Week 13 is a special week. For some of you, it’s a week that shows how great your team has been all season as you cruise into a playoff bye. For others, it’s a week where you control the destiny of your own playoff hopes and possibly those of your leaguemates as well. No matter the case, finishing the fantasy regular season on a strong note should be something you want and setting the right lineup is key.

To help, we asked our featured experts below to look at the consensus rankings and tell us who they believe could outperform their rank and on the flip side, who could end up ruining your week despite their higher ranking.

If you don’t see any of your players listed below, be sure to check out our Who Should I Start? tool. You can also import your team into My Playbook for instant advice specific to your team.

Q1. Give us a player outside of our top 100 Flex that represents a deep sleeper start and tell us why you think he has upside this week.

Dede Westbrook (WR – JAC): vs. IND
“I have no problem getting on the Dede Westbrook bandwagon. I know it has been popular to counter all the Twitter love, but last week showed us that he is a large part of the Jags’ offense. He’s got 16 targets and 173 air yards in his first two weeks back from injury. Now that he is more acclimated with the offense, his snap count lept forward too, so we can expect his share of the offensive focus to continue in what looks to be a stellar matchup against the Colts this week.”
– Bobby Sylvester (FantasyPros)

“My pick is Dede Westbrook, currently ranked as the #110 flex player for Week 13. With Allen Hurns set to miss another week, Westbrook represents a deeper play that led the Jags in targets (10) last week. Patrick Peterson covered Marquise Lee in Week 12, most likely contributing to the increase in targets for Westbrook. However, Westbrook earned six targets in Week 11 and his snap count increased in Week 12. Between the targets and the snap count, clearly the Jags are looking to get him more involved. The Jags draw the Indianapolis Colts this week, who rank #28 in pass defense DVOA according to Football Outsiders. Westbrook’s play making ability and speed give him plenty of upside, even if his targets bump down a bit. He could be a sleeper for fantasy owners in Week 13.”
– Jennifer Smith (The Fantasy Authority)

“Dede Westbrook has played just 2 games for the Jaguars but has seen 3 more targets than his nearest teammate. He jumped from 44% playing time to 70% last week at Arizona. The Colts have actually done well at limiting opponent passing the past 4 weeks but appear likely to miss top CB Rashaan Melvin this weekend because of a hand injury. This could be a true breakthrough spot for the rookie wideout.”
– Matt Schauf (Draft Sharks)

Nelson Agholor (WR – PHI): at SEA
“Agholor has fallen out of favor after a quiet November, but I think he still has flex appeal. Granted, he doesn’t get a lot of targets (4.8 per game), but Agholor wrings quite a bit of juice out of those looks, averaging better than 1.6 fantasy points per target (standard scoring). He’s tied to a top QB, Carson Wentz, and Agholor’s matchup against the Seahawks and their injury-ravaged secondary isn’t one to dread.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (The Football Girl)

Marquise Goodwin (WR – SF): at CHI
“Goodwin has quietly totaled 68 or more yards in four of his last six games and is now getting a quarterback upgrade this week when Jimmy Garoppolo starts for the 49ers. The weather in Chicago hasn’t turned into pure winter yet, so the weather should be solid. The more you learn an offense, especially one as complex as Kyle Shanahan’s, it’ll start to show up on the stat sheet. Garoppolo is not going to check down to Carlos Hyde 13 times like C.J. Beathard did last week. This should mean more targets to a player who needs just one big play to hit value. The Bears’ secondary has plenty of weaknesses on the perimeter and just lost one of their best pass rushers for the year.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Q2. On the flip side, what player inside the top 40 Flex is likely to disappoint fantasy owners this week?

Lamar Miller (RB – HOU): at TEN
“We know who Lamar Miller is by now, and it’s not a running back who strings together a bunch of RB1 performances. He managed to sneak into the end zone against the Ravens last week, but I’m not betting on lightning striking the same place twice in a row. The Titans allowed just six rushing touchdowns in each of 2015 and 2016, and have now allowed just four touchdowns through 11 weeks of 2017. They’re a solid unit, making me believe Miller will disappoint fantasy owners in Week 13.”
– Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros)

Tevin Coleman (RB – ATL): vs. MIN
“Only twice all year has Tevin Coleman carried more times than Devonta Freeman in a game both started — both in contests Freeman left early with injuries. Even as Freeman’s attempts have dipped since the Week 5 bye, Coleman has yet to reach double-digit carries in a game Freeman finished. He also hasn’t caught more than 1 pass in a game since Week 4 and drew 12 of his 18 season red-zone rushes over the past 3 weeks — with Freeman out. Now that Freeman’s set to return, Coleman doesn’t belong in starting RB territory. He’ll likely need to break a big play to pay off.”
– Matt Schauf (Draft Sharks)

Rex Burkhead (RB – NE): at BUF
“Burkhead’s role continued to improve last week, plus he posted two touchdowns against the miserable Dolphins. Don’t let that distract you, however, from the fact that he has only gone for over 50 yards once all season. Granted, he has a terrific matchup against the struggling Bills this week, but I’ll contend that fantasy owners will still be dependent on a touchdown from Burkhead if they don’t want to end up disappointed once again.”
– Bobby Sylvester (FantasyPros)

Alex Collins (RB – BAL): vs. DET
“Collins is getting a lot of love in the expert rankings after punching in a touchdown in the last game we saw, Baltimore’s Monday-night win over Houston. But after averaging 5.98 yards per carry over his first seven games, he’s averaged 3.10 yards per carry over his last three. Collins is a nonfactor in the passing game, and Danny Woodhead could start getting more snaps now that he’s proven himself fit — particularly in games where the Ravens fall behind. Collins’ home matchup against the Lions is favorable, but it seems unlikely that he’ll produce numbers worthy of the No. 26 spot in the flex rankings.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (The Football Girl)

Joe Mixon (RB – CIN): vs. PIT
“Mixon will disappoint fantasy owners this week, especially if they expect a replay of his performance (or the Steelers defensive performance) from last week. Prior to Week 12, Mixon rushed for fewer than 50 yards the last five games and scored just four touchdowns so far this season. In addition, he topped 50 yards receiving just twice (including Week 12) and caught zero touchdown passes through the air. That amounts to more than 10 standard fantasy points just three times in 2017. Pittsburgh’s rush defense ranks #7 in DVOA and prior to last week’s mess of broken coverage, they hadn’t given up a rushing TD since Week 5. They also hadn’t given up a receiving touchdown to a running back all season until Jamaal Williams. Recency effect on both sides of this contest might lead owners to expect a big game from Mixon. However, expecting a #23 flex fantasy finish is unrealistic. I see the bout ending similar to when they faced each other in Week 7 in which Mixon walked away with below ten fantasy points, in both standard and PPR.”
– Jennifer Smith (The Fantasy Authority)

Thank you to the experts for naming their sleeper starts and sits. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter if you’re not already doing so and check out our latest podcast below for more great advice.

Subscribe: iTunes | Google Play | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | TuneIn | RSS