FanDuel NBA Value Plays: Wednesday (3/28)
There are 8 games on the FanDuel main slate tonight but only four of the games have been assigned a line as of this writing. That is not entirely unusual since this is the time of the year when there is so much news about injuries and players sitting. Vegas tends to wait longer to set the lines for the games. Of the four, the Cleveland-Charlotte game has the highest projected total at 229.5.
As far as salaries go, Lebron James is the king of the night with his $12,500 price tag. He is nearly 2k more than the second highest priced player, Karl-Anthony Towns. You will need to decide if you will be forcing this exorbitant salary into your lineups. He burned a lot of people last night but had also won them a lot of money in the previous couple of weeks as he dominated the NBA and DFS. Whether you play Lebron or not, there is plenty of star power on this slate as 11 players are priced at $8,500 or above.
If you want to play any of these studs tonight then you’ll need to find some salary relief to fit them into your roster. This is the time of the year when plenty of value tends to open up. The only question is who will that be and when will you know who to play. Sometimes the news comes later in the day as to which players will sit and which bench players will get their chance to shine.
Normally, I only give nine value plays, but the Point Guard position could be very interesting tonight so you get a bonus. Here are 10 value plays that are worth considering as you set your lineup for tonight’s slate of games. Remember to check the news and injury reports, especially in the 30 minutes prior to lock. Use all the information available to you to make the best decision possible for your lineup. Good luck and have fun!
Austin Rivers (LAC): $5,800 at PHO
Rivers is a good cash game play as he always seems to hover around the 25 fantasy point mark. In the last 13 games, he has only earned below 25 FD points on two occasions. Both of those were 19-point performances. He is solid and has shown a ceiling going above the 40-mark twice in the last six games. His minutes are secure as he has averaged 34 MPG in the last 10 games. Tonight, he gets a Phoenix team that has given up 116 PPG in the last four weeks.
Isaiah Taylor (ATL): $3,600 at MIN
In his last 7 games, Taylor has averaged 20.9 FD points. More importantly, in the last 10 games that Taylor has played 20+ minutes, he has averaged 24.0 FD points. Most importantly, in the two games that he has started in place of Dennis Schroder in the past week, he has earned 32.7 and 31.1 FD points. Schroder will be out again on Wednesday. There is never a sure-fire guaranteed result in sports, but there can be a no-brainer, sure-fire lock decision from a process standpoint. It doesn’t get much easier than this decision (assuming he starts). Lock him in at his near-min salary.
Shabazz Napier (POR): $3,500 at MEM
He has played a total of 44 minutes in the last four games but Damian Lillard is out tonight and that should mean that Napier gets the start. In the last five games that Napier has played 20+ minutes, he has averaged 26.5 FD points. He is a talented player with a ceiling as evidenced by his late December early January stretch of nine games when he had five games of 35+ FD points. I normally like to pay up at Point Guard but a case could be made for going real cheap at both spots tonight. This would give you the money to get multiple studs in your lineup while still getting starter’s minutes (and upside) at this position. Plus, remember that Memphis is an absolute train wreck right now and provides a great matchup for Napier.
Troy Daniels (PHO): $4,100 vs. LAC
Daniels is getting more run lately as Phoenix has caught the injury bug and gone into tank-mode. He has averaged 23.1 FD points in his last five games while playing 31.2 MPG. The last time he played against the Clippers back in late February, he played 24 minutes and earned 26.6 FD points.
Marco Belinelli (PHI): $3,900 vs. NYK
He is coming off the bench to the tune of only 24.6 MPG in the last five games but has averaged 21.8 FD points during that span. He provides a nice spark off the bench. His ceiling is limited because of his minutes but he definitely cash-game viable and can also provide salary relief in your GPP rosters. He gets a New York Knicks team tonight that isn’t afraid to give up points.
Allen Crabbe (BKN): $4,800 at ORL
The risky value play at Small Forward is Crabbe’s teammate, Joe Harris. But if you want a little more consistency then Crabb is your guy. He showed a ceiling a few weeks ago against Charlotte when he scored 29 real-life points on the way to a 44.1 FD point performance. In the last four games, Crabbe has averaged 25.6 FD points. He is more of a cash-game play but can provide some salary relief in GPPs.
Joe Harris (BKN): $4,100 at ORL
Harris had a very good February but has not been good in March. His playing time has decreased sharply. However, if you feel like chasing points and rolling the dice in your GPPs, then Harris is an interesting option. In the last four games, he has been great and he has been terrible. He has gone for 43.4 and 31.7 FD points, while also stinking up the joint with 7.6 and 0.5 FD points. His 30 point, 7 rebound performance on Monday against the Cavs is probably not going to be replicated but at this price, it might be worth the risk to fit in a stud.
Taj Gibson (MIN): $5,700 vs. ATL
In the three games that he has played in the past week, Gibson has earned 30+ FD points twice. Overall, on the season, he is averaging 26.1 FD points. In the last four games, he is averaging 27.7 FD points. He is a good cash game play and is viable for tournaments, especially going up against the Hawks. Gibson had 39.8 FD points in 34 minutes against Atlanta the last time these two teams played back in late January.
Jeff Green (CLE): $4,100 at CHA
In his last seven games, Green has averaged 22.8 FD points and 31.5 MPG. If you take out his 11 minute, 5.4-point FD performance last week against Phoenix when he sat out the entire second half with the flu, then he is averaging 25.8 FD points and 35.0 MPG. Those are solid numbers at $4,100. Granted, Cleveland is traveling to Charlotte on a back-to-back but the Cavs are still short-handed with Nance and Thompson recently returning from injury. Green becomes even more valuable if Kevin Love is ruled out tonight. He sat out most of last night’s game with a head injury.
Tristan Thompson (CLE): $4,000 at CHA
On FanDuel, you can only play one Center. On a slate that has most of the NBA’s top Centers suiting up, you don’t want to get too cute here. Play one of the seven players priced at $7,900 or above. You can’t afford to lose out on the raw points that come with rostering a top-tier Center. Enes Kanter would be as low as I’d go at $6,600. But, if you don’t really like money then you could try and find a cheap guy. The player that makes the most sense would be Tristan Thompson. He has had three straight double-digit rebounding games since returning from injury, though he has failed to score much leading to sub-par fantasy performances (18.3 FD points in 16 MPG). However, Kevin Love missed most of last night’s game with a head injury. If he enters concussion protocol and sits for tonight’s game, Thompson becomes a very interesting option – that is if you want to gamble with your money by refusing to play a stud Center.
Jamy Bechler is an NBA fantasy contributor for FantasyPros. His DFS twitter is @WinningDFS101 and his website is www.FantasyFocusFootball.com. When he is not playing DFS, Jamy is an author, host of the “Success is a Choice” podcast, and is a leadership trainer, working with businesses and teams across the country (including the NBA). Even though he offers his advice on players and contests, after additional information and consideration, he may end up using different players and strategies than what he recommends.