FanDuel Market Watch: Week 11
Let’s take a look at notable salary changes as we head into Week 11 of the NFL season.
Kirk Cousins (WAS): $8,200 @ NO (+$700)
Cousins is coming off of his second-best fantasy outing of the season, as he completed 26 passes on 45 attempts for 327 yards and a touchdown. He also added two rushing touchdowns, which ultimately gave him the big fantasy outing. He was held to one or less passing touchdowns for the fifth time this season, as he’s been inconsistent with a new receiving corps. He likely won’t find things any easier on the road in Week 11, as the Redskins travel to New Orleans to face the Saints. Over the last four weeks, the Saints have allowed an average of just 130 passing yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game, which is obviously less than desirable if you’re targeting Cousins. Last week proved that Cousins does have upside in tough matchups, but with 12 of his fantasy points coming from rushing touchdowns, I think context is important when evaluating his output. With these factors in mind, I’ll pass after a hefty price increase in Week 11.
Drew Brees (NO): $8,100 vs. WAS (-$400)
Sticking in New Orleans, I think Brees is an intriguing tournament play in Week 11 against the Redskins. Washington just surrendered 304 passing yards and four touchdowns to Case Keenum in Week 10, and despite Brees being on the back end of his career, you have to like his chances at a big game. The emergence of a strong rushing attack has relegated Brees to being nothing more than a game manager most weeks. While that threat still lingers in Week 11, it’s Brees’ price that I’m drawn to in tournament play this week.
Rex Burkhead (NE): $5,700 @ OAK (+$1,000)
Burkhead was on the field for 36 of 70 offensive snaps in Week 10, as he rushed 10 times for 36 yards while hauling in all three of his targets for 27 yards and a score. I don’t think you can rely on Burkhead to receive any kind of steady workload, as this backfield is crowded with the likes of Dion Lewis and James White (Mike Gillislee was a healthy scratch). This is a decent matchup at Oakland, but I don’t think Burkhead is worth targeting after a hefty increase in his salary.
Todd Gurley (LAR): $8,700 @ MIN (-$900)
A tough matchup looms in Week 11 for Gurley, who saw his price drop the most among all running backs. He had just 17 total touches in Week 10, but that could have been the byproduct of a massive outing from Robert Woods and the passing game. I think the Rams will need to lean on Gurley this week quite a bit, as they draw the Vikings, a difficult defense. I wouldn’t go near him in cash games, but this big of a price drop in Gurley’s salary creates plenty of intrigue in tournaments.
Sterling Shepard (NYG): $6,500 vs. KC (+$800)
Shepard has received 23 targets over the last two weeks, which includes last week’s 11-catch,142-yard performance against the 49ers. Shepard should continue to dominate the looks for the embattled Giants, and it’s hard to not like his chances at another solid outing this week at home against the Chiefs. Kansas City has allowed an average of 288 passing yards and two touchdowns over their last three games, and they’ve been beatable for most of the season. Look for Eli Manning and the Giants to try and exploit this with the likes of Shepard in Week 11.
Kelvin Benjamin (BUF): $6,100 @ LAC (-$600)
While the price tag might be tempting, I’m going to pass on Benjamin in Week 11 in a tough matchup against Casey Hayward and the Chargers. Despite being on the field for 41 of 48 offensive snaps for his new team, Benjamin hauled in just three of six targets for 42 yards in Week 10. This is likely the type of volume we can expect within this offense, and it makes the decision to fade Benjamin relatively easy, especially in a tough matchup.
Jimmy Graham (SEA): $6,900 vs. ATL (+$500)
Graham saw the biggest increase in price among all tight ends heading into Week 11, as he scored two more touchdowns against the Cardinals in Week 10. He had just 27 receiving yards, so it’s important to keep that in mind, as touchdowns are the toughest to predict. That being said, he’s dominating the red zone looks for the Seahawks, so he could very well keep this rolling for the time being. Despite a tough matchup against the Falcons, I don’t mind taking a shot on Graham in tournaments this week.
Cameron Brate (TB): $5,500 @ MIA (-$200)
Brate’s price dropped another $200 after dropping $400 heading into Week 10, as he hauled in just one catch yet again last week. After starting the season relatively strong, Brate has cooled off over the last four games, as he’s caught 12 total passes for 143 yards and no touchdowns. Week 11 presents a plus matchup for Brate, as the Dolphins rank 28th in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends on the season. While this offense doesn’t have the same upside with Ryan Fitzpatrick at the helm, I think Brate stands to bounce back in Week 11.