FanDuel NBA Value Plays: Wednesday (2/28)

Feb 28, 2018

Mills may be risky, but he offers substantial upside tonight

There are 9 games on the FanDuel main slate tonight.  The Golden State-Washington game and the Houston-L.A. Clippers game both have huge 227 totals but the Warriors and Rockets are expected to win easily. The San Antonio-New Orleans game has a projected total of 220 and is expected to be a little closer game than the first two mentioned. Eight players are priced above $9,000 with four of them above $11,000. The red-hot Anthony Davis is the highest priced at $12,500. If you want to play these studs, you’ll have to find some value plays to give yourself some salary relief. Here are 9 that are worth considering as you set your lineup for tonight’s slate of games. Remember to check the news and injury reports, especially in the 30 minutes prior to lock. Use all the information available to you to make the best decision possible for your lineup. Good luck and have fun!

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Point Guard

Patty Mills (SAS): $4,700 vs. NOP

Mills is a good shooter and the Pelicans are not great at defending perimeter jump shooters. This game is expected to be high scoring. Mills has started the last two games and earned 22.9 and 35.3 FD points. I have some concerns that Danny Green‘s return will cut into Mills’ minutes.

Terry Rozier (BOS): $4,000 vs. CHA

He has scored 30+ FD points in five of his last 12 games (including 40+ in two of those). The upside is there. In the last five games, he is averaging 27.5 FD points. His minutes have been cut lately but he is still an intriguing GPP play, especially at this price. Probably not a cash play. He had 32.8 FD points in the last matchup against Charlotte back in late-December.

Shooting Guard

Wesley Matthews (DAL): $4,700 vs. OKC

He is a good cash game play. Very consistent averaging 23.8 FD points for the entire year. He has only been under 19 FD points once in his last 24 games. He also has some upside as he has gone for 30+ FD points in five of his last 15 games.

Tyrone Wallace (LAC): $4,500 vs. HOU

He has averaged 27.8 FD points in the last three games. He is getting 30+ minutes for the Clippers right now with Avery Bradley out. This is a pace-up situation in a game with a 227 projected total. He had 28.4 FD points in 33 minutes against the Rockets in mid-January.

Small Forward

Mario Hezonja (ORL): $4,800 vs. TOR

His minutes have been reduced lately but he still is playing enough to have a ceiling game. He is a good cash play, as well as a good GPP play as he’ll be under-owned and can put up big numbers. He has had three 39+ games in the last nine that he has played. He is averaging 29.8 FD points in his last 13 games so he is a good bet to reach value and carries a decent ceiling.

Lance Stephenson (IND): $4,700 at ATL

He has earned more than 30 FD points in five of his last 13 games. He is not a safe pick but could explode in this game as he had 39.8 FD points just last week against these same underperforming Hawks. The Pacers are 5-point favorites, which could lead to additional time for Stephenson. I like Hezonja much better but both of these guys might be a viable option if you are looking to pay down at an entire position.

Power Forward

Pascal Siakam (TOR): $4,500 at ORL

He has averaged 23.3 FD points in his last nine games but in the last three, he has gone for 28.2 per game. Toronto is a big favorite tonight, so he should get some extra run. He is talented, brings a lot of energy, and the coaching staff like him. Aaron Gordon is also not expected to play for Orlando which is an added bonus.

Tarik Black (HOU): $3,600 at LAC

He has only played 14+ minutes four times since the 2018 calendar year started, but Black has averaged 21.5 FD points in those games. He earned 20.8 FD points Monday night against the stingy Utah Jazz in 18 minutes. He is not a safe pick, obviously, but if Capela is out then he becomes a good value pick that could 8x his price.

Center

Boban Marjanovic (LAC): $3,800 vs. HOU

The Center position is not particularly strong tonight (though I do like Andre Drummond quite a bit). I normally pay up. There are a number of okay plays (especially in cash) but if you are looking to spice up your night and sweat a little, you can roll the dice with Marjanovic. Since the new year started, Boban has logged double-digit minutes only six times but has averaged 24.0 FD points in those games (14 mpg). I don’t pretend to know why he didn’t play more for Detroit and now with the Clippers. When he plays he produces in a big way.

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Jamy Bechler is an NBA fantasy contributor for FantasyPros. His DFS twitter is @WinningDFS101 and his website is www.FantasyFocusFootball.comEven though he offers his advice on players and contests, after additional information and consideration, he may end up using different players and strategies than what he recommends.

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