FanDuel NBA Value Plays: Monday (2/12)

by Chris Berg
Feb 12, 2018

Rivers is the lucky point guard who plays the Nets tonight

It’s the start of a new week and time to get back on the Monday grind. We have a smaller slate of six games to work with tonight and not many superstars to choose from. With that being said there is some value to be had that will allow you to spend up for guys like Kevin Durant, Steph Curry or Anthony Davis. A couple injuries of note LaMarcus Aldridge has already been ruled out, opening up some value there and Nikola Vucevic will continue to be held out opening up value at the center position (if you decide to fade Davis). There’s good value to be had at the guard positions so that may be something to target to spend up for Durant and Davis. As always players below are listed at $5,500 or less, good luck!

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Point Guard

Austin Rivers (LAC): $5,100 at BKN

Austin Rivers has recently returned from a long layoff and has been thrown right back into the fire. In his two games since his return, he’s logged 33 and 31 minutes respectively. That kind of opportunity in a nice matchup with the point guard friendly Brooklyn Nets who rank 30th against the position. Even with Milos Teodosic returning to the rotation there should be enough to go around for the Clippers with an over/under set at a whopping 223. Also of note, in 34 games played this season Rivers is seeing the third highest usage rate on the team now that Blake Griffin has been traded. With plenty of opportunity and a good matchup on the docket Rivers should be able to manage 5x value.

Emmanuel Mudiay (NYK): $3,700 at PHI

After putting together a solid outing in his first game in a Knicks uniform (14 points, 10 assists in 29 minutes) Emmanuel Mudiay could be a steal in tonight’s slate. While it was just one game it’s important to note how much playing time Mudiay saw in his first game. With the Knicks ready to hit lottery mode with the season-ending injury to Kristaps Porzingis, coach Hornacek could very well hand the point guard duties to Mudiay. Even if he doesn’t draw the start he should see plenty of opportunity tonight in a game sporting a 210 over/under. Given his bargain basement cost just above the minimum, he’d need only 19 points to hit 5x value. With the point guard position sporting just one superstar in Steph Curry tonight, Mudiay could provide good salary relief for the position.

Shooting Guard

JJ Redick (PHI): $5,400 vs NYK

JJ Redick has now been back for six games in return from his injury. In those six games, he’s scored in double-figures five times, played at least 25 minutes five times and is averaging 23.6 FD points per outing. He’s also put together a streak of three straight games hitting over 25 FD points in each. With the Knicks porous defense (22nd against the position) Redick should find enough opportunity to score to reach at least 5x value. He’s scored at least 15 points in each of his past three and has averaged three assists per game during that stretch. Look for him to continue his solid play tonight against a bad defense.

D’Angelo Russell (BKN): $5,400 vs LAC

While he doesn’t draw the easiest matchup tonight against a Clippers team that ranks fifth against shooting guards, D’Angelo Russell still sports the highest usage rate (only player above 30 percent on the Nets according to NBA.com). He’s been a bit inconsistent since returning to the rotation, but he logged 31 minutes against the Pelicans which are his most since returning from injury. Russell finds his name here because he offers high upside in a game where both teams are projected to exceed 100 points. In his past six games, he’s scored in double-figures three times (two times scoring over 20 points).As a player who can fill it up and will definitely take his fair share of shots, he could easily find his way to 5x value tonight.

Small Forward

Reggie Bullock (DET): $4,800 vs NOR

Reggie Bullock is a volume type player who requires a lot of time on the court to produce ranking near the bottom of the team for usage rate. It’s a good thing he’s logged at least 30 minutes in six straight games, which is why he finds himself in this list. He’s also been playing well as of late averaging 25 FD points per game over the past four games. He’s grabbed at least five rebounds and scored in double-figures in three of the past four games. Tonight he draws a matchup with the Pelicans who rank ninth against the small forward position. With the defensive focus shifting over to stop Blake Griffin, Bullock could find himself with more opportunity to score (20 points and 19 points in the past two games). This matchup yields an over/under of 221.5, which means there will be plenty of points available. With so much time on the court and Griffin taking the focus of the defense, Bullock could find himself in good position to succeed tonight.

Allen Crabbe (BKN): $5,000 vs LAC

While his inconsistency has been hard to ignore, Allen Crabbe has just pieced together two consecutive outings of at least 37 FD points. He’s been filling up the scoring sheet finishing with 28 points and 34 points in his prior two games. He appears on this list because of his hot streak, and with Richard Hollis-Jefferson still out some opportunity is there to be had. Los Angeles ranks just 21st against small forwards and this game will offer plenty of offense to go around. Even with Crabbe sharing time with DeMarre Carroll, he has seen at least 30 minutes of playing time in three of the past four games (logging 28 minutes in the fourth game). He doesn’t offer much outside of scoring so he will need his hot shooting to continue to get his desired 5x value.

Power Forward

Davis Bertans (SAS): $3,900 at UTA

With LaMarcus Aldridge being held out of the game tonight Davis Bertans stands to see extended run. While Utah does rank number one in defense against power forwards, Bertans is a stretch four that could give the big men of the Jazz some problems. With a lack of value at the power forward position tonight Bertans appears here as he should see at least 25 minutes of action and would need just 19.5 FD points to hit 5x value tonight. In the past two games He’s achieved that value and with more opportunity should do so tonight as well.

Jae Crowder (UTA): $3,700 vs SAS

On the flip side of the Spurs/Jazz matchup is Jae Crowder. In his first game donning a Jazz jersey, he impressed with a stat line of 15 points, five rebounds and three assists resulting in 25 FD points. It is just one game, but Crowder still managed to find 28 minutes of action last night in the route of the Trail Blazers. He is in a somewhat crowded frontcourt with guys like Joe Ingles, Derrick Favors and Royce O’Neal, but his versatility will allow him to find court time in either forward position. He’s proven that when he sees the court he can produce in all aspects. Crowder shows up on this list as a speculative play given the power forward position lacks in value tonight, but at a price tag of $3,700, it may be a risk worth taking.

Center

Kyle O’Quinn (NYK): $4,500 at PHI

There were a couple of options at the center position, but Kyle O’Quinn was chosen purely for his matchup tonight. He draws the 76ers who rank 30th against the position. Mix that with the absence of Kristaps Porzingis and O’Quinn should find himself in a good spot to achieve 5x value. He is a solid rebounder, but typically won’t wow you with his scoring. He has put together a nice stretch of four games, however, averaging 25 FD points per game over his past four. With so many minutes being opened up by the absence of Porzingis, he should have an easy time seeing at least 20 minutes of action. In each of the past three games, he’s logged at least 20 minutes of playing time O’Quinn has averaged 30 FD points. That’s the kind of upside that can be realized tonight in a good matchup.

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Chris Berg is a correspondent at FantasyPros. You can follow him on Twitter @bergey13.

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