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FanDuel NFL GPP Lineup Advice: Week 2

FanDuel NFL GPP Lineup Advice: Week 2

This week’s FanDuel GPP advice attacks a pair of high over/under totals. There are some chalky plays among those touted, but I’ve also thrown in a swerve play to spin away from others using players from the same contest. I’ll also add that I still love the players I highlighted in the FanDuel NFL Lineup Advice: Week 2 (Thurs/Sun/Mon) piece, namely Ty Montgomery and Julio Jones from the likely shootout in Atlanta, but I have new, fresh faces to consider in this piece, including a different quarterback and stack combo.

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Drew Brees (QB – NO) : $8,700 vs. Patriots
Ted Ginn Jr. (WR – NO) : $6,100 vs. Patriots
Brandon Coleman (WR – NO) : $4,600 vs. Patriots

For the Thursday-Monday slate, I advocated a Matt Ryan/Julio Jones stack. I still like that stack, but I’m all for entering multiple GPP lineups — as an aside, my distribution of games played for football tilts heavily in favor of GPPs — and love Drew Brees and the Saints at home. They looked bad against a talented Vikings defense in Minnesota in the first game of the Week 1 Monday Night Football doubleheader, but Brees’ late touchdown strike to Coby Fleener is a reminder of their ability to pile up garbage-time points once their defense has dug them a hole. Speaking of Fleener, I suspect he’ll be a chalky option at tight end, though, a good one. No. 1 receiver Michael Thomas should get a lot of love, too. Instead of stacking either or both of them with Brees, I have my sights on field-stretcher Ted Ginn Jr. and raw big-target Brandon Coleman.

Brees is an absolute terror for opposing defenses in New Orleans. In 16 home games over the last two years, Brees has averaged an eye-popping 351.25 passing yards per game (Y/G) with 43 touchdown passes and only 12 interceptions. The Patriots yielded 368 passing yards and four touchdown passes to Alex Smith in New England last week. Brees is a slightly more accomplished pigskin slinger than Smith. New England also coughed up seven receptions for 133 yards and a touchdown on eight targets to burner Tyreek Hill. Ginn isn’t the caliber of football player Hill is, but he’s a burner who could pose problems for New England’s secondary. The 32-year-old receiver and return man was on the field for 42 of 62 offensive snaps (68%) and caught four of his five targets for 53 yards while chipping in five yards on one carry. His numbers don’t jump off the page, but they weren’t bad, and his playing time was favorable.

Coleman’s line in the season opener was even less impressive with two receptions for 13 yards on three targets, but there are some positives to take away from the contest that make him an enticing GPP swerve. Coleman trailed only Thomas in offensive snaps played among wide outs playing for 48 of 62 offensive snaps (77%). Also, the only target of his that wasn’t hauled in came in the end zone, indicating that Brees is willing to look to his young wide out in the red zone. The ball was a seed at the knees, and Jon Gruden stated he believed Coleman should have caught the ball, and I’m inclined to agree. It wasn’t an easy play to make, but it was catchable. Regardless, at 6-foot-6 and 225 pounds, according to his Pro-Football Reference player page, the 25-year-old receiver is an easy guy for Brees to spot and target in the red zone. The game’s over/under total of 55.5 points, per Pinnacle, is the highest total by two points this week, and with the Saints serving as 7-point underdogs, game flow should lean toward a pass-heavy attack to play catch up. Brees will have a high ownership in GPPs, Ginn will attract some attention, too, but Coleman should have a low-ownership rate that has the potential to set you apart from the pack if he finds pay dirt a couple times in this high-scoring contest.

Rob Gronkowski (TE – NE) : $8,100 @ Saints

Gronk wasn’t his typical dominant self in the season opener with only two receptions on six targets for 33 yards, but he’s healthy and played better than any other tight end in the history of the game in his peak seasons. Gronk’s still only 28 years old, and while he’s missed significant time in his career due to injuries including missing eight regular season games and the entire postseason last year, he’s still a special player with an unmatched ceiling at the position. That ceiling is heightened facing the Saints. Last season, the Saints were tied for the sixth most FanDuel points allowed per game to tight ends, and they started this year off by allowing a touchdown grab to Kyle Rudolph. New Orleans doesn’t have an Eric Berry-caliber safety in their secondary to slow Gronk down, and after playing on 78 of 81 offensive plays in the opener, Gronk should be in store for another busy afternoon on the field. He won’t go low owned, but take advantage of some of the savings created by using Coleman in one of the receiver spots and spend up to Gronk. As 7-point favorites in a game with an over/under total of 55.5 points, the Patriots have an implied team total of 31.25 points. That’s the highest implied team total, and you definitely want a piece of it. Gronk’s an elite piece of it.

Kareem Hunt (RB – KC): $7,800 vs. Eagles

Gronk didn’t ball out in New England last week, but Hunt did. He erupted for 148 yards rushing and a touchdown on the ground on 17 carries, and he embarrassed the Patriots as a pass catcher as well with five receptions for 98 yards and a pair of scores. Backup running back Charcandrick West touched the ball just two times. It’s safe to say Hunt is the do-it-all workhorse for the Chiefs. Hunt was a productive back in his four years at Toledo, and he saved his best collegiate work for his last season rushing for 1,475 yards and 10 scores while blowing out his previous receiving highs with 41 receptions for 403 yards and a touchdown. Andy Reid has a great track record for getting a ton out of his backs as runners and receivers as evidenced by Duce Staley, Brian Westbrook, LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles, and even Spencer Ware last season. I suspect this will be the last week we see Hunt’s salary below $8,000 this year. Hunt will be one of the chalkiest players used this week, but his ability to pile up touches and points is far too great to pass up at such a modest salary commitment. The Chiefs are 5.5-point favorites at home this week, and the spread lends itself well to Hunt chewing up clock amassing points on the ground late.

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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