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Fantasy Football: Buy/Sell (Week 10)

Fantasy Football: Buy/Sell (Week 10)

Whether you’re buying or selling, here’s a list of players to consider making a move on before it’s too late.

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Players to Buy

LeSean McCoy (RB – BUF)
It’s the good ol’ primetime overreaction. McCoy failed to produce on primetime when everyone was watching, so his asking price will naturally be suppressed. There’s no sugarcoating it, he had a bad game, but how many running backs can you lock in for 18 touches per game? The answer? Not many. The Bills offensive line is also getting healthy at the right time, so don’t draw many conclusions from a bad game against a Jets defense that has played extremely well against the run. On top of everything, McCoy is gamescript-proof, as he’s seen at least six targets in 6-of-8 games this year.

Michael Thomas (WR – NO)
He’ll continue to be in the buy column, as he’s yet to have a true breakout game in 2017. The crazy part about is that he’s still top-10 in receptions and yards, which gives a great indication of what should follow… touchdowns. Drew Brees has fallen short of his usual totals this year, but we’ve seen him do this for so long, we know what to expect by now. He’s thrown at least 32 touchdowns in each of the last nine seasons, so when you see him have just 13 touchdowns through eight games, you should know that positive regression is coming. Thomas will be on the receiving end of a lot of those touchdowns.

Devonta Freeman (RB – ATL)
It’s not really a secret, but Freeman plays much better at home than he does on the road. Whatever the case, he just does. Over the last two years, he’s scored 14 touchdowns in 11 home games, while scoring just four touchdowns in 13 road games. Looking at the remainder of his schedule, he plays 4-of-7 games at home, and then his road opponents include the Seahawks, Buccaneers, and Saints. Considering his lackluster performances on the road over the last few weeks, Freeman is one of the better buys in fantasy football.

Keenan Allen (WR – LAC)
The Chargers schedule to start the year was among the worst in all of football, which is why we were recommending that you not draft Philip Rivers. They have a few tough matchups remaining, but they’re matchups that don’t really apply to Allen because he plays the slot. The Jaguars have the best perimeter duo in the game at cornerback, but can be beaten over the middle. Coming off a lackluster performance against the Patriots, Allen owners may be getting impatient. Knowing that there are just a handful of wide receivers with more targets than him is a great sign as the schedule starts to lighten up.

Stefon Diggs (WR – MIN)
The bye week came at the perfect time for Diggs, who has been recovering from his groin injury. It was a positive sign that they played him in Week 8 knowing they had a bye in Week 9, which says he was likely close to 100 percent. He’s been extremely predictable when on the injury report over the last two years – play him when he’s not on it, sit him when he is. Let’s hope that Diggs is a full participant in practice this week and removed from the injury report. If not, hold off on trading for him until that happens.

Drew Brees (QB – NO)
I continue to tell fantasy owners to buy Brees, who is likely to come at a discount after recent performances. He’s throwing the ball as well as he ever has, though the running backs have been stealing some of the thunder. There are just five quarterbacks you can play every week, regardless of the matchup, and Brees is one of them. His playoff schedule features the Falcons twice and the Jets.

Sterling Shepard (WR – NYG)
I’ve been talking about it since Odell Beckham and Brandon Marshall went down for the season – when Shepard returned to the lineup, he was going to see eight-plus targets per game out of necessity. When you see that type of volume, you’ll produce as a WR3 by default unless you’re not talented enough to haul in those targets. Talent isn’t an issue with Shepard, and he already gave a glimpse of what he can do when given that volume, producing five catches for 70 yards against a Rams secondary that had allowed just three wide receivers to finish as top-36 options through eight weeks.

Corey Davis (WR – TEN)
There were a lot of people asking me whether or not Davis was worth a roster spot last week, so I can only imagine what they’ll be asking after his two-catch, 28-yard performance against the Ravens. That was a tough matchup, as the Ravens had allowed just five wide receivers to top 54 yards coming into that game. There’ll be better days ahead, as he’s got one of the best remaining schedules among wide receivers. Davis is going to be a top-30 wide receiver for the rest of the season, though you don’t need to pay that price in a trade.

Players to Sell

Melvin Gordon (RB – LAC)
It’s not to say you just give Gordon away in a trade, but opening your mind to the possibility would be a good idea. Whenever you hear about a foot injury for a running back, it should send an alert through your body saying, “buyer beware.” Yes, Gordon had the turf toe before the bye week when he totaled 132 yards and a touchdown against the Patriots, but you also need to know that 87 of those yards came on one play, a play in which he was untouched until the end of it when he was caught by Malcolm Butler, who started 10 yards behind him on that run. Outside of that one run, Gordon has averaged a pedestrian 3.38 yards per carry. Again, he’s definitely not someone to give away, but if you can swap him for someone like LeSean McCoy, I just might do that.

DeAndre Hopkins (WR – HOU)
There will be some who think Hopkins isn’t that affected by the loss of Deshaun Watson because of his 86 yards and a touchdown against the Colts, but you shouldn’t be one of them. Not only did he see 16 targets, but he was going against a defense that was without their starting free safety and top cornerback for that game. Had he not made a few highlight-reel grabs, it would have been a disaster. He’s not the automatic WR1 he was with Watson under center.

Lamar Miller (RB – HOU)
There were some bigger plays toward the end of the game in garbage time against the Colts where Miller turned his day into a usable fantasy performance, but know that he isn’t going to play against the Colts every week. Once Deshaun Watson went down, this offense was destined to score much fewer points and when you add in the fact that the Texans traded away starting left tackle Duane Brown, Miller is just a mediocre fantasy option. Think of him as a younger, improved Frank Gore on the stat sheet. He’s still yet to top 75 yards rushing and has scored in just 2-of-8 games this season. He’s a high-floor, low-upside RB2 going forward.

DeMarco Murray (RB – TEN)
You’re selling for pennies on the dollar, but at this point, Murray might be done. The hope was that the bye week would help his hamstring, yet he came out of the game with another injury to his ankle. He finished that game with just 19 yards on nine carries and has now failed to top 3.3 yards per carry in each of his last three games. At 29 years old, it’s likely the Titans move to the player they drafted to replace him, Derrick Henry. Outside of his one 75-yard touchdown against the Seahawks back in Week 3, Murray has averaged just 3.36 yards per carry behind one of the better offensive lines in football. He’s just a dicey RB2 at this point.

T.Y. Hilton (WR – IND)
While I loved Hilton in Week 9 and told a lot of people to play him, I’m telling those same people to sell him while the stock is up. The Texans have been decimated by injuries, which has hindered their ability to get after the quarterback, therefore allowing Hilton to run wild on their secondary. Going forward, though, Hilton will play against the Steelers (No. 3 against fantasy WRs), then have his bye, return to play the Titans (solid matchup), but then right back to the Jaguars (No. 1), Bills (No. 9), Broncos (No. 4), and Ravens (No. 2). That’s a brutal schedule, especially during the fantasy playoffs.

Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL)
This one is quite obvious. If you can get someone in a trade who’ll contribute each and every week for the remainder of the season, do it. There is a lot of uncertainty, yes, and it’s possible that he skirts the suspension altogether, but you don’t want your fantasy season hinging on it. If he were to be suspended for the next six games, you wouldn’t have him until Week 16, if you make it that far without him. Unless you have a crystal ball that tells you he isn’t getting suspended, sell him to someone who believes he will continue to play.

Kelvin Benjamin (WR – BUF)
He was inactive for the first game with the Bills, so the hype has yet to die down. Understand that the Bills throw the ball less than any other team not named the Bears or Jaguars. Because of that, Benjamin’s targets will be limited. Knowing that he’s not a wide receiver who gets much separation and often relies on jump balls, targets may be even harder to come by from the risk-adverse Tyrod Taylor, who is the exact opposite of Cam Newton. Over the last three years, Taylor has thrown just 14 interceptions while Newton has thrown 35 of them in that span (he’s already thrown 11 this year alone). Benjamin may actually be more efficient with his targets, but he won’t be very consistent.


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Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeTagliereNFL.

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