contests? Especially not when he is going against one of the best young rookie pitchers in baseball. I’ll show you how I intend to attack a GPP contest this evening.
No rain delays expected
For reference throughout the season, be sure to bookmark our overview of MLB Park Factors and how to Use Weather to Your Advantage in MLB DFS. Also, check out our GPP and Cash Games Primers to learn more about different daily fantasy game types specific to MLB.
Luiz Gohara (ATL) : $5,900 @ WAS
Gohara is going to see minimal ownership tonight because he is against Scherzer, but even in a -285 favorite type of situation like we have tonight, the underdog will win 26% of the time. There is a real chance that the flame-throwing lefty goes 6 innings, striking out 10 and notching both the win and quality start for 58 points. At this salary, you’d have yourself firmly in the money with a wise lineup. In the minors this season, he threw 123 innings, striking out 147 and allowing just 106 hits while posting a 2.62 ERA. The Nationals may have the 3rd best lineup in baseball over the full season, but since the all-star break, they are just #16 and also in the top half of teams in strikeouts.
It isn’t as though Tyler Skaggs is a bad pitcher or that he struggles against righties. In fact, he is the favorite at home tonight against the Astros according to Vegas. The reason I picked to stack their lineup, however, is precisely because their implied total (4.15) is low, so their ownership should be low. If they go off, and there is a real possibility considering their terrific splits against lefties (see below), then I will have one of the 100 or so lineups who stacked their top 4 big bats.
Altuve: .364/.422/.534 against LHP in the last 3 seasons
Bregman: .341/.421/.563 this year
Correa: .375/.440/600 this year
Springer: .311/.415/.580 this year
When Altuve and Bregman score, it will be because Correa and Springer drive them in, so it creates a multiplying factor with the stacks.
Mini Cubs Stack
We’ve got a top 3 offensive catcher in baseball for dirt cheap tonight despite him batting in the middle of the order for one of the top implied lineups of the night. Matt Harvey has been struggling all season, so it makes sense to use the best hitter in the Cubs lineup too. Rizzo may have started the season slow over the first two months, but ever since, he has posted a 1.000 OPS and should have plenty of RBI and run scoring opportunities tonight.
If you want to win GPPs, you need to pick a guy or two who knocks multiple homers. Seeing that Hoskins is the fastest player in MLB history to 16 homers, by quite a bit mind you, he is definitely a good bet. Especially because he is going against the NL leader in homers allowed last season, Dan Straily, who has already surrendered 26 this year. Both Hoskins and Straily oddly have reverse splits too, so he may be under-owned as a result.
Grichuk is the big wild card here. We should be looking at under 2% ownership, so if he double-dongs tonight, we would be sitting really pretty. He has 11 homers an2 22 extra-base hits in just 159 at bats since the all-star break for an .864 OPS. Like Hoskins, Grichuk has reverse handedness splits that could work in his favor.
Other Top Options (in order)
- Joey Gallo (1B – TEX): $3,800 vs SEA
- Nelson Cruz (OF – SEA): $3,900 @ TEX
- Ryan Zimmerman (1B – WAS): $3,200 vs ATL
- Byron Buxton (OF – MIN): $3,300 vs SDP
- Mike Zunino (C – SEA): $2,600 @ TEX
- Anthony Rendon (3B – WAS): $3,600 vs ATL
- Eddie Rosario (OF – MIN): $3,600 vs SDP
- Rafael Devers (3B – BOS): $3,300 vs OAK
- Jonathan Schoop (2B – BAL): $3,500 @ TOR
- Danny Valencia (1B – SEA): $2,500 @ TEX
- Jean Segura (SS – SEA): $3,300 @ TEX
- Nomar Mazara (OF – TEX): $3,700 vs SEA
- Jose Martinez (OF – STL): $2,600 vs CIN
- Harrison Bader (OF – STL): $2,200 vs CIN
- Elvis Andrus (SS – TEX): $4,000 vs SEA
- Jorge Polanco (SS – MIN): $3,500 vs SDP
- David Peralta (OF – ARI): $3,300 vs COL
- Kris Bryant (3B – CHC): $3,800 vs NYM
- Max Kepler (OF – MIN): $2,900 vs SDP
- Rougned Odor (2B – TEX): $2,900 vs SEA
- Ian Desmond (OF – COL): $2,900 @ ARI
- Yadier Molina (C – STL): $3,300 vs CIN
- Kolten Wong (2B – STL): $3,400 vs CIN
- Travis d’Arnaud (C – NYM): $2,800 @ CHC