FanDuel NBA Value Plays: Wednesday (3/14)
There are only 4 games on the FanDuel main slate tonight. It doesn’t look to be a slate filled with fantasy goodness and there are a lot of question marks. Only two players are priced at $9,000 or above with Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the way at $12,000k and Kevin Durant at $10,500. With only two studs on the slate, it might seem that we don’t need to find as much value as normal. However, if you don’t play the Greek Freak and/or Durant, you might find yourself way behind to start with in terms of raw points.
We usually look at our value plays as players at $5,000 and below. That is going to be difficult to find many of those tonight. Roster construction will be interesting as you’ll need to decide what you’ll do with the two studs. If you choose a balanced approach, you will be able to fit nearly all of the other top-priced players in your lineup with the exception of 1-2 value plays.
Here are 9 plays that are worth considering as you set your lineup for tonight’s slate of games. Remember to check the news and injury reports, especially in the 30 minutes prior to lock. Use all the information available to you to make the best decision possible for your lineup. Good luck and have fun!
Tomas Satoransky (WAS): $5,700 at BOS
His price is a little higher than we normally like for our value plays but there are limited choices tonight on a four-game slate. In the last four games, Satoransky is averaging 32.5 FD points. He is playing well and this is a good spot for him. The Celtics look to be short-handed in the backcourt tonight and he should be able to keep up his strong play. He had 30.8 FD points in the previous matchup against Boston back in early February.
Ramon Sessions (WAS): $3,800 at BOS
If you want to punt one of the Point Guard spots but still want to attach the Celtics depleted backcourt then you could roll the dice with Sessions. He has played well since coming over from New York. In his last three games, he has averaged 20.3 MPG and 16.8 FD points. He is not glamorous and probably won’t win you any GPP’s but he could free up a few thousand that can come in handy if you have a strong feeling about one of the studs on the slate.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): $6,300 at GSW
He has averaged 33.7 FD points in his last 13 games. I never thought I’d say this but KCP has been a fairly consistent player. During that stretch he has failed to earn 30+ FD points in only two games. Overall, even though he has scored double-figure real-life points in 14 of his last 15 games, it has been his rebounding that has helped him be so consistent. We don’t know how this game will play out tonight since there is no line on this game yet. If it ends up being a blowout, it is hard to say what will happen but KCP and the Lakers have been playing great since the All-Star break and he might be worth a shot.
Garrett Temple (SAC): $4,400 vs. MIA
This is such a bad position for value tonight. My advice is to decide which two of the trio of Beal, Middleton, or KCP that you want to play. That is the only way you are going to feel half-way comfortable with this position. But, if you insist on saving a few dollars you will want to look at the Sacramento guards Hield, Bogdanovic, or Temple. None of these are appealing because we don’t know who will make their shots tonight. But if you are looking for savings, then go with the cheapest. That would be Temple. He has gone for 30.9 and 29.4 in his last four games. He has also gone for 7.0 and 0.2 during that stretch. You could also roll the dice with the Bucks’ Snell or Brown but with Brandon Jennings (not on FanDuel) in the lineup, they are even scarier options than normal. Good luck with this position tonight if you choose not to pay up.
Jayson Tatum (BOS): $6,500 vs. WAS
No Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown, or Kyrie Irving. The rookie sensation should have plenty of opportunity tonight. On Sunday night, he played 34 minutes and earned 36.5 FD points. This was his best performance since early February. In his last four games, he has averaged 25.2 FD points but he should exceed his average tonight with the massive usage bump anticipated. The Wizards also rank 27th in DVOA.
Justise Winslow (MIA): $5,700 at SAC
In his last nine games, Winslow has averaged 30.0 FD points. He has earned 39+ points in three of those games. Though we’d rather not pay this price for Winslow, this is a very short slate and he has been playing well. His minutes have been there and with Josh Richardson struggling, the Heat are relying on Winslow more and more. Against Portland on Monday, he had a double-double finishing with 41.6 FD points. Even though he is coming off the bench, he is still seeing plenty of opportunity to contribute in a major way.
Markieff Morris (WAS): $5,500 at BOS
It will be interesting to see him going against his brother tonight. He had 25.5 in the last matchup with Boston back in February. Morris has averaged 28.2 FD points in his last 11 games. He has had at least 34 FD points in three of his last four games. He is a good bet to approach or exceed value tonight against a very banged-up Celtics squad.
Bam Adebayo (MIA): $4,300 at SAC
Hassan Whiteside remains out so that means Adebayo should continue to see extended playing time. In the last nine games that Bam has played 23+ minutes, he has averaged 29.0 FD points. This includes two games of going for 39 or more. He can be explosive when given the chance. The question is the minutes. On Monday, he got 24 minutes but shot absolutely terrible while earning 22.3 FD points against Portland. Kelly Olynk is probably a safer play but is $1,200 more. Regardless who you play for Miami, they will have a chance to do something against this Sacramento defense ranked 22nd in DVOA.
Kosta Koufos (SAC): $4,400 vs. MIA
Center is normally the position that you want to pay up at on FanDuel but tonight’s slate is pretty thin. Vucevic has a great matchup against Milwaukee and is talented but has not been playing well lately. You could gamble on the Golden State situation against the Lakers with Zaza Pachulia coming off a 42.7 point ceiling performance or point-per-minute Javale McGee but they have quite a low floor. Koufos has played less the last two games as Willie Cauley-Stein has returned but is still playing fairly consistent. He has four straight games of double-figure rebounding, which is encouraging. In the last games, he has averaged 25.4 FD points. Without Whiteside in the lineup to rim protect and rebound, Koufos might continue his consistent fantasy production.
Jamy Bechler is an NBA fantasy contributor for FantasyPros. His DFS twitter is @WinningDFS101 and his website is www.FantasyFocusFootball.com. Even though he offers his advice on players and contests, after additional information and consideration, he may end up using different players and strategies than what he recommends.