Early in the 2018 PGA season, we have seen wins from the expected Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas, and Jon Rahm. However, we have also seen wins from Patton Kizzire in Hawaii and Ted Potter Jr. at Pebble Beach. Who knows, maybe there will be a surprise winner in Mexico City this week as well.
Dustin Johnson took home the hardware last year at the Mexico Championship. Club de Golf Chapultepec is quite the narrow track but has the ability to be an absolute birdie fest. Although the course is listed at 7,345 yards, the crazy altitude will shorten the course substantially. Keeping it on the fairway and controlling the greens will be the keys to success this week. The putting surfaces this week are Poa Annua, a strain of grass that a lot of these value plays have had success on.
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Rafa Cabrera-Bello: $7,700
Bello has had an up and down 2018. A sixth-place finish at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic in January is his best finish thus far. Other than that, the Spaniard has not done too much. He finished T29 last week at The Honda Classic and finished T26 at The Genesis Open the week before. However, Bello could make a splash in Mexico City.
Bello is fourth in good drive percentage and top 15 in greens in regulation on the PGA Tour this year. Now, Bello is not the greatest putter out there but this year he has been absolutely lights out with his approach shots. The 33-year old is second on Tour in strokes gained: approach-to-green. So, as long as keeps his wedge and short iron shots precise, he will not need to putt much.
Joost Luiten: $7,300
The Mexico Championship matches up well with the Dutch golfer. Luiten is playing arguably the best golf of his career, coming off a win at the NBO Oman Open and a T11 finish at the Maybank Championship on the European Tour earlier in February.
Although Luiten does not hit it extremely far he is a great putter, especially on Poa Annua greens. In fact, Liuten is rated one of the best putters in the world on this strain of grass. The European Tour vet placed 25th at this event last year, due to his phenomenal ability to keep the ball in the middle of the fairway.
Paul Dunne: $7,200
Everyone might remember Paul Dunne’s name after he held the lead at the 2015 British Open as an amateur for a few rounds. After turning pro, he has not made an enormous amount of noise, but he has certainly been around. Now, his last few starts have not been very impressive, but he has the potential to surprise some people in Mexico City.
Dunne won the British Masters in October of last year, and for a small guy, he can blast the ball off the tee. The 25-year-old is a risky play, but at such a great price there is no harm in throwing him in a few of your lineups. The young Irishman can have a hot putter at times, and what better place to have a hot putter then in the scorching heat of Mexico.
Chris Paisley: $7,100
Lastly, we have red-hot Chris Paisley who has been a machine in 2018. Paisley captured his first European Tour win in the 2018 season-opener, along with two top-five finishes later on in January. Paisley has taken some time off to really prepare for this event as he has not played since early February.
The 31-year-old from England has never played in the WGC Mexico Championship. However, with a nice rest, and a lot of good golf in his recent past, Paisley is a great sleeper pick this week.
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Ryan Sura is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Ryan, check out his archive and follow him @RyanSura18.
